SHAPESHIFTER

Last week, I tightened the 'focus' a bit more and had a consistent week with 14 for 16 selections successful (88%). 

For jumps, it took some additional reads on how the horses ran on certain courses.  This meant delaying putting up the selections which will probably be necessary till I'm able to 'fine-tune' a bit quicker.

But the patience paid off with all jumps being landed last week, the two 'weak faves' that won being on the flat at Salisbury and Ascot.

There were nine back selections last week resulting in +.18 (2% ROI).

I kicked myself for missing two to back;  Rawaki at Yarmouth on Friday.  I had looked at the race and found that my speed ratings could not find the danger.  This usually flags up a 'second look' to see if a back is in order but despite notes scribbled and three stars noted, I only remembered when the race caller mentioned the name as it crossed. 

As well, I flagged up Voodoo Prince in the 3:30 at Ascot but rereading my notes, Fattsota clearly had solid times, even when finishing 4th on two occasions on ground similar to Friday's.

Hi-liter pens have now been added to the desk.



WEAK FAVES FOR 8-OCTOBER
Selections based on the quality of the fields in their previous races

Strike rates:
Pontefract: 3 meetings: 6 for 9 (67%)
Windsor: No selections to date
Wolverhampton: 10 meetings. 20 for 23 (87%)

PONTEFRACT
4:10 Marford Missile (result: 1st BFSP 4.30)

Early Price: Marford Missile 2.70

WINDSOR
3:50 Dutch Masterpiece (1st BFSP 2.47)
[i]
Early Price: Dutch Masterpiece 4.30[/i]

WOLVERHAMPTON
2:30 Sonko (2nd by 1 1/4 lengths)

Early price: Sonko 2.20

SUMMARY only 1 of 3 successful calls, Marford Missile winning after drifting to 3F in a four runner race.



STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK

Pontefract
3:10 Mabaany EW (unplaced) -1.00

Windsor
5:50 Bright Abbey EW (unplaced) -1.00

Wolverhampton
3:30 Majestic Breeze (unplaced) -1.00
4:00 Arctic Lynx EW (3rd) +0.14

SUMMARY 1 of 4 strike rate with Arctic Lynx moving to the front of the betting before the off but started slowly to eventually gaining pace near the end to finish inside the frame.  4 pts wagered would have produced an LSP loss of -2.80


***SHOW YOUR SUPPORT: 'RATE' AND/OR 'FOLLOW' THE BLOG***

Your comments and views are always welcomed