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Which potential coalitions have the most support from Britons?
LD + Lab, Davey PM: 36% support Lab + Grn, Starmer PM: 33% Lab + LD, Starmer PM: 31% Grn + Lab, Polanski PM: 30% Ref + Con, Farage PM: 29% LD + Con, Davey PM: 26% Con + Ref, Badenoch PM: 25% Con + LD, Badenoch PM: 24% Con + Lab, Badenoch PM: 18% Ref + Lab, Farage PM: 17% Lab + Con, Starmer PM: 16% Lab + Ref, Starmer PM: 7% You gov |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 24% (-2) CON: 20% (+1) LAB: 19% (+2) LDM: 16% (=) GRN: 14% (-2) Via @YouGov, 11-12 Jan. Changes w/ 4-5 Jan. |
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REF: 24% (-)
LAB: 19% (-) CON: 18% (-2) GRN: 17% (+3) LDEM: 14% (-2) via @YouGov , 18 - 19 Jan Chgs. w/ 12 Jan |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 31% (=) CON: 21% (=) LAB: 20% (+1) LDM: 13% (+1) GRN: 11% (-1) SNP: 2% (=) Via @Moreincommon_ , 16-19 Jan. Changes w/ 10-13 Jan. |
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I note advance got over 10% in council by election
in a seat refuk won from Labour. |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 26% (-3) LAB: 21% (+1) CON: 20% (+2) LDM: 14% (+1) GRN: 10% (-2) Via @focaldataHQ , 16-19 Jan. Changes w/ 26-28 Nov. |
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Reform lead continues to be eroded with multiple polling organisations.
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Willaston and Thornton (Cheshire West and Chester) council by-election result:
CON: 53.8% (-7.1) LAB: 17.2% (-9.3) REF: 16.1% (+16.1) LDEM: 7.1% (+2.4) GRN: 5.8% (-2.2) +/- 2023 Estimated turnout: ~45% (+1) A very solid result for the Tories. |
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Glenrothes West and Kinglassie (Fife) By-Election Result [1st Prefs]:
SNP: 44.3% (-5.3) RFM: 27.5% (New) LAB: 15.7% (-16.8) CON: 6.9% (-4.7) LDM: 4.7% (+0.9) SFP: 0.9% (New) No Ind (-2.6) as previous. SNP HOLD. Changes w/ 2022. |
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Reform are manna from heaven for the SNP. The more unionist parties standing, the more certain SNP are to win.
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fair point, alba not even listed
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 31% (=) LAB: 22% (+2) CON: 17% (-1) LDM: 13% (+1) GRN: 11% (-2) SNP: 3% (+1) Via @OpiniumResearch , 21-23 Jan. Changes w/ 7-9 Jan. |
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Not best place for this, but here goes anyway.
Following defection of Cruella Updated Current House of Commons: LAB: 404 (-7) CON: 116 (-5) LDM: 72 (=) Independents: 13 (+7) SNP: 9 (=) RFM: 8 (+3) DUP: 5 (=) GRN: 4 (=) PLC: 4 (=) + 6 Others (+1), 7 Sinn Féin, 1 Speaker, 1 Vacancy. |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
REF: 25% (+1) LAB: 21% (+2) CON: 17% (-1) GRN: 16% (-1) LDEM: 14% (=) From @YouGov From 25th - 26th January Changes with 19th January |
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Somebody on twitter pointed out that if 45 mischievous
Labour mps defected to lib dem then starmer would face Ed davey at pmqs. How would that hit the polls? |
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30% of Britons - and 40% of 2024 Labour voters - believe Andy Burnham would do a better job as prime minister than Keir Starmer, compared to 10-12% who feel he would do a worse job
For other major leadership contenders, the public are more likely to believe they'd do a worse job than Starmer in Downing Street Yougov |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 29% (-2) LAB: 22% (+2) CON: 20% (-1) LDM: 13% (=) GRN: 10% (-1) SNP: 3% (+1) Via @Moreincommon_ , 23-25 Jan. Changes w/ 16-19 Jan. |
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Reform lead being eroded with another polling firm.
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With Keir Starmer to make the first visit to China by a British PM since Theresa May, how do Britons see the country?
Generally a friend and ally: 4% Generally a friendly rival: 23% Generally unfriendly: 29% Generally a hostile threat: 22% A lot of water under the bridge since Mrs may |
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Yougov
What one news story do Britons say they heard the most about last week (fieldwork: 25-26 Jan) -Trump's threats to Greenland: 25% -Trump [general / other]: 23% -ICE shooting: 9% -Trump's claims about UK troops in Afghanistan: 6% -Trump speech at Davos: 5% -Beckham family feud: 4% -Andy Burnham: 2% -Immigration: 2% -Criticisms of govt: 2% Beckhams seething!!! |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 29% (-3) GRN: 19% (+2) LAB: 17% (+3) CON: 17% (-1) LDM: 11% (=) SNP: 3% (=) Via @FindoutnowUK , 28 Jan. Changes w/ 21 Jan. |
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According to Find Out Now, Reform leaking votes to both Tories and Labour.
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Sorry, Make that Green and Labour.
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Holyrood Voting Intention:
Constituency: SNP: 34% (+2) RFM: 20% (+3) LAB: 15% (-5) CON: 10% (=) LDM: 10% (=) GRN: 9% (+1) Regional: SNP: 29% (=) RFM: 20% (+2) LAB: 15% (-6) GRN: 12% (+2) CON: 11% (+1) LDM: 9% (-1) ALBA: 1% (-2) Via @YouGov, 8-14 Jan. Changes w/ 13-19 Jun 2025. |
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Seat Model:
SNP: 56 (-8) RFM: 24 (+24) LAB: 16 (-6) CON: 11 (-20) LDM: 11 (+7) GRN: 11 (+3) Changes w/ 2021. Electionmaps uk |
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Looks like an SNP and Green governing coalition on the cards there.
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Bearsden South (East Dunbartonshire) Council By-Election Result [1st Prefs]:
LDM: 38.1% (+14.9) SNP: 17.2% (-6.2) RFM: 15.5% (New) LAB: 14.2% (-1.9) GRN: 8.1% (+0.9) CON: 6.2% (-17.0) SFP: 0.8% (New) No Inds (-4.7, -2.3) as previous. Liberal Democrat 'Gain' from Conservative - Stage 5. Changes w/ 2022. Another "Vote for the party best placed to beat Reform" result. |
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RFM 31% (+2)
CON 20% (+1) LAB 18% (-3) LD 12% (+1) GRN 12% (+1) OTH 7% (-) F/w 28th - 29th Jan 2026. Changes vs 14/01/2026 survation |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 30% (-3) LAB: 22% (+4) CON: 19% (+3) GRN: 12% (-3) LDM: 12% (=) Via @Ipsos_in_the_UK , 22-27 Jan. Changes w/ 30 Oct - 5 Nov. |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 26% (+1) LAB: 19% (-2) CON: 18% (+1) GRN: 17% (+1) LDM: 14% (=) Via @YouGov , 1-2 Feb. Changes w/ 25-26 Jan. |
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By 50% to 24%, Britons say Keir Starmer should step down as prime minister
Thats possibly a good result for him with polls at sub 20% |
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Clevedon South (North Somerset) Council By-Election Result:
LAB: 29.0% (-25.4) RFM: 27.7% (New) CON: 18.6% (-27.0) GRN: 16.3% (New) LDM: 8.3% (New) Labour HOLD. Changes w/ 2023. Rees Mogg country. Wonder if will alter his defecation price on here? |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
REF: 31% (=) LAB: 23% (+1) CON: 16% (-1) GRN: 13% (+2) LDEM: 10% (-3) From @OpiniumResearch From 4th - 6th February Changes with 23rd January |
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A real pinch here
How young men would vote in #GE2029: Grn: 30% (+18) Lab: 21% (-19) Lib: 17% (+1) Con: 12% (+2) Ref: 12% (=) Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE2024) |
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Just 22% of Britons believe it is likely that Keir Starmer will still be prime minister at the end of 2026, as Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar calls on him to resign
Likely: 22% (-7 from 5 Jan) Unlikely: 63% (+8) 2024 Labour Likely: 37% (-8) Unlikely: 51% (+12) Yougov |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 27% (+1) LAB: 19% (=) CON: 18% (=) GRN: 16% (-1) LDM: 14% (=) Via @YouGov, 8-9 Feb. Changes w/ 1-2 Feb. ------------------------- I always find it odd that in the middle of what is perceived to be a full blown crisis, an opinion poll is barely moved. |
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YouGov most important issues tracker, 7-9 February 2026
Economy: 53% (-1 from 31 Jan-2 Feb) Immigration: 48% (-2) Health: 33% (+1) Defence: 22% (-2) Crime: 18% (=) Housing: 17% (=) Tax: 16% (-1) Welfare: 16% (+2) Environment: 15% (-2) Europe: 14% (=) Education: 11% (+1) Remarkable, or maybe they asked folk that had never heard of epstein, Prince Andrew, Trump, mandleson and starmer ... And that might explain static polling too!!! |
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While a plurality of Britons say Keir Starmer should stand down as PM, this figure is largely unchanged since last week, while the number saying he should remain in post has risen by 8pts
Stand down: 48% (-2 from 5 Feb) Remain: 32% (+8) 2024 Labour Stand down: 33% (-4) Remain: 52% (+12) Kind of reaction that might split by election vote... |
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^^^^ yougov
Last line my comment |
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Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 30% (=) LAB: 23% (+2) CON: 21% (+1) LDM: 12% (-2) GRN: 10% (=) SNP: 2% (-1) Via @Moreincommon_ , 6-10 Feb. Changes w/ 31 Jan - 2 Feb. |