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A pinch of salt,... Approval ratings

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By:
politicspunter
When: 13 Jun 20 17:38
UK (GB), YouGov poll:

CON-ECR: 45%
LAB-S&D: 37% (+2)
LDEM-RE: 6%
SNP-G/EFA: 5%
BREXIT-NI: 2%
GREENS-G/EFA: 1% (-4)
PC-G/EFA: 0%

+/- 29-30 May 2020

Fieldwork: 11-12 June 2020
Sample size: 1693
By:
politicspunter
When: 13 Jun 20 17:39
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 41% (-2)
LAB: 39% (+3)
LDEM: 9% (-)
GRN: 4% (-1)

via
@RedfieldWilton
, 11 Jun
Chgs. w/ 03 Jun
By:
politicspunter
When: 13 Jun 20 17:40
UK, YouGov/The Times poll:

Preferred Prime Minister

Boris Johnson (CON-ECR): 33% (-4)
Keir Starmer (LAB-S&D): 33% (+1)

+/- 29-30 May 2020

Fieldwork: 11-12 June 2020
Sample size: 1693
By:
politicspunter
When: 13 Jun 20 20:23
UK, Opinium poll:

CON-ECR: 44% (+1)
LAB-S&D: 39% (-1)
SNP-G/EFA: 6% (+1)
LDEM-RE: 6%
GREENS-G/EFA: 2% (-1)
UKIP-ID: 1% (-1)
PC-G/EFA: 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 4-5 June 2020

Fieldwork: 11-12 June 2020
Sample size: 2,001
By:
metro john
When: 13 Jun 20 20:44
Whoever ya vote for represent thew same neo-liberal Gangsters.
By:
politicspunter
When: 17 Jun 20 13:34
Conservative lead down to 5pts ─ Britain Elects poll tracker:

CON: 42.7% (-2.0)
LAB: 37.7% (+4.8)
LDEM: 7.6% (-4.2)
GRN: 3.6% (+0.8)

Chgs. w/ GE2019
By:
politicspunter
When: 18 Jun 20 13:21
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 43% (-8)
LAB: 35% (+3)
LDEM: 8% (+1)
GRN: 4% (+2)
BREX: 2% (-)

via
@KantarPublic
, 11 - 15 Jun
Chgs. w/ May
By:
politicspunter
When: 18 Jun 20 21:12
Savanta ComRes
@SavantaComRes
·
1h
The latest Westminster voting intention from our new monthly political tracker:

Con: 40% (-6)
Lab: 36% (+3)
Lib Dem: 9% (+2)
Other: 15% (+2)

12-14 June

(Changes from 15-17 May)
By:
politicspunter
When: 19 Jun 20 13:15
Savanta ComRes Political Tracker..

https://savanta.com/industry/politics/
By:
politicspunter
When: 19 Jun 20 17:55
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 43% (+2)
LAB: 38% (-1)
LDEM: 8% (-1)
GRN: 4% (-)

via
@RedfieldWilton
, 18 Jun
Chgs. w/ 11 Jun
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 Jun 20 21:40
Opinium/Observer:

CON: 44% (=)
LAB: 40% (+1)
LDM: 5% (-1)
GRN: 3% (+1)

18-19 Jun

(Changes with 12 Jun)
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 Jun 20 21:58
https://www.opinium.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/Opinium-Political-Report-19th-June-2020.pdf

Headline stuff- Respect for government increases after u turn in providing free meals in summer. Incredible level of trust in Nicola Sturgeon, almost double any other UK politician.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 20 Jun 20 22:06
At some point Labour will need to tackle snp in Scotland.

It's difficult to see a route back, unless snp lose popularity.

On other hand they would need snp support to form a government..
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 Jun 20 22:11
In that poll tonight, the Scotland part has...

SNP 52%
Labour 20%
Con 20%

That's exactly what the SNP want, unionist opposition completely split.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 20 Jun 20 22:17
I often thought the Welsh nationalists would find
it easier to gain control than Scottish nationalists.

Salmond and Sturgeon have proven to be effective vote winners.

Whereas plaid seem to have stumbled
By:
mafeking
When: 20 Jun 20 22:45
lib dums doing well as per. ed davey making quite an impact as stand in. why haven't they got a proper leader yet ? are they gonna wait until 2024 ? Confused
By:
politicspunter
When: 21 Jun 20 06:21
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Liberal_Democrats_leadership_election

It's in August this year.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Jun 20 17:26
NEW
@Survation
Poll – UK General Election Voting Intention:
CON 43% (+1)
LAB 36% (-1)
LD 8% (-)
GRN 4% (-)
SNP 5% (-)
BXP
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Jun 20 17:27
NEW
@Survation
Poll – Leadership Approval:
Johnson / Starmer
Net: +6% (+2) / +10% (-4)
Favourable 44% (+1) / 35% (-2)
Neutral 15% (-) / 30% (-1)
Unfavourable 39% (-1) / 25% (+1)

2,003 respondents, fieldwork 24-25 June 2020. Changes w/ 9-10  June 2020.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Jun 20 17:28
NEW
@Survation
Poll – Government Approval Ratings:
Net Rating: +6% (+7)
Favourable 43% (+3)
Neutral 19% (+1)
Unfavourable 37% (-4)

2,003 respondents, fieldwork 24-25 June 2020. Changes w/ 9-10  June 2020.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Jun 20 19:28
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 44% (+1)
LAB: 38% (-)
LDEM: 7% (-1)
GRN: 4% (-)

via
@RedfieldWilton
, 25 Jun
Chgs. w/ 11 Jun
By:
politicspunter
When: 27 Jun 20 20:49
Preference for Prime Minister:

Keir Starmer: 37% (+3)
Boris Johnson: 35% (-)

via
@OpiniumResearch

Chgs. w/ last week
By:
politicspunter
When: 27 Jun 20 20:50
No lockdown easing bounce for CON in latest Opinium poll

Westminster Voting Intention:

CON: 43% (-1)
LAB: 39% (-1)
LDM: 6% (+1)
GRN: 4% (+1)
By:
politicspunter
When: 27 Jun 20 20:52
Starmer moves further ahead in latest
@OpiniumResearch
approval ratings.

Johnson MINUS 6%
Starmer PLUS 27%

So Stamer has a net lead of 33%
By:
politicspunter
When: 27 Jun 20 20:56
Detail from latest
@OpiniumResearch
poll finds that in the seats the Tories gained from LAB at GE2019 the best PM split was

Johnson 33%
Starmer 41%
By:
politicspunter
When: 27 Jun 20 21:05
From latest Opinium -
Voting intention in the seats won by CON at GE2019

CON 37%
LAB 50%
LD 8%
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 01 Jul 20 12:34
June 2020 Nowcast:

CON: 337 (-31)

LAB: 227 (+28) || 37.8% (+3.4)
SNP: 56 (+2) || 4.5% (+0.2)
LDM: 6 (+1) || 7.5% (+0.6)
PLC: 4 (=) || 0.7% (+0.2)
GRN: 1 (=) || 3.7% (-0.1)

Conservative Majority of 24 (-62).



Election maps UK, from twitter
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 02 Jul 20 14:12
Westminster Voting Intention:

CON: 42% (-2)
LAB: 38% (=)
LDM: 8% (+1)
GRN: 5% (+1)

Via @RedfieldWilton, 1 Jul.
Changes w/ 25 Jun.
By:
politicspunter
When: 04 Jul 20 20:08
CON retain 4% lead with Opinium
Westminster Voting Intention:

CON: 43% (-1)
LAB: 39% (-1)
LDM: 6% (+1)
GRN: 4% (+1)
By:
politicspunter
When: 04 Jul 20 21:00
*Corrected
Opinium/Observer latest voting intention:

CON: 41% (-2)
LAB: 37% (-2)
LDM: 8% (+2)
SNP: 5% (=)
GRN: 4% (=)
By:
politicspunter
When: 07 Jul 20 14:16
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 44%  (+1)
LAB: 37% (+1)
LDEM: 7% (-1)
GRN: 4% (-)

via
@Survation
, 03 - 06 Jul
Chgs. w/ 25 Jun
By:
politicspunter
When: 09 Jul 20 13:50
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 44% (+2)
LAB: 39% (+1)
LDEM: 7% (-1)
GRN: 4% (-1)

via
@RedfieldWilton
, 08 Jul
Chgs. w/ 01 Jul
By:
politicspunter
When: 10 Jul 20 17:59
UK (GB), YouGov poll:

CON-ECR: 46% (+1)
LAB-S&D: 36% (-1)
LDEM-RE: 6%
SNP-G/EFA: 5%
GREENS-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
BREXIT-NI: 2%
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- 11-12 June 2020

Fieldwork: 8-9 July 2020
Sample size: 1614
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 10 Jul 20 18:14
Head scratchers,...
By:
politicspunter
When: 11 Jul 20 20:34
Opinium/Observer latest voting intention:

CON: 42% (+1)
LAB: 38% (+1)
LDM: 6% (-2)
SNP: 6% (+1)
GRN: 4% (=)

8-9 July

(Changes with 1 July)
By:
politicspunter
When: 11 Jul 20 20:36
Half (49%) could see Keir Starmer as prime minister, including 36% of Conservatives, after only his first 100 days in office

Following the government’s summer statement this week, Opinium’s latest political polling reveals that the announcements had limited impact on the polls. The proportion trusting Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak the most to handle the economy increased by 3%, from 39% last week to 42% this week, but did not change the overall 4-point Conservative lead in the polls.

Both Conservatives and Labour are up one point this week at the expense of the Liberal Democrats. Conservatives are at 42%, up from 41% last week, while Labour is on 38%, up from 37% a week ago.

Summer Statement – to Furlough or not to Furlough?

When asked directly, 43% of the public said they approved of the package of measures announced by the Chancellor on Wednesday, with only 12% disapproving.

However, when the government’s general approach for furlough was put up against the opposition’s plan the gap was much less clear: 36% prefer the end of furlough and introduction of a “job retention bonus”, but 30% would simply prefer the continuation of the furlough scheme, even if only in the hardest hit sectors.

100 days of Starmer

After 100 days at the helm of the party, half (49%) of UK adults say that their opinion of the Labour Party has become more positive since Keir Starmer became leader. Meanwhile, 52% can imagine Sir Keir as prime minister, including over a third (36%) of 2019 Conservative voters.However, there are still challenges facing Labour’s brand. Only 36% think that the Labour Party is ready to form the next government. Labour’s old Red Wall remains an issue. 60% of Red Wall voters think the Party is not ready to go back into government. Only 25% think they are ready
By:
politicspunter
When: 11 Jul 20 21:50
The SNP are at 6% in that poll tonight. I have NEVER seen the SNP at 6% in a national poll. Their polling figures must be incredibly high!
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 Jul 20 11:54
Latest voting intention from Deltapoll: Conservative lead at 6.
Conservative 44%
Labour 38%
Lib Dem 7%
Others 11%
9th - 10th July 2020 n=1,541 GB Adults
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 13 Jul 20 12:42
Johnson trying to drive agenda onto brexit whilst claiming
victory for getting deaths down.

Not being very decisive on face masks

I guess the focus groups are 50/50 on face masks
and he is dithering until a majority emerges.
By:
politicspunter
When: 13 Jul 20 12:48
If he wants to get his ratings up, he would be well advised to look at the approach Nicola Sturgeon and the Scottish government took to Covid. They were ultra cautious, kept everyone fully informed of their plan on a daily basis and are reaping the rewards now.
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