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Start Of The Jumps
Start Of The Jumps
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Replies: 1,312
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Sage, I just posted exactly the same about the in running price on Homme dun soir on the thread about the fav in that race
Should just trust my own eyes, but feared my pics were way behind |
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Fastorslow injured, out for season
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ditto reg. I did back it before the race but only at 4.2. Alice Stevens is among the best conditionals.
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sad to hear about Fastorslow cobs. There will be plenty more injuries before March. I will repeat my challenge to name 10 horses which will run in named races at the Cheltenham Festival and get 5 right.
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Exactly Sage, ante-post punting not for me, at least not until NRNB available...
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Golden Move another in running puzzle. Yes it was a bit free but for a horse that is cruising along in the lead to trade at 30 for a few pounds and up to 200 for pence is quite extraordinary. When a horse is a stone ahead of the opposition it is entitled to pull.
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Stone in hand, I'd say it might have 2. The other one that went with it was pulled up and it just ran away from them until the blunder at the last
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I thought I had better be conservative in hell
 It cost £200k from the flat. I still can't see it being a star though. |
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mulhol was put on cold list has 2 winners
venetia every pundit tells us is hot,hot has 4 losers in an hr to go with the unfancied [ in betting winner |
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Mulholland had 0 from 26 before today so backing 2 shorties would not pay for following him. However, it could be the start of a hot streak as he does seem to have winners in batches with quiet spells in between. Tizzard poor today but I was right about the 2 in the 3.10. Only 4 got round in that.
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Hello 1tp
Perhaps Venetia is coming to the end of her hot spell, it wouldn't surprise me In fairness, today's 5 runners gave 2 losers, 2 2nds at 10/3 and 17/2, and a 11/2 winner So, not too shabby She's got some entries on Saturday that I'm looking forward to at Aintree, Chepstow and Sandown, so I'm hoping she's still hot for a few more days |
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Anyone betting these FOB or Skelton bumper runners needs their accounts closed. Neither put in the race, FOB still keep getting bet and made Fav.
Can be the stable either |
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Plenty of trainers would love 1 winner a day 1st time poster. Hobbs had 1 from last 21 runs, Bowen nothing for 25 days, Hales 22 losers in a row.
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Another bummer. After I posted I backed Bel Ombre 22/1 4 Places. Again I have landed on the outsider that ended up being backed 25/1-17/2. Until the straight that looked a decent bet. He travelled well to such an extent winning was even a possibility, but rather than the leaders, he was the one who fell in a hole. The O'Brien horse who was never in the race, but managed to run him down. I don't think the rain helped his cause at all.
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Couple of horses I like tomorrow - but both running on the wrong ground - Cadell and Plantorama. Maybe they will both be pulled. Cadell would have at least an each-way chance on good ground, and Platorama would be very hard to beat on a similar surface. They took out Plantorama at Lingfield the other day, perhaps they will try and get away with it in a weaker race. As I said last time the prices with the bookmakers would be the same whatever the ground. 5/2 a steal on good ground, on soft, not so sure.
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Cadell is an interesting choice in what looks a very hot race. If you look at the runs of Handstands in the Sidney Banks and Welcome to Cartries in the River Don, they both read very well. They don't have chase experience which could be a big disadvantage but then you look at the highest rated in the race, Resplendent Glory, who has 2 good chase runs recently. Cadell has to improve and on good ground I agree he might but on soft it seems unlikely. I will take a chance with Welcome to Cartries. We will also find out if Quebecois is as good as he looked at Chepstow in the 1.58 at Sandown.
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Just to clarify I am not backing Cadell. I hope they take him out. Trainer states 'hope it doesn't get too soft'. It already is.
Surprised that Jurancon isn't running in the novice hurdle at Sandown. |
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plenty of trainers would be happy with a winner a day
your not a trainer your a punter if your backing blind your backing all the losers as well |
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Agree about Jurancon. Today is a very low target but could increase penalties next time.
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I am not a trainer but I have been an owner and try to read trainers minds.
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Not taken Cadell out yet, but the 12/1 and drifting should give them a clue. Plantaroma uneasy.
Looking ahead to tomorrow I think Navan is by far the most interesting card. Big fields and probably lots of potential on view. Lots of threadbare stuff over here. |
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In the 2.33 at Sandown, Handstands doesn't strike me as a 3 miler. Thought he'd be more a 2 and half miler and jumping out making all type horse and maybe going down in trip
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Backing Moorland Rambler E/W in the 1st at Exeter. Been running over fences which didn't seem to suit, should be fit now as had 2 runs this season, goes on the ground and course winner. Best Jock in the race and can see this coming through from 2 out and running on for a place at least.
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Very disappointing Plantaroma getting beat that thing, finished very weakly and another McCain horse stopping as though it's been shot.
Maghlaak, the handicapper should tell them to get lost and not give it a mark. Never put in the race and ridden behind other horses |
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The difference that ground makes. A pathetic performance from Plantaroma. Probably ran more than a stone or more below the Chepstow form. Even jumped much better than the winner, but that made zero difference.
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wd with Moorland Rambler. I am pleased to see that Lowrys Bar has been backed. The stable form is erratic at best but this is the best horse in the yard imo. Lowry Bar, Quebecois and Welcome To Cartries my only bets today. I took 7.4 about Rubaud yesterday for tomorrow at Sandown and I am amazed that it has drifted to 9. If it can jump well it should beat that lot.
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Made very hard work of it but Lowry's Bar was brave on the run in. first 2 well clear.
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Had a small ew bet on Stormy Flight
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That was a brave bet. Jeremy Scott has been quiet but Exeter is one of his stamping grounds.
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Yeh, just a course form/speed figure stab
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Quebecois well beaten by what must be a very good horse in Bill Joyce. The rest were beaten miles.
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I think the rest were beaten miles because of the ground rather than it being a strong form pointer. Bill Joyce too much class for Quebecois. He just looks slow, and that's the second time he has been found out upped in class. Bill Joyce did enough to warrant entries in the Turners and Albert Bartlett. Can't even see a quote for the latter race, but you would imagine he should almost be favourite, although you would think he would stay at the shorter trip for the time being.
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Favourite to be the first GB horse home but Henry, Willie and Gordon might have 5 or 6 better ones in Ireland. Another Henderson bubble badly dented there.
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I don't think that's so obvious this year, certainly not so far.
Denemethy. Anyone got a clue what O'Brien has been doing since he got this horse? He made all, jumping well, to win his point, beating Lowry's Bar. Since then he has run him over the wrong trip, and held him up at the back. It looks clueless stuff. Talking of clueless trainers. Plataroma and Cadell, two long trips for nothing. I was impressed with Handstands, enough to back him for the Brown Advisory. He travelled and jumped very well, and stayed on strongly. Only negative at this stage would be his form being mainly right handed. |
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Sage, I would imagine the drift on Rubaud is down to the likely soft ground, as he needs a decent surface. (If the meeting goes ahead)
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Bill Joyce inserted at 20/1 for the Albert Bartlett. Oddschecker lagging behind.
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All the Welsh league football has been called off already for tomorrow. Chepstow looks highly unlikely to go ahead and I would imagine all the other jumps fixtures are worse than 50/50 as the winds are forecast to be terrible.
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Wetherby inspecting again at 7am
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True brandy and with loads of rain forecast Rubaud might not run even if he meeting is on.
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Wouldn't say Tom Symonds was clueless. The horse Plantaroma got beat by an improving horse (gave a Willie Mullins one a scare lto) and beat the rest by 13L and more
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