SHAPESHIFTER

Yesterday an example of where a 'weak fave' drifts heavily.  Kalk Bay moved from 4/1 out to 8/1 on Betfair.

At that point, it becomes a question of where a horse crosses that line to becoming a value EW play. 

I don't have time today, but there have been a few drifters during the month (I can't be the only person thinking there is value elsewhere in the race).

The last few weeks, I kept track of the price at noon versus the off.  When compared to the BFSP, the odds at the off were shorter.

I'll touch on this later this week.  Views are always welcomed via comments.


WEAK FAVES FOR 2-AUGUST
Selections based on the quality of the fields in their previous races

GOODWOOD
2:45 Ahern
3:45 Estimate

NOTTINGHAM
3:05 Moorhouse Girl
4:45 Dynamic Duo

RESULT 4 for 4 on the day.  The two at Goodwood make for a cleansheet so far for the meeting.

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