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A pinch of salt,... Approval ratings

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By:
brigust1
When: 20 May 20 13:03
I was not lying, as you put it PP. A person I met through a friend of my wife told me, a bit like you, that he made money in stocks and shares and bitcoins. He approached me later to suggest we did something together 50/50 and he would show me how he does it. Anyway, he wanted access to my computer which I refused so it kind of went askew and he ended up, for some reason, putting half of my investment, 250 euros, into a trading account for me. He gave me the other half back. Why he chose this company I have no idea. I kept getting phone calls and promises of making it rich, sound familiar, so I quickly lost confidence and have applied for my money back. Apparently it takes 20 days. At the moment my account is up to 306 euros.     

If it is not returned I will go through my bank and if that fails I will go through the small claims court. Not a happy storey.

My advice to you is 'do not listen to people you don't know who make outlandish claims'.
By:
brigust1
When: 20 May 20 13:03
*story
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 May 20 13:04
brigust1, you have been scammed and were extremely foolish to fall for it.
By:
flushgordon1
When: 20 May 20 14:18
Luckily you did not follow polly on the Lincoln seat at the election or you would have done yer conkers.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 20 May 20 15:30
Lots of scammers preying on right wing conspiracy sites

It's like folk advertise their gullibility to be scammed
By:
brigust1
When: 20 May 20 16:14
I think when the person involved is someone you know, albeit loosely it isn't the same. However, it will teach me to be more careful. Not that I have lost anything yet.
I know you have probably never been scammed or even had a losing bet PP. But there you. Some of us are human.
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 May 20 16:32

May 20, 2020 -- 4:14PM, brigust1 wrote:


I think when the person involved is someone you know, albeit loosely it isn't the same. However, it will teach me to be more careful. Not that I have lost anything yet. I know you have probably never been scammed or even had a losing bet PP. But there you. Some of us are human.


Had plenty of losing bets as I am a value bettor. Here is one...

https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31542341/greece-election?post_id=557524413#557524413#flvWelcomeHeader

By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 21 May 20 15:43
The UK government is currently [X] to Covid-19:

Overreacting: 12%
Reacting proportionally: 34%
Underreacting: 47%

via @OpiniumResearch
By:
politicspunter
When: 21 May 20 20:36
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 46% (-1)
LAB: 33% (+2)
LDEM: 7% (-2)
GRN: 4% (-)
BREX: 2% (-1)

via
@SavantaComRes
, 15 - 17 May
Chgs. w/ 20 Feb
By:
politicspunter
When: 23 May 20 17:02
Latest Opinium poll for The Observer shows Starmer overtakes Johnson in approval ratings for the first time. 47% approve of how he has handled Covid-19 crisis while 17% disapprove and 35% have no view. Johnson 45% approve 39 disapprove. So net approval, Starmer +30, Johnson +6.
By:
politicspunter
When: 23 May 20 22:01
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 47% (-2)
LAB: 35% (+1)
LDEM: 6% (-)
GRN: 3% (-)
UKIP: 2% (+1)

via
@OpiniumResearch
, 21 - 22 May
Chgs. w/ 14 May
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 23 May 20 22:32
..

https://www.opinium.co.uk/public-opinion-on-coronavirus-21st-may/
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 26 May 20 11:21
Lucy Middleton
Tuesday 26 May 2020 10:27 am
Boris Johnson’s approval rating has dropped to -1% after he refused to sack Dominic Cummings for driving to Durham during lockdown.

According to Savanta, a coronavirus data tracker which looks at how the UK population is responding to the pandemic, the Prime Minister’s rating was previously +19% just four days ago. It states that the overall government approval rate is now at -2%, having dropped 16 points in a day.

Johnson’s approval rating is now also the lowest of the individual’s rated, with Health Secretary Matt Hancock’s the second lowest at 4%. Mr Cummings’ rating has not been tracked.

Labour leader Keir Starmer’s approval rating lifted to 12% on Monday, while Chancellor Rishi Sunak dropped from 35% four days ago to 20%.
By:
Angoose
When: 26 May 20 11:26
Chris Hopkins
@ChrisHopkins92

@SavantaComRes
#covid19 daily tracker:

- Boris Johnson’s approval rating is now at -1%. It was at +19% four days ago.
- Overall government approval is now at -2%, dropping 16 points in a day.
By:
brigust1
When: 26 May 20 11:29
The dates to remember :  31st January 2020. We LEFT the EU.

The next date to remember: 31st December 2020. We leave with or without a deal.

Anything else is just a sideshow to keep the REMAINERS hanging on the hook.Wink
By:
Angoose
When: 26 May 20 11:33
Are we leaving twice Confused
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 May 20 12:09
https://twitter.com/benatipsosmori/status/1265207125241999362/photo/1

Sturgeon better at handling pandemic than Boris (by a mile) according to new polling by Ipsos Mori.
By:
Angoose
When: 26 May 20 12:55
Sporran
@ScotSkye

The Scottish govt have made mistakes but the difference seems to be that they accept that some things have not gone well and appear to be trying to learn from it. That‘s why many Scottish people believe the govt has handled it well.


A reasonable summary that likely captures the sentiment of those who participated in the poll.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 26 May 20 15:52
Like being a better doctor than Harold Shipman, to be fair
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 May 20 16:07
NEW Survation Poll – Westminster Voting Intention:
CON 46% (-2)
LAB 33% (+3)
LD 8% (-)
GRN 4% (-1)
SNP 5% (-)
BXP
By:
Angoose
When: 26 May 20 22:31
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 44% (-4)
LAB: 38% (+5)

via @YouGov
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 May 20 22:43
Yep.
Tory lead over Labour has fallen from 15pts to 6pts in less than a week, according to the latest YouGov/Times voting intention survey
By:
Angoose
When: 26 May 20 22:46
Dom must stay Grin
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 May 20 22:58
You wonder how long they can leak votes like this before the ejector seat button gets pressed?
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 May 20 23:11
There is some truly horrendous polling tomorrow for the conservatives/Boris in the Daily Mail with regard to the Cummings episode.
By:
Angoose
When: 26 May 20 23:33
Watching Newsnight on delay and it is not good viewing for No.10, they’ll be throwing chairs at the tv screens.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 May 20 23:39
Just had a look at that yougov poll and the SNP are at 54% in Scotland, with the tories down to 20%. If that was repeated at a general election, it would be back to an almost clean sweep of Scottish seats for SNP.
By:
politicspunter
When: 27 May 20 20:24
UK (GB), Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll:

CON-ECR: 43% (-4)
LAB-S&D: 37% (+2)
LDEM-RE: 9%
SNP-G/EFA: 5% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 0%

+/- vs. 16 May 2020

Fieldwork: 27 May 2020
Sample size: 1,500
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 27 May 20 23:06
maitlis sacked for the day as cummings didnt like her telling the truth.
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 May 20 02:05
UK (GB), YouGov/Datapraxis poll:

CON-ECR: 43% (-1)
LAB-S&D: 38%
LDEM-RE: 6%
SNP-G/EFA: 5%
GREENS-G/EFA: 4%
BREXIT-NI: 3% (+1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- 25-26 May 2020

Fieldwork: 26-27 May 2020
Sample size: 2,029
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 May 20 20:01
Conservative lead slashed from 12 points to 4 points in one week

Opinium/
@ObserverUK
:

CON: 43% (-4)
LAB: 39% (+4)
LDEM: 6% (-)
SNP: 5% (-)
GRN: 3% (-)
By:
Angoose
When: 30 May 20 20:03
I think it's called the Dom Dom effect Grin
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 May 20 20:05
The Prime Minister's approval rating have fallen noticeably from last week going from a net approval of 6% to a net disapproval of 5%.

He also now only narrowly leads on who would make the best prime minister: 36% for Johnson over 33% for Keir Starmer (39% vs. 31% last week).
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 May 20 20:06
Opinium
@OpiniumResearch
·
2m
Two thirds of the public think the Prime Minister was wrong to support Dominic Cummings, including half of 2019 Conservative voters

Furthermore, 43% of UK adults say they have lost respect for the government for its support of Dominic Cummings.
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 May 20 20:08
KEY Figs from our
@OpiniumResearch
poll in
@Observer
. Tory lead down over Lab from 26 pts in late March to 4pts now. Down 8pts in week. 2/3s don't believe C'ings. 81% say he broke rules. 52% of Tories say shld quit. 68% of public say he should go, 66% that PM shld fire C if not.
By:
thegiggilo
When: 30 May 20 20:21
Wait till they find out the tories have knocked off 60,000+ people..
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 May 20 20:30
It's looking more like the 2017 general election polling by the day.
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 May 20 20:44
The 33-point collapse in Johnson's NET approval ratings in the last 8 weeks (from +28 to -5) is identical to the fall in T May's fall between her 2017 peak and the end of that year (from +21 to -12)
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 May 20 20:46
NET Approval Ratings for Party Leaders:

Keir Starmer (LAB): +25 (-5)
Nicola Sturgeon (SNP): +13 (-2)
Boris Johnson (CON): -5 (-11)
Ed Davey (LDM): -8 (+1)
Nigel Farage (BXP): -20 (+2)

Via @OpiniumResearch, 28-29 May.
Changes w/ 21-22 May.
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 May 20 20:54
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 43% (-2)
LAB: 38% (+5)
LDEM: 8% (-4)

via @DeltapollUK
Chgs. w/ GE2019
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