SHAPESHIFTER

"He's the best I've ever had. He's the best I've ever seen. I'll be very surprised if there will be better" - Sir Henry Cecil, trainer of Frankel [b]SUMMARY FOR THE WEEK OF 15 TO 19 OCTOBER[/b] [b]Weak faves:[/b] 17 horses were selected with only 3 winning their races for a strike rate of 82%. [b] Selections to back[/b] 27 selections were made during the week with 11 horses paying dividends for a strike rate of 41%. LSP would have returned a bit more than +4.00 points at BFSP for an ROI of 15% Hilites of the week were two EW winner at 12.00 and 13.00 BFSP. The day that 'almost was': Thursday with four of seven selections coming in second. ---------- [b]WEAK FAVES FOR 22-OCTOBER[/b] Selections based on the quality of the fields in their previous races...

Last week, I tightened the 'focus' a bit more and had a consistent week with 14 for 16 selections successful (88%). For jumps, it took some additional reads on how the horses ran on certain courses. This meant delaying putting up the selections which will probably be necessary till I'm able to 'fine-tune' a bit quicker. But the patience paid off with all jumps being landed last week, the two 'weak faves' that won being on the flat at Salisbury and Ascot. There were nine back selections last week resulting in +.18 (2% ROI). I kicked myself for missing two to back; Rawaki at Yarmouth on Friday. I had looked at the race and found that my speed ratings could not find the danger. This usually flags up a 'second look' to see if a back is in order but despite notes scribbled...

Last night, the 6:20 was a race where watching the market could lead to more profit than simply laying a horse that you think is going to lose. I had identified Henry Clay as a 'weak fave'. With three non-runners, there were now eight runners left. I watched the market and the support continued to come for Henry Blake moving in from 4's to 3.50. Of the other seven runners, there was no significant movement for the ten or fifteen minutes leading up to the race with all the horses remaining close to the prices they had been for the two hours leading up. With my doubts on the fave, laying for a point would mean a risk of 2.50 points or a 40% return. But with no movement and eight runners, my attention turned to the 2F, Positive who had been steady in the betting. The horse...

[b][i]Weak faves is posted Monday to Friday between noon and 1PM[/i][/b] Thursday, 20-September I've accepted the ups and downs that go with the world of gambling (Wednesday - 4 for 8 on 'weak fave' selections). This is mainly down to learning to subdue any periods when I felt like I had the "midas touch' when every selection in every sport comes together as planned. It helps keep a perspective on the overall rather than 'the moment'. It means having to remained focused. I used to have to do that when I played golf. When I had a bad hole, I would pause and leave it behind me before I hit the next tee shot. I then had to notch up my focus rather than let that bad hole suck me in. I also don't allow 'luck' to come into my mindset. Okay, yes, there are moments when...