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By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 19 May 26 12:31

Feels like ages since last poll, lol.

Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention, 17-18 May 2026

Reform UK: 25% (-3 from 10-11 May)
Conservatives: 18% (+1)
Labour: 17% (+1)
Greens: 15% (-1)
Lib Dems: 14% (+1)
Restore Britain: 4% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Plaid Cymru: 1% (-1)
Your Party: 0% (=)

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 19 May 26 14:25

GB-wide Poll, Excluding Don't Knows

**** Not just makerfield *****

Assuming Andy Burnham is selected as Labour's candidate in Makerfield, who would you most like to see win the By-Election:

LAB: 38%
RFM: 27%
GRN: 13%
CON: 8%
LDM: 6%
Other: 6%

Via @YouGov, 17-18 May.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 20 May 26 13:18

Westminster Voting Intention [Burnham as Leader]:

LAB: 30% (+8)
RFM: 27% (-2)
CON: 20% (+1)
LDM: 11% (-2)
GRN: 7% (-4)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @Moreincommon_, 15-19 May.
Changes w/ Standard VI.

Very small pitch of salt, but first one I've seen.

By:

Escapee When: 20 May 26 14:06

Labour's moved in, Reform's moved out, probably on the news of that survey^^^

UK - Next General Election -- Most Seats

9 Runners £2,493,390 Matched

			98.1%	95.7%
Reform UK	2.62	2.64	2.68	2.7	2.74	2.76	£1,342,659
	£416	£1,884	£361	£264	£2,000	£50
Labour	3.2	3.25	3.3	3.4	3.45	3.5	£539,611
	£2,064	£1,000	£70	£173	£77	£48
Conservatives	6.2	6.4	6.6	6.8	7	7.2	£186,441
	£201	£212	£272	£57	£68	£48
Green Party	16.5	17	17.5	18	18.5	19	£213,677
	£285	£364	£59	£4	£40	£17
Restore Britain	12.5	13	13.5	14	14.5	15	£163,346
	£319	£164	£77	£5	£92	£123
Liberal Democrats	50	55	60	65	70	75	£31,015
	£37	£69	£493	£2	£103	£4
Your Party	370	380	390	560	570	580	£6,998
	£19	£3	£2	£2	£3	£1
Advance UK	560	600	610	880	990	1000	£8,232
	£2	£2	£2	£2	£2	£27
Workers Party of Britain	820	880	1000	-	-	-	£1,412
	£3	£2	£14

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 20 May 26 14:24

Awful survey, but...

And Mr restore working hard here too.

By:

yak hunt When: 29 May 26 17:48

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 25% (-1)
GRN: 19% (+2)
CON: 18% (+1)
LAB: 16% (-1)
LDM: 12% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via
@FindoutnowUK
, 27 May.
Changes w/ 20 May.

By:

yak hunt When: 29 May 26 17:52

Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention, 25-26 May 2026

Reform UK: 24% (-1 from 17-18 May)
Conservatives: 19% (+1)
Labour: 17% (=)
Greens: 16% (+1)
Lib Dems: 14% (=)
Restore Britain: 3% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Plaid Cymru: 2% (+1)
Your Party: 0% (=)

By:

yak hunt When: 04 Jun 26 09:57

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 29% (-1)
LAB: 22% (+2)
CON: 21% (+2)
LDM: 12% (=)
GRN: 10% (-3)
SNP: 2% (-2)

Via
@Moreincommon_
, 29 May - 1 June.
Changes w/ 22-25 May.

By:

yak hunt When: 09 Jun 26 15:54

YouGov
@YouGov
·
6h
Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention, 7-8 June 2026

Reform UK: 25% (-2 from 31 May-1 Jun)
Conservatives: 19% (+1)
Labour: 19% (+1)
Greens: 14% (-1)
Lib Dems: 12% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Restore Britain: 3% (=)
Plaid Cymru: 2% (+1)
Your Party: 1% (+1)

By:

yak hunt When: 09 Jun 26 17:25

Reform are consistently falling into that mid twenties polling intention bracket from where it's impossible for them to win a majority of seats.

By:

yak hunt When: 13 Jun 26 09:36

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 25% (-2)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 17% (=)
LAB: 16% (+1)
LDM: 13% (+2)
SNP: 3% (=)

@FindoutnowUK
, 10-11 Jun.
Changes w/ 3 Jun.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 10 Jul 26 10:01

With Nigel Farage and other Reform figures coming under scrutiny over donations, 73% of Britons think Farage is sleazy, and 69% say the same of his party

Govts in general: 77% sleazy

2019-24 Tory govt: 75%

Nigel Farage: 73%

Reform UK: 69%

Current Labour govt: 61%

Tories since 2024: 57%

Keir Starmer: 54%

SNP: 51%

Zack Polanski: 42%

Andy Burnham: 36%

Greens: 35%

Kemi Badenoch: 34%

Lib Dems: 31%

Ed Davey: 26%

Reform UK and Nigel Farage are the only party and current party leaders that a majority of Britons (52-56%) describe as "very sleazy", relative to 44% saying so of the last Conservative government and 31% saying so of the current Labour government and Keir Starmer

Yougov

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 13 Jul 26 16:30

Greater Manchester Mayoral By-Election Voting Intention:

LAB: 38% (-25)
GRN: 22% (+15)
RFM: 19% (+12)
RES: 9% (New)
CON: 8% (-2)
LDM: 3% (-1)
Ind: 1% (New)

2nd Round:
LAB: 64%
GRN: 36%

Via @FindoutnowUK, 7-13 Jul.
Changes w/ 2024.

By:

yak hunt When: 14 Jul 26 09:26

From the company that always have Labour much lower than other pollsters.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 16 Jul 26 15:51

With a T-rex skeleton selling for $50m at auction on Tuesday, our poll shows that the Tyrannosaurus Rex is Britain's top dinosaur, with 30% listing it as their favourite

T-rex: 30%
Stegosaurus: 12%
Triceratops: 11%
Diplodocus: 10%
Velociraptor: 7%

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 17 Jul 26 14:45

Survation poll, just before Burnham takes over

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention

RFM 24% (-3)
LAB 24% (+5)
CON 21% (+1)
LD 11% (-1)
GRN 11% (=)
SNP 3% (=)
RB 2% (=)
PC 2% (=)
OTH 4% (=)

F/w 10-14 July 2026. Changes vs 17/06/2026

By:

yak hunt When: 17 Jul 26 15:04

I believe that is the first poll that Reform have not been leading for some considerable time?

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 17 Jul 26 15:12

Apart from a few "what if" polls...

As they are listed first here they are possibly (probably) still fractionally ahead

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 21 Jul 26 14:16

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 28% (+8)
RFM: 28% (=)
CON: 18% (+1)
LDM: 10% (-2)
GRN: 10% (-3)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @DeltapollUK, 17-20 Jul.
Changes w/ 12-15 Jun.

Just to keep some folk happy, as they've been miles off average, and probably still are

By:

yak hunt When: 29 Jul 26 10:28

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 28% (+4)
RFM: 24% (-2)
CON: 22% (=)
LDM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 8% (-3)
SNP: 2% (=)

Via
@Moreincommon_
, 24-27 Jul.
Changes w/ 21-22 Jul.

By:

yak hunt When: 29 Jul 26 10:29

Largest Labour Lead (4%) since March 2025
First Labour lead with an established pollster since April 2025

By:

yak hunt When: 29 Jul 26 10:32

Survation.
@Survation
·
Jul 28
NEW: Westminster Voting Intention

LAB 26% (+1)
RFM 24% (-2)
CON 21% (+2)
GRN 10% (+2)
LD 10% (=)
SNP 3% (=)
RB 2% (+1)
PC 2% (=)
OTH 3% (-3)

F/w 25-27 July 2026. Changes vs 24/07/2026

By:

yak hunt When: 29 Jul 26 10:34

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 22% (-1)
LAB: 22% (+1)
CON: 21% (+1)
GRN: 13% (=)
LDM: 11% (-3)
RES: 4% (=)
SNP: 2% (-1)

Via
@YouGov
, 26-27 Jul.
Changes w/ 22-23 Jul.

By:

yak hunt When: 29 Jul 26 10:55

The Labour Majority price of around 6.6 is looking tempting.

By:

yak hunt When: 31 Jul 26 09:51

Hedge End South (Eastleigh) Council By-Election Result:

LDM: 46.1% (+2.7)
CON: 25.0% (+4.1)
RFM: 18.8% (-8.2)
GRN: 8.4% (-0.3)
LAB: 1.7% (New)

Liberal Democrat HOLD.
Changes w/ 2026.

By:

yak hunt When: 31 Jul 26 09:52

Reform losing ground again.

By:

yak hunt When: 31 Jul 26 15:55

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 28% (+5)
RFM: 23% (-4)
CON: 20% (=)
LDM: 10% (-1)
GRN: 10% (-3)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via
@BMGResearch
, 28-30 Jul.
Changes w/ 23-25 Jun.

By:

yak hunt When: 31 Jul 26 17:00

Largest Labour Lead (5%) with ANY Pollster since January 2025.

By:

Escapee When: 31 Jul 26 19:20

Reform were Odds on 3 months ago.

The recent trifecta of dodgey crypto, combined with the ongoing comedic clown show featuring the saviour of the UK beating a dustbin in a by-election has seen the layers £cashing in.

UK - Next General Election -- Most Seats

9 Runners £3,184,079 Matched

			99.1%	96.6%
Labour	2.5	2.52	2.54	2.58	2.6	2.62	£813,715
	£39	£78	£70	£127	£192	£56
Reform UK	3.75	3.8	3.85	3.95	4	4.1	£1,595,268
	£47	£2,000	£832	£110	£203	£345
Conservatives	3.9	3.95	4	4.1	4.2	4.3	£280,016
	£1,293	£1,491	£23	£850	£477	£84
Restore Britain	20	21	22	23	24	25	£211,557
	£72	£23	£18	£118	£22	£44
Green Party	40	42	44	46	48	50	£227,642
	£19	£21	£880	£7	£23	£10
Liberal Democrats	55	60	65	70	75	80	£36,725
	£83	£68	£105	£56	£7	£3
Your Party	420	440	450	580	600	700	£8,230
	£3	£2	£10	£3	£2	£2
Workers Party of Britain	900	910	1000	-	-	-	£2,239
	£2	£3	£17
Advance UK	810	940	1000	-	-	-	£8,686
	£3	£2	£4

By:

lapsy pa When: 31 Jul 26 22:55

A big smell the coffee moment,well done Britain.

By:

Escapee When: 31 Jul 26 23:28

If you'd have pitched to the producers of Alan Partridge's "Alpha Papa", to make a sequel, where a poundland
version of Alan Partridge resigns his job as a fringe party MP, immediately regrets it and tries to win it back in a hero vs dustbin storyline.

They'd have turned it down because they don't make documentaries.

By:

yak hunt When: 02 Aug 26 16:05

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 27% (+5)
RFM: 23% (=)
CON: 17% (-3)
GRN: 12% (-2)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via
@OpiniumResearch
, 29-31 Jul.
Changes w/ 15-17 Jul.

By:

yak hunt When: 02 Aug 26 16:05

Labour well and truly on the up, Reform fading.

By:

yak hunt When: 05 Aug 26 07:48

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 27% (+6)
REF: 25% (-2)
CON: 20% (-1)
LDM: 12% (=)
GRN: 10% (-1)

Via
@JLPartnersPolls
, On 1st-3rd August,
Changes w/ 16th-19th June.

By:

yak hunt When: 05 Aug 26 09:46

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 26% (-9)
REF: 23% (+8)
CON: 21% (-3)
LDM: 11% (-1)
GRN: 10% (+3)

Seat Forecast (MRP):

LAB: 245 (-166)
REF: 174 (+169)
CON: 99 (-22)
LDM: 67 (-5)
SNP: 25 (+16)

via
@convergentrsrch
, 25-30 Jul

(Changes with 2024 Election)

By:

yak hunt When: 09 Aug 26 09:58

Approval Ratings (NET)

Andy Burnham: 16% (0)
Ed Davey: -4% (-5)
Kemi Badenoch: -5% (-6)
Zack Polanski: -23% (-3)
Nigel Farage: -25% (-1)

Via: Opinium
Field Work: 5-7 August changes w/ 29 - 31 July

By:

yak hunt When: 09 Aug 26 12:52

Andy Burnham ends his 3rd week as Prime Minister with a 1.3% lead in the polling average:

LAB: 25.6% - 18 month high
RFM: 24.3% - 10 month low
CON: 19.6%
GRN: 11.3% - 10 month low
LDM: 10.7% - post GE low
RES: 2.9%

https://electionmaps.uk/polling/vi

By:

yak hunt When: 10 Aug 26 14:29

Reform now 3rd in latest Lord Ashcroft poll

Lab: 27% ( +6 )
Con: 23% ( +2 )
Ref: 18% ( -3 )
Grn: 15% ( -2 )
Lib: 8% ( -1 )

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 10 Aug 26 16:23

Ashcroft asks a different question, in attempt to extrapolate more data.

It's about who you would consider voting for at next election. So... This far out, it's possibly not best time to lump on based upon it. (unless Burnham does go very very early)

By:

yak hunt When: 11 Aug 26 10:43

NEW: The latest YouGov poll has Reform UK at its lowest level since the 2024 election

LAB: 24% (+2)
RFM: 22% (-1)
CON: 21% (+2)
GRN: 12% (-1)
LDM: 11% (-1)
RES: 4% (=)

9-10 Aug
Changes w/ 2-3 Aug