SHAPESHIFTER

Yesterday, Robert Tart proved to me why he was a jockey in my notebook. He rode my each-way selection, Sannibel, in the 3:00 at Lingfield. The horse started a bit slower than expected from the outside draw. Undeterred, he didn't rush the horse but instead kept pace while letting the rest of the field sort itself. Just before the pace as upped, he found his line and went from the outside middle to the rail in a smoothed, angled run. But the rail got closed and he then adjusted after a handful of strides and sent the horse through a space the width of a shed door. The horse came second, a length ahead of the fave but behind Chevise who won its first race since April, 2011. The jockey won on Carazam at 8/1 90 minutes later. Another strong jockey that will give you a run for...

Both Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons, I went without a winning selections. But everything turned around Wednesday evening and the week finished with 9 winners from 31 selections for a strike rate of 31%. Coupled with 4 each bets returning dividends, the week finished with a gain of roughly +2.00 (6% ROI). With the holidays and some time with the family, I'm not sure if I will be posting every day this week. [b]UPDATE: All selections are up. Good luck with your day and week ahead WEAK FAVES FOR 18-February[/b] [i]none[/i] [i]Early Price:[/i] [b]STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK[/b] Carlisle 3:15 Yesyoucan [i](result 1st: BFSP 4.09)[/i] [b]+3.00[/b] 3:40 My Boy Paddy [b]EW[/b] [i](UR)[/i] [b]-1.00[/b] 4:10 Billy Cuckoo [b]EW[/b] [i](1st: BFSP 8.71/3.00)[/i]...

I might have mentioned this before, but when a day unfolds they way it did yesterday, I feel like a football manager who feels that he has gotten the game plan wrong. Yesterday, I felt like a premier league team visiting a lower league team, the simplest of game plans dissolving. By the end of the day, I had no clear indication on where the overall read went wrong on the day. Last evening, the conclusion is that Southwell had the same effect on my approach of cross-form as heavy can have. I dubbed one selection as the worst for 2013 so far; Lady Lyrath in the 1:40. I went into it aware that it was an amateur race. Based on previous runs, I felt the horse would take lead to instructions and help Evanna McCutcheon through the race. It was also available at 7/1 and the market...

[b]NFL SELECTIONS ARE UP[/b] If you are taking on the NFL this Sunday, I have selections up now: Go to: NORTH AMERICA>BLOGS>SHAPESHIFTER VALUE RATED BETS: NFL WK 6 [b]SUMMARY: 8 to 12 October[/b] A second week of easing into the jumps. Overall, though, taking on the fave's had no momentum through the week with a strike rate of 9 for 16 (56%), the week ending with a total mis-read on how the horses would run at Bath. Though, in hindsight, a couple of bad calls, selections to back returned steady profits as 8 of 17 (47%) returned dividends for +7.90 when calculated against LSP (46% ROI). [b] WEAK FAVES: 12-OCTOBER[/b] The 'writer' has taken the day off. A few selections for the afternoon and will be back this evening for Wolverhampton. [b]WEAK FAVES FOR 12-OCTOBER[/b] Selections...

[i][b]Weak faves is posted Monday to Friday between noon and 1PM[/b] [/i] Wednesday, 12 September Tuesday finished with a clean sheet, five of the six horses unplaced. What stood out for me was that the drifts through the afternoon were more extensive than expected considering all had been favourites in their races around 11AM when I take the readings. Only two remained favourite while two went off 2F, the other two 3F. Danehill Flyer moved extremely from 5.5 out to 8, in again then out at the off. Prophete De Guye, co-fave in the morning, went from moving steadily into 4.4 in the A.M. to 6.60 at the off. But part of my premise is that horses that are favourites on the board aren't the most likely to win the race and I can't be the only one that thinks that. My...