SHAPESHIFTER

NFL SELECTIONS ARE UP

If you are taking on the NFL this Sunday, I have selections up now:

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NORTH AMERICA>BLOGS>SHAPESHIFTER VALUE RATED BETS: NFL WK 6


SUMMARY: 8 to 12 October

A second week of easing into the jumps.  Overall, though, taking on the fave's had no momentum through the week with a strike rate of 9 for 16 (56%), the week ending with a total mis-read on how the horses would run at Bath.

Though, in hindsight, a couple of bad calls, selections to back returned steady profits as 8 of 17 (47%) returned dividends for +7.90 when calculated against LSP (46% ROI).



WEAK FAVES: 12-OCTOBER

The 'writer' has taken the day off.

A few selections for the afternoon and will be back this evening for Wolverhampton.


WEAK FAVES FOR 12-OCTOBER
Selections based on the quality of the fields in their previous races

Strike rates:
Bath: 9 meetings: 16 for 24 (67%)
York: 4 meetings: 5 for 5 (100%)

Bath
1:00 Wannabe Loved (1st BFSP 6.10)
1:30 Little Rocky (1st BFSP 3.22)

Early prices: Wannabe Loved 3.40 / Little Rocky 3.05

Carlisle
3:55 Rain Mac (2nd by 26 lengths) *drifted from 3/1 to 7/1 at the off

Early prices: Rain Mac 3.85

York
3:40 Anderton (2nd by 1 1/4 lengths)

Early Price: Anderton 4.10

SUMMARY A terrible read of how Bath races would unfold lead to 0 for 2 at the track.  Both horse took control of the pace and the ground worked to their benefit. 

STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK

Bath
12:30 Lovage (Result 3rd) -1.00

SUMMARY Only one selection on Friday that failed the trip.  Gladiatrix won a fourth in a row, conditions on the day shying me away from the play. Despite finishing the week with an unsuccessful selection, 8 for 17 calls (47%) returned dividends.  The LSP on the week would be 17 points returning 7.90 for an ROI of 47%


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