SHAPESHIFTER

Wednesday saw a 50% strike rate for the 8 selections returning 115%.  With the exception of Pathos, for once the value and prices remained right up to the off.

Adam Kirby had a winner at each track and I was on each of them (Black Dave and Vitznau). 

The success at Kempton came down to going through the entire card then looking for the four I felt were strongest.  The only one where I felt I misread was Saharia who lost to Hurricane Spirit by 1 3/4 lengths.  The winners jockey, Nicole Nordblad, is a name to remember and improved on the horses previous times. 

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My selections for 'weak faves' has gone tilt.  The race I took on had little form but I thought improvement would come on two or three of the others.  The market agreed with me and the price drifted all day but Maxi Dress won easily.

I'm not going to 'fight the current' right now.  Too much good is going on in my world and will focus my time on finding winners.

Behind the scenes, some 'paper selections' plus looking back over the last eight months to find the races I am strongest on and will focus on them.  So, again, the lays come with a heavy health warning if you see them.


UPDATES All selections are up

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WEAK FAVES FOR 17-January

None

Early Price:



STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK

Wincanton
1:50 Curtain Razer EW (result: 9th) -1.00
2:20 Ballyallia Man (1st BFSP 3.38) +2.30
2:50 Dusky Bob (7th of 8) -1.00
3:50 There's No Panic (4th of 5) -1.00

Wolverhampton
6:00 Rakticate EW (2nd BFSP 12.00/2.57) +0.25
6:30 Syrian (4th) -1.00
7:00 Desert Vision EW (1st BFSP 6.00/1.75) +2.80

SUMMARY One of two tracks in profit today.  A risk of 7 points would have returned a LSP profit of +1.35 (19% ROI)



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