[b]NFL SELECTIONS ARE UP[/b]
If you are taking on the NFL this Sunday, I have selections up now:
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NORTH AMERICA>BLOGS>SHAPESHIFTER VALUE RATED BETS: NFL WK 6
[b]SUMMARY: 8 to 12 October[/b]
A second week of easing into the jumps. Overall, though, taking on the fave's had no momentum through the week with a strike rate of 9 for 16 (56%), the week ending with a total mis-read on how the horses would run at Bath.
Though, in hindsight, a couple of bad calls, selections to back returned steady profits as 8 of 17 (47%) returned dividends for +7.90 when calculated against LSP (46% ROI).
[b]
WEAK FAVES: 12-OCTOBER[/b]
The 'writer' has taken the day off.
A few selections for the afternoon and will be back this evening for Wolverhampton.
[b]WEAK FAVES FOR 12-OCTOBER[/b]
Selections...
Yesterday produced some solid reads with 5 of 6 horses finishing outside the frame, Arch Walker being the exception.
Both York and Ffos Las maintained their 100% records.
Watching all the races, the calls returned to what I expect when selecting the horses: they weakened and faded long before the finish.
And while the two selections at Ffos Las drifted pre-off, the selections at Bath and York remained favorites at the off.
As much as I'm having a solid run of reads, I find it is just as important to put 'the streak' on the shelf as it is a bad run when sitting down each day with the goal of finding selections from the meetings. My approach is not to go into a day thinking 'conservative' or pull back on my approach to be more open-minded. I remained focused on the reads...
I enjoyed watching Frankel run. I had no bet on the race and simply walked away from the desk shortly after the 3:05 to take in the lead-up and the race. It was fantastic to see the horse flip smoothly through the gears and channel all its power along the rail and carry on well past the line.
Races like the 3:40 re-ignites the passion that can fuel me through the time spent staring at the stats, filtering through the past to trying to evaluate a likely future. And the sights and sounds of the race quickly dampen all the 'noise' that gambling generates and can muffle our enthusiasm we have for sports.
Between Frankel and Black Caviar's runs over the past year, I feel like I have seen some incredible horses in action.
I equally enjoyed the 3:05. Yes, Main Sequence was held...
Tuesday matched Monday's 6 for 7 strike rate. The positive difference between the two days was the odds on yesterday's winner, Between Us, were 2.20 BFSP as opposed to See Clearly who won on Monday at 5.50 BFSP.
At Perth, I was pleased with Tuesday's read since I managed to find one of only two 'early price faves' that lost. Considering the changing ground through the afternoon, something that usually throws up a few surprises, 5 of 6 that I passed on won their race.
My approach continues to work well at Brighton. I have always found this a tricky track to read when approaching with other methods. It's a quirky course and watching the races, you see the amount of concentration it takes by both horse and jockey to position themselves while running downhill through the 'slalom'.
As...