is anyone doing polls on May Local Elections?

UK - Local Elections -- 2026 UK Local Elections: Winning Party

5 Runners            £50,962 Matched

			108.5%		97.7%
Reform	1.01	1.11	1.12		1.14	1.17	1.18	£43,252
	£3	£50	£20		£330	£100	£22
Green	-	1.01	8.6		17.5	18	38	£3,846
		£3	£7		£15	£5	£1
Labour	7.6	17.5	18.5		27	80	180	£2,292
	£5	£7	£43		£5	£2	£4
Liberal Democrats	38	70	75		530	540	590	£921
	£2	£13	£1		£2	£1	£2
Conservative	90	110	120		270	280	890	£651
	£2	£2	£8		£5	£2	£3

UK local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7th, 2026.

This market will be turned in-play with unmatched bets cancelled at the stated time on the day of the election. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.

This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates individually win the most seats/local elections at local government elections for UK local governments during those elections occurring on May 7th. Local elections will constitute; London Borough Councils, Metropolitan Boroughs, Unitary Authorities, County Councils, District Councils and Elected Mayors. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. This market will settle only on those seats won at the stated election.

Westminster Voting Intention [Incl. Restore & Your Party]:

RFM: 24% (-1)
GRN: 20% (+2)
CON: 17% (+1)
LAB: 16% (=)
LDM: 10% (-1)
RES: 7% (=)
SNP: 2% (=)
YRP: 1% (=)

Via
@FindoutnowUK
, 3-4 Mar.
Changes w/ 20-21 Feb.

New Survation polling conducted yesterday shows that the public are sceptical towards US and Israeli actions, and do not want to see further UK involvement in the conflict.

Over two-fifths (43%) think that US and Israeli action is unjustified, compared to 30% who do.

Labour has won a county council by-election, taking the seat back from Reform.

Julie Griffiths was elected to serve the Murton ward on Durham County Council on Thursday.

The by-election was called after former Reform member David Cumming stepped down last year due to work commitments. The turnout was 24.9%.

Griffiths got 1,004 votes, with Reform's Theo Bell coming in second on 786 votes, and Isaac Short of the Green Party third with 95 votes.

She will represent Murton alongside Reform's Mark Rowney.

Griffiths, who is also the chair of Murton Parish Council, previously served the ward until the local elections in 2025 when she lost her seat.

"I have always been a pavement politician and listened to local people. I couldn't let people down," she told the Local Democracy Reporting Service.


4 attempts to post this... Cumming banned

Reform UK: 27% (-5)
Labour: 20% (no change)
Conservatives: 18% (+1)
Greens: 14% (+1)
Lib Dems: 12% (+1)

-Lowest Reform vote share with BMG in a year
-Highest Green vote share with BMG to date
(1,503 GB adults, 4/5 March)

Ref lead of 8pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 29% (-1)
LAB: 21% (+3)
CON: 16% (-2)
GRN: 14% (+1)
LDEM: 10% (-2)

via
@OpiniumResearch
, 04 - 06 Mar
Chgs. w/ 27 Feb

Somebody asked about local election polling on here.

Not a poll as such, and possibly just hearsay to scare starmer?

But...

Senior Labour politicians across London have been privately circulating new data that suggests Labour could drop from first to fourth place in London – losing control of all but two of their councils – with the Greens soaring into first place to take nine.

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 27% (+1)
LAB: 20% (-1)
CON: 18% (-2)
LDM: 14% (=)
GRN: 13% (+3)
SNP: 2% (-1)
RES: 2% (New)
YRP: 0% (New)

Via
@focaldataHQ
, 6-10 Mar.
Changes w/ 16-19 Jan.

It appears that Reform support has settled around the 27% mark. They can't win anything with that level of support faced with tactical voting.

That Reform lead is gradually being eroded every week.

While many are criticising the Bank of England's decision to take historical figures off banknotes, when we asked the public what they most wanted to see on banknotes, 63% picked something other than historical figures - including 59-60% of Tory and Reform voters

Yougov

Vote for the party best placed to beat Reform...

Reform tailed off again.

I can't remember a lower vote total, but I've not
seen them all,...

It must be disheartening for the candidate.

I find it baffling that Reform are favourites to win most seats at the next General election. Their lead in the polls is being consistently eroded and cannot win anything with their current opinion poll share coupled with inevitable tactical voting.

even on their current late 20s vote share with the others below 20 they'd been in for around 300 seats with no one else getting a 100. it's how first past the post works if you're significantly ahead of everyone else. the gap to the others is what counts

Find Out Now
@FindoutnowUK
·
Mar 28
Find Out Now voting intention
Reform UK: 24% (-1)
Greens: 20% (+1)
Conservatives: 18% (+1)
Labour: 16% (-)
Lib Dems: 12% (+1)

Implied turnout: 54%

Changes from 18th March
[Find Out Now, 26-27th March, N=3,092]

https://x.com/FindoutnowUK/status/2037860410859106341/photo/1

Holyrood Voting Intention:

Constituency:
SNP: 34% (-1)
LAB: 19% (+2)
RFM: 15% (-4)
CON: 11% (+1)
LDM: 10% (+2)
GRN: 8% (=)

Regional:
SNP: 30% (=)
LAB: 17% (=)
RFM: 15% (-4)
GRN: 12% (+1)
CON: 10% (-1)
LDM: 10% (+3)

Via @NorstatUKPolls, 30 Mar - 1 Apr.
Changes w/ 10-13 Feb.



Election maps Seat Model:

SNP: 59 (-5)
LAB: 21 (-1)
RFM: 16 (+16)
LDM: 12 (+8)
GRN: 11 (+3)
CON: 10 (-21)

Changes w/ 2021.

Election maps Seat Model:

SNP: 64 (-1)
LAB: 16 (-6)
RFM: 16 (+16)
GRN: 15 (+7)
CON: 12 (-19)
LDM: 7 (+3)