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SHAPESHIFTER'S WORLD

WEAK FAVES: 16-OCTOBER

17 Oct 12 10:39
What a difference a year can make.

Last October, racing was all over the newspapers because of the 'whip rules'.  Infact, Richard Hughes refused to race at one point until it was readdressed.

Flash forward to 2012 and the back page has pictures and positive headlines.

As Richard Hughes hit number 3 on Embankment, I kept looking at my selection of Duke Of Clarence.  As he battled Links Drive Lady to the front, I wondered if my selection would be 'number seven' on the day.

A race later, it was relegated to possibly being number 6.  Then, I laughed, imagining he's landed 5 and I backed one of two that don't hit the line first.

But he did land it after a head to head battle with Sheila's Buddy, my chose being the tightest winning margin of the day but paying the same.

I already had word that he was riding Mama Quilla but didn't even have a punt.  I'd landed 5 for 5 with the faves and decided just to sit back and watch the race and enjoy the moment without having an interest.  I do that a lot, often deciding to become an enthusiastic spectator, leaving the 'punter' in the other room.


WEAK FAVES FOR 16-OCTOBER
Selections based on the quality of the fields in their previous races

Strike rates:
Huntingdon: 1 meeting: 1 for 1 (100%)
Leicester: 5 meetings: 10 for 11 (91%)
Wolverhampton: 11 meetings: 22 for 25 (88%)

Huntingdon
2:50 Another Trump (1st BFSP 5.40)

Early prices: Another Trump 4.90

Leicester
4:10 Bernisdale (3rd of 5)
5:40 Significant Move (3rd)

Early prices: Bernisdale 2.54 / Significant Move 5.0

SUMMARY 2 for 3 on the day, an excellent ride by A.P. McCoy bringing Another Trump home first.  2 for 2 at Leicester maintaining a solid strike rate at the track.

STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK

Huntingdon
4:20 Genstone Trail EW (1st BFSP 12.00/2.20) +6.10

Leicester
2:40 Tunnager Grove (1st BFSP 2.10) +1.10
3:40 My Queenie (6th of 7) -1.00
5:40 Skyfire EW (4th) -1.00

Wolverhampton
5:50 Loyal n Trusted EW (unplaced) -1.00

SUMMARY 2 for 5 horses winning including Genstone Trail winning by 3 lengths at 11/1. An LSP wager of 5 points would return a profit of +4.20 (84%)


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