SHAPESHIFTER

I was pleased with August.  The strike rate was within one race of 80% which was achieved in July.

I found it a challenging month with conditions changing from day-to-day but after the unpredictable weather of May and June, there was finally a steady stream of form to read, especially with the two and three year olds.

I also had some selections from the hurdles and chase cards after relying almost solely on the flat.  Last year, my speed ratings were pretty consistent with the all weather but I'm hoping to incorporate my approach to finding 'weak faves' into jumps and hurdles as well. 

August finished on a real high with confidence building from Monday when I had thirteen selections over seven tracks, ten which were correct.  On Tuesday, I chose six with clarity, landing five.  And Wednesday, it all came together finding nine selections at three of the days meetings with all nine being correct calls.

For me, the 'confidence builder' that I continue down the right path with my approach is that of the nine selections on Wednesday, eight remained favorite at SP, the exception drifting just slightly into the 2F slot. 

As well, the strike rate for the week was 86% (24 for 28) which supported my view to remain focused on your approach through the small gains and losses since the "streaks" will come together.

Roll on, September

AUGUST STATS
134 selections
106 successful
79%
AVE BFSP of 28 selections that won: 3.90

UNPLACED
62
47%


WEAK FAVES FOR 3-SEPTEMBER
Selections based on the quality of the fields in their previous races

Strike rates:
Ffos Las: 4 meeting: 6 for 8 (75%)
Wolverhampton: 6 meetings: 15 for 15 (100%)

FFOS LAS
3:20 Red Avalanche (Result: 3rd)
4:50 Fillionaire (1st BFSP 4.03)

WOLVERHAMPTON
4:30 Grandorio (2nd)
5:30 Conry (3rd)
6:00 Chambles (5th of 8)

SUMMARY: Wolverhampton continues to have a 100% track record.  Four of the five selections on the day placed.


Stand-out recommendations of early faves to back:

Wolverhampton
5:00 Green To Gold RESULT: ran well but faded

EW Selection:
5:30 Al's Memory Went 1.17 in-running but finished 2nd by a head to 6F, The Happy Hammer. Price moved in all day from 7.0 (6/1) at 1PM to an BFSP of 4.3


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