SHAPESHIFTER

There are times when you feel like you can't read a comic book let alone horse form.  I do a 'post mortem' on most race selections.  I'll note why it went right or wrong or look at another runner in the race to figure out which aspect or course stood out that should be the 'indicator' on why it ran well or poorly.

The past ten days, there has been a fair amount of post mortem analysis.  But despite having been knocked on the chin several times, it's a matter of remaining focused and being careful that I don't 'over think' or get 'gun shy' with my selections. 

Monday, I missed the first three races due to ringing phones and a visiting Canadian business partner who dubbed me his 'P.A.' after leaving his phone in a taxi.  It was disheartening to return to the screen and see nothing but 'red' on my grid after three races.  I then switched my 'brain' into neutral and I just sat away from the pixels to watch the remainder of the day unfold.

It started with Windygoul Lad losing in a photo and the results turn with three unplaced in a row despite pundits and the markets predicting otherwise.

And though I finished the day with a streak of four selections, I need to remain neutral and spend the evening going over the day's coroner reports and prepare to move into Tuesday with a positive and focused attitude.

- - -

For a second day, I have posted the 'early prices' that are the readings I took between 11 and 12 when my long list becomes short.  But to keep performance in perspective, I will continue to present the Betfair SP with results. 

How you use and/or calculate the returns of any or all of the selections would be up to you.


WEAK FAVES FOR 25-SEPTEMBER
Selections based on the quality of the fields in their previous races

Strike rates:
Beverley: 5 meetings: 5 for 8 (63%)
Folkestone: 3 meetings: 5 for 6 (83%)
Newton Abbot: 1 meeting: 1 for 3 (33%)


Beverley
3:10 Ponty Acclaim (3rd of 6)
5:10 Tiger Webb (8th of 12)
5:40 Cool Baranca (Non-runner)

Early Prices: Ponty Acclaim 3.65 / Tiger Webb 3.80 / Cool Baranca 4.60

Folkestone
2:30 Colourist (2nd by 2 lengths)
3:30 Centrifugal (4th of 5)

Early Prices: Colourist 3.00 / Centrifugal 3.55

Newton Abbot
2:20 Winning Note (7th of 10)
4:20 Rime Avec Gentil (2nd by 7 lengths)

Early Prices: Winning Note: 5.10 / Rime Avec Gentil 5.40