SHAPESHIFTER

Yesterday produced some solid reads with 5 of 6 horses finishing outside the frame, Arch Walker being the exception. 

Both York and Ffos Las maintained their 100% records.

Watching all the races, the calls returned to what I expect when selecting the horses: they weakened and faded long before the finish.

And while the two selections at Ffos Las drifted pre-off, the selections at Bath and York remained favorites at the off.

As much as I'm having a solid run of reads, I find it is just as important to put 'the streak' on the shelf as it is a bad run when sitting down each day with the goal of finding selections from the meetings.  My approach is not to go into a day thinking 'conservative' or pull back on my approach to be more open-minded.  I remained focused on the reads and look at one race at a time and go by my assessment.  Even yesterday, aware of a 54% strike-rate at Bath, I found three from the races on offer and didn't pull back. 

I mentioned two weeks ago as I found myself breaking even over a few days that you need to stick to your strategies.  Within that, you need to look at why you are doing well and contrarily where the mistakes are.  You need to constantly check your 'weights and measures' that you are using, finding where to be flexible and where not to compromise.

All this and at the same time not 'over thinking'.

WEAK FAVES FOR 24-AUGUST
Selections based on the quality of the fields in their previous races

Strike rates:
Ffos Las: 3 meetings: 6 for 6 (100%)
Newmarket (July) 2 meetings: 2 for 2 (100%)
York: 3 meetings: 3 for 3 (100%)

FFOS LAS
2:45 Gold Show (result: 1st BFSP 2.06)
3:55 Strumble Head (1st / BFSP 4.0)

NEWMARKET (July)
2:20 Hunting Rights (5th of 5)
4:40 Otto The Great  (1st / BFSP 6.60)

YORK
2:30 Morawij (8th of 8)
3:05 Stipulate (6th of 7)

RESULT: a 50% strike rate on the day with York the only track paying dividends. Despite drifting out to 4th of 7 in the betting, Otto The Great won the race. 

Strike-rate for the week: 24 for 29 (83%)


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