GR 2nd @ 8/1. That'll do nicely

As Delboy said "We've had worse days Rodney!" - it seems everybody that posted selections/races must have had a pretty good day!

Apologies if I have missed anybody out but the summary looks a bit like this imo (appreciate you all prob got better than ISP but using ISP for simplicity):

Kenny:  4 ew selections (Taking the 19:20 Booom on trust! ) and assuming the others were the obvious filth? 1 unplaced and 3 winners (5/2, 2/1 & 5/2).
Skip:   3 ew selections in a patent 2 placed (at 3/1, & 2/1) and a winner at 4/6 (would imaging you got much bigger).
Johnmn: 7 ew selections, 3 unplaced, 1 placed at 2/1 and 3 winners at 5/2, 2/1 & 5/1.
Biff:   1 ew selection, (expect you did a few other winners too but thanks for drawing attention to this one) 1 winner at 5/2.
Stewart:2 ew selections (on this thread) 6/1 winner and 12/1 second beaten a head by stablemate + I know you posted winners elsewhere (again!)
Shirl:  You need to stop betting ew in Handicaps! - just kidding do what you like - 1 ew selection placed 2nd at 8/1.
I managed to reduce my stakes and avoid doing any multiples - so obviously everything I bet on won! at 5/2, 2/1 & 5/2

The slow drip fills the bucket!

I have got some things on tomorrow but I will try to post - it doesn't look great at first glance though.

3.50 Newcastle Small ew bet on Panist
6.10 Kempton Byzantine Empire - unraced but I’ll have a little go at it ew
6.40 Kempton Hot Summer - the market only gives three a chance at early prices and I’ll go with the Hannon  horse
7.20 Kilbeggan Memories Remain - This looks the best ew of the day to me. No doubt I’ll come to regret that statement at around half seven.

All the rest of the days non handicaps paying three places look too competitive to me so I’ll stick to the four above.
Good luck.

I am on skip - bit shorter than I hoped though! GL

Hot Summer..... Must go close in the 6-40 at Kempton.

Not a great day for me. The first race at Stratford tomorrow looks interesting

Agreed SEE THE SEA is a very smart hurdler and looks a great bet in what Is effectively a match..

Well for what it’s worth my bets today are:

1.35 Ascot Ropey Guest - simply taking on the unraced horses

2.10 Ascot Pocket Square - as above

2.15 Stratford See the Sea - obvious to all on here

3 ew singles to varying degrees

3 x ew doubles and a smaller ew treble.

Good luck with your selections today.

With the 5 places offer I have also had to back ALRIGHT SUNSHINE in the Old Burrough Cup at 6/1.

Think there may be 1 or 2 at Stratford but only in 6/7 runner races.
3.25 Best Not Argue, 6 runner field in this seller and bottom 2 are totally out of form, so virtually a 4 horse race paying 1st 2. The other 4 are slightly trickier to seperate but Elliott trained 2 of them until recently, Let Skeaping go after winning a seller by 14 lengths and has been btn twice for new trainer, GE should know how his horse stands against that one, but his stable has been having a quiet patch recently and after opening at 2.2 had drifted right out to 5.7, back in slightly now, but looks a bad sign to me, leaves me with just Ballyellis for NTD who does really well this time of year but has a very poor record with the wretches he runs in sellers, jockey has had hardly any rides for ages either, looks to have a chance on form but prefer Kellys horse about 11/4 for the 1-2, with NTDs the likely danger.

4.35 Competition-Should go close for Dr Newland, just pipped the other day at Worcester by a course specialist, with previous winner for in form Michael Blake in 3rd, hopefully should place at least.
5.10 Think Bagan and Atlantic Storm can fight this out, both C/D winners and little between them on times of their wins.
2.45 Ascot-hard to see last years winner Ripp Orf being out of the frame, very good C/D form always there or thereabouts.

Aaaasrgggghhhhh

Things look a bit thin on the ground to me today.

2.55 York - Perfection ew to a small stake
3.25 York - The market is struggling to split the 2nd and 3rd favs and it’s the dead 8 so I’ll probably swerve it.
4.20 Font - Clever as a Fox might be the one to small stakes. Dead 8 again.
2.00 List - A wave of sea at the moment but something is telling me to swerve it.
3.35 List - looks competitive for the places.

Perfection is the only definite for me at the moment to small stakes.

Good luck.

BTW John - i didn't have a bet on the 13:35 at Ascot yesterday (I watched it in a shop whilst placing some bets on the 14:15) but I don't think you made a schoolboy error - I think the market just got it horribly, horribly wrong! - and by doing so, diverted you (and me!) away from a nice priced winner! In a former life, using a different MO, Ropey Guest (at 5/4 ISP) or any horse at 5/4 with that profile, would have been my lay of the Century!!

It's a prime example of price being everything imo, this is what I wrote yesterday:

Hi Jonmh - Ropey Guest (13:35) has me totally stumped. It is the kind of horse I would (formerly) have loved to lay OR bet against. I think it is over-rated, has been flattered in very good/valuable races, has been over-reached in it's placement, might not be 100% genuine, expected to see some head-gear tried by now, etc, etc. But in the race today and the way that race is made up, I have an almost overwhelming desire to BACK it! I hope it wins for you - and I will possibly be on it ew too if they go OTT about either/both of the newcomers - but at the moment it still looks like going off fav (and I can't be having it ew at a favs price). Will be cheering it on either way. GL

I know I covered all the bases there but I stand by all of that - because I think that horse & that race beautifully demonstrates the importance of the maths and that price is everything (for me anyway)! - At different maths/prices, the same horse running in the same race really could have been my "lay of the century" (at a silly short price - 5/4 - when I used to operate that way) for all the reasons above. Or with an official rating of 99 (whoops!) and Adjusted Postmark of 110 it could equally have been (imo), a very nice little each-way selection at 7/2+, 8 runners exactly and running against mostly un-raced dangers that were unlikely to be given a very hard race FTO.

Either way, despite being horribly conflicted - I really didn't expect it to try making the running! (especially at a moderate pace) - It was a really odd race imo. It will probably win a Listed race now (in first time headgear!) to make me look a total @rse.

But I do think it's a classic example of why Price is Everything.

I know you already knew that, so not trying to patronise or rub it in - but I wanted to get it off my chest because, like you I suspect, I feel like I cheated myself out of a 7/2 winner! GL - out for the day now.

Marnie James EW 2.55 York. 5/1-6/1.

No good yesterday with Perfection finishing in fourth place. Having looked at my bets it seems the better results come at 3/1 and below though that is admittedly only from a small sample.
Anyway here goes for today:
2.25 Newton Abbot - Bathiva
6.00 Wolves - Say it Simple
7.00 Wolves- Capla Berry
8.30 Wolves - Badessa . Good shape to this market but the horse is unraced.
3.25 Listowel - Riven Light
They will all be played ew to small stakes. 2.20 Listowel has the shape but the second fav is over 3/1 so I’ll pass. You know what will happen.

Hi John/Skip et al

It looked like a bumper day (at first glance last night) with lots of potentially "nice shaped" races. So many, that it's actually taken me much longer than usual to work through them all. Now that I have - I think that for one reason or another (NR, Seller, Claimer, Irish, too many "lurkers" etc) I have pretty much ruled them all out as ew single bets bar one race! (I looked at the 14:20, 14:25, 15:25, 16:00, 18:00, 19:00, 20:00 and 20:30)!

Although I usually pass if I have to look too hard (selections should leap off the page imo) - I still want to look at that one race at Wolverhampton in more depth (replays etc) - but in summary this afternoon would all feel a bit too speculative or "manufactured" for any ew singles for me. I will post again if the one at Wolves later is a "goer" (imo) as an ew single. GL all.

Sitting on hands is sooooo hard with races like 14:20 Listowel! - If it weren't Listowel, I would really like to oppose this favourite (Jungle Cove) with an each way selection against it. It has the profile of a horse I would lay (if I were a layer). Although if it keeps drifting it might become the ew selection itself!!!
I actually kind of hope it bolts up to make me feel foolish (for knocking its profile) - as that would be preferable to sitting on my hands and watching the 2nd or 3rd Fav win the race! You can't win with this very selective outlook - but to be fair, you can't lose either!

Lancaster House 3.25
Mean Fomhair    4.55
Ew Double.

Yes, put up a big write up for this horse the other day but was a NR, look back a few days you'll find it, have hoisted it 13lbs but after Tribal Path nearly won earlier, i'll be really disappointed if doesn't win, place just a saver.

Well ditched sttlm - I struggle to play with any confidence in claimers and sellers - I always take a keen interest in first time headgear in that type of (low grade) race though. There were two dodge-pots (imo) plus the Pipe horse all running in first time (assorted) headgear. Vancouver and Foxy Act possibly ran interesting races and (arguably) improved for it. Very sad that the Pipe horse didn't come back.