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Labour Party recent issues don't initially appear to be causing them problems in the opinion polls.
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A bit like forgetting the words on x factor, the base
is more enthused to support, short term, at least. It is surprising though, to me, that these opinion polls did not move. |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 29% (-2) CON: 19% (+1) GRN: 18% (=) LAB: 16% (=) LDM: 11% (=) SNP: 3% (+1) Via @FindoutnowUK , 11 Feb. Changes w/ 4 Feb. |
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Senedd Voting Intention:
RFM: 31% (+3) PLC: 24% (-2) LAB: 20% (-3) CON: 13% (+3) LDM: 6% (-1) GRN: 5% (+1) Moreincommon Election Maps UK Seat Model: RFM: 35 PLC: 27 LAB: 22 CON: 10 LDM: 2 GRN: 0 |
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Refuk/tory 45
Plaid/lab 49 Lib dem 2 So close to 5th party deciding who takes power... Or even 6th if greens sneak a seat. |
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Polling for the Senedd is all over the place from one pollster to another. It's impossible to guesstimate which one is correct, if any at all.
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Worth Valley (Bradford) Council By-Election Result:
CON: 51.7% (-4.7) RFM: 26.1% (New) LAB: 12.1% (-19.6) GRN: 7.0% (-1.0) LDM: 2.4% (-1.6) Ind: 0.8% (New) Conservative HOLD. Changes w/ 2024. |
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Signs that Conservative voters are turning out to stop Reform?
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Yep, but some of these are important local politics.
On top of national issues. Maybe some folk holding their nose to defeat new kids. Another 25-30% for new kids |
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Ask a loaded question....
Yesterday, Rupert Lowe MP launched a political party named Restore Britain. If there were a General Election tomorrow, how would you vote in that election?" RFM: 25% GRN: 20% LAB: 15% CON: 13% RES: 10% LDM: 10% Via @FindoutnowUK, 14 Feb. |
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Mad right wing monets wants 28/1 Rupert Lowe next pm...
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Holyrood Voting Intention:
Constituency: SNP: 35% (=) RFM: 19% (+2) LAB: 17% (-2) CON: 10% (-1) LDM: 8% (-1) GRN: 8% (+1) Regional: SNP: 30% (+1) RFM: 19% (+3) LAB: 17% (=) GRN: 11% (=) CON: 11% (-1) LDM: 7% (-2) ALBA: 3% (-1) Via @NorstatUKPolls , 10-13 Feb. Changes w/ 13-16 |
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Changes w/ 13-16 Jan.
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Election Maps UK
@ElectionMapsUK · 11m My Seat Model: SNP: 57 (-7) RFM: 23 (+23) LAB: 20 (-2) CON: 12 (-19) GRN: 11 (+3) LDM: 6 (+2) Changes w/ 2021. |
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Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention (15-16 February 2026)
RefUK: 24% (-3 from 8-9 Feb) Lab: 19% (=) Con: 18% (=) Greens: 17% (+1) Lib Dems: 13% (-1) Hmmm! Awful week for labour, refuk down 3 pints, |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 28% (-2) LAB: 22% (-1) CON: 21% (=) GRN: 12% (+2) LDM: 11% (-1) SNP: 3% (+1) Via @Moreincommon_ , 13-17 Feb. Changes w/ 6-10 Feb. |
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The massive Reform opinion poll lead is clearly being steadily eroded but not by any one party.
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Holyrood Voting Intention:
Constituency: SNP: 33% (-2) LAB: 19% (+1) RFM: 18% (-1) CON: 11% (=) LDM: 11% (+1) GRN: 6% (+1) Regional: SNP: 31% (+6) RFM: 16% (-4) LAB: 16% (-3) LDM: 12% (-1) CON: 12% (=) GRN: 9% (=) ALBA: 2% (+1) Via @Moreincommon_ , 30 Jan - 10 Feb. Changes w/ 24 Jan - 4 Feb. |
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SNP could be close to an overall majority with those figures.
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I'll be quite interested to see what happens if jezza wins the your party leadership( slate) , if he gets any kind of publicity he would smash that green percentage in half
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Not immediately, but over the next year or two.
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jezza who?
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Jeremy Corbyn, the man who got more votes than starmer, miliband,and brown. Something Zak polamski will never do.
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 28% (+13) LAB: 21% (-14) CON: 20% (-4) GRN: 12% (+5) LDM: 12% (-1) SNP: 3% (=) Via @GoodGrowthFdn - New BPC pollster! - 13-16 Feb. Changes w/ GE2024. |
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Good to see comparison to 24.
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Westminster Voting Intention:
REF: 28% (-1) GRN: 18% (=) CON: 16% (-3) LAB: 16% (=) LDM: 10% (-1) SNP: 3% (=) OTH: 7% (+3) Via @FindoutnowUK , On 18th February, Changes w/ 11th February. |
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That +3 for others could be Restore Uk?
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Zetland (Redcar & Cleveland) Council By-Election Result:
LDM: 50.5% (+15.2) LAB: 21.6% (-25.2) RFM: 13.5% (New) GRN: 7.4% (New) CON: 7.0% (-10.9) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Labour. Changes w/ 2023. Sometimes folk just vote for the best chance of having their protest heard. |
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Van (Caerphilly) Council By-Election Result:
PLC: 43.3% (-1.9) RFM: 28.5% (New) LAB: 26.8% (-28.0) LDM: 1.4% (New) Plaid Cymru GAIN from Labour. Changes w/ 2022. |
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Stoneygate (Leicester) Council By-Election Result:
GRN: 30.4% (+22.9) LAB: 27.7% (-12.8) OL: 16.2% (New) Ind: 11.5% (New) CON: 8.3% (-15.3) RFM: 2.7% (New) LDM: 1.6% (-5.9) Ind: 1.6% (New) No Ind (-21.0) as previous. Green GAIN from Labour. Changes w/ 2023. |
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YouGov / Sky / Times voting intention
RefUK 24%(nc) CON 18%(nc), LAB 18%(-1), LDEM 14%(+1), GRN 17%(nc) Taken Sunday / Monday (before Mandelson arrest) |
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Senedd Voting Intention:
PLC: 29% (+3) RFM: 27% (=) LAB: 20% (-1) CON: 10% (-2) GRN: 7% (-2) LDM: 5% (+2) Via @BeaufortLtd , 19 Jan - 8 Feb. Changes w/ 10-30 Nov. |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
REF: 25% GRN: 18% LAB: 16% CON: 16% LDM: 11% RES: 7% YRP: 1% Via @FindoutnowUK , On 20–21 February, (Poll prompts Restore Britain and Your Party) |
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I believe that may be the lowest Reform figure ever from that company.
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Green Party - 14,980
Reform UK - 10,578 Labour Party - 9,364 Conservative Party - 706 Liberal Democrats - 653 Monster Raving Loony Party - 159 Advance UK - 154 Rejoin EU Party - 98 Libertarian Party - 47 Social Democratic Party - 46 Communist League - 29 Gorton. Advance losing heads up with Sir oinkalot Lol |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
REF: 30% (-1) LAB: 18% (-5) CON: 18% (+2) GRN: 13% (=) LDM: 12% (+2) OTH: 6% (+3) Via @OpiniumResearch , On 25-27 February, Changes w/ 6 February. |
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Sam Coates Sky
@SamCoatesSky · 2h YouGov / Sky News / Times voting intention *Greens leapfrog Labour into second place* RefUK 23% (-1) GRN 21% (+4) LAB 16%(-2) CON 16%(-2) LDEM 14%(nc), Pollster note: This is the highest we've had the Greens, the first time we've had them in second. It is also the lowest we have had Labour. In terms of how meaningful this is, it is obviously likely driven to a significant extent by the publicity from the Denton & Gorton by-election, as well as any impact it has from the Greens appearing a more viable option and less of a wasted vote. It remains to be seen to what extent it sticks, or whether it fades again as the immediate publicity boost recedes. Sunday/Monday |
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I forced my missus to say Greens on this poll. In fact, all my mates did the same. Soz abar tha.
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Tracking our *negative* voting intention (who would Britons vote AGAINST):
Ref 38% (+9) Lab 34% (-4) Con 7% (-1) Green 7% (+4) LD 3% (-) changes w/ Nov 2025 More in common Who votes against lib dems above all others, lol. |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 29% (+1) CON: 19% (-1) LAB: 18% (-4) LDM: 14% (=) GRN: 14% (+3) SNP: 3% (+1) Via @Moreincommon_ , 27 Feb - 2 Mar. Changes w/ 20-23 Feb. |