SHAPESHIFTER

Yesterday, I flagged up Kalk Bay for the second time in as many weeks.  The previous time had been at Redcar on the 1-Aug.

That day, the horse drifted from 5.30 in the morning out to 9.80 BFSP running with the field then catching Daliance at the line.

Yesterday, the horse drifted out to 6.80 during the afternoon while remaining the 3/1 fave on the high street.  Prior to the off, the odds moved in one last time but drifted out to 3F.

Kalk Bay ran a stronger race this time and won eased down at the line.

The reason for the play wasn't to 'chase' the loss of the previous race.  The boxes were ticked when looking at the performances of the horses that raced at Redcar.  This was supported with a Easterby's 1 winner from the last 56 runners aged 4 and up at the track.

But despite all the negatives, the horse drifted and won.

Will I take on Kalk Bay again if the 'ticks' say yes?  I'll cross that bridge when I get there.


WEAK FAVES FOR 16-AUGUST
Selections based on the quality of the fields in their previous races

Strike rates:
Beverley: 3 meetings: 4 for 5 (80%)
Newmarket (July): 1 meeting: 1 for 1 (100%)
Salisbury: 1 meeting: 1 for 1 (100%)

BEVERLEY
5:45 Know No Fear

NEWMARKET (JULY)
4:20 Dutch Supreme

SALISBURY
2:50 Dream Tune
4:30 Represent

RESULT: 3 of 4 won their race with Dutch Supreme coming in third.

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