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Australia v South Africa - 1st Test at the WACA

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Replies: 707

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 07:44

I remember laying Aus hard at 7s thinking they were toast, it cost me a lot of profit!

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 05 Nov 16 07:44

Don't get out now boy!

Holding off the Aus lay just in case!

By:

Fatslogger When: 05 Nov 16 07:45

Oh wow, that draw. I'm close to all green. It's had my 4.8. Course now there's the regret I wasn't greedier but let's not complain.

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 07:45

Nov 5, 2016 -- 7:45AM, Fatslogger wrote:

Oh wow, that draw. I'm close to all green. It's had my 4.8. Course now there's the regret I wasn't greedier but let's not complain.

WIMP

By:

Fatslogger When: 05 Nov 16 07:47

Nov 5, 2016 -- 7:44AM, Whisperingdeath wrote:

Don't get out now boy!Holding off the Aus lay just in case!

You've missed your market, I think. I wouldn't object to those odds as being unfair but they don't represent a good trade as the market will believe a little bit in Australia even chasing 450.

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 07:47

It will go down to 4s and then stick there. It always does.

By:

Fatslogger When: 05 Nov 16 07:50

Nov 5, 2016 -- 7:45AM, jucel69 wrote:

Nov 5, 2016 -- 6:45AM, Fatslogger wrote:Oh wow, that draw. I'm close to all green. It's had my 4.8. Course now there's the regret I wasn't greedier but let's not complain.WIMP

Lol. It's a difficult one to get spot on. I can only really think of the Oval England Pakistan test where I was happy with where all my draw lays had been after the event, with England's opening pair doing just enough to pick up the last one somewhere in the 2s, then the inevitable 4 wicket collapse. Even then I did some of my profit by tinkering on day 4 and laying Pak short. In fact, even in that game I didn't buy draw hard enough at 9s or whatever overnight after day 1 (wasn't in a great position, to be fair) and layed it off too early.

By:

pxb When: 05 Nov 16 07:58

When trading, it's always better to be too early, than too late.

By:

Fatslogger When: 05 Nov 16 08:03

Nov 5, 2016 -- 7:58AM, pxb wrote:

When trading, it's always better to be too early, than too late.

Wise as always. You regret taking the profit too soon a little and missing it through greed and losing instead you regret a lot. Having said that and we've talked about this before, the psychology of wanting the win, even if it's small and being loss averse, even if you take far larger risks to get rid of it, can play against you. I don't think I'm too bad for taking the win early as you have to swing when you're winning but I'm terrible at just taking my medicine when losing.

Draw rather stuck at 5s for a bit.

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 08:03

Come to the conclusion the crack is a red herring. After watching today's play if it hits it, it will deviate away and there is no chance of nicking it. With the angle I can't see it hitting the crack and decking back to bowl the batsmen

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 08:15

Been loads of wickets right before intervals recently

By:

Fatslogger When: 05 Nov 16 08:45

I've had a few more draw backs above 6 one of which I've already hit the lay for. I don't think the draw minds Faf in rather than Duminy and it's not any less flat than earlier. Don't want to see de Kock this session though.

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 08:50

Nov 5, 2016 -- 8:45AM, Fatslogger wrote:

I've had a few more draw backs above 6 one of which I've already hit the lay for. I don't think the draw minds Faf in rather than Duminy and it's not any less flat than earlier. Don't want to see de Kock this session though.

A couple hours of Faf should see you right FS

By:

Fatslogger When: 05 Nov 16 08:51

Draw's stayed up longer than I expected actually: thought it would dive down to 5s fairly quickly if a slow start to the session but it rarely resists back to back maidens.

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 08:52

The bird on the Coral advert looks like a bit of a goer'

By:

DAN1974 When: 05 Nov 16 08:58

Omg. Just got up. Champagne breakfast for me

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 08:59

Nov 5, 2016 -- 8:58AM, DAN1974 wrote:

Omg. Just got up. Champagne breakfast for me

I'm on Skol!

By:

Fatslogger When: 05 Nov 16 09:00

Nov 5, 2016 -- 8:52AM, jucel69 wrote:

The bird on the Coral advert looks like a bit of a goer'

She does a bit. I expect they instructed her to look like that.

Price stubborner than I expected and need to hit 4.9 to break even on results with a big draw green left over. I'm quite happy with how this session is setting the draw up though, even if. The market hasn't noticed. It looks flat, there aren't many runs coming and silly mid on is in, which always says the bowling side is desperate.

By:

DAN1974 When: 05 Nov 16 09:01

What a test match. Everyone must be green surely.

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 09:02

Nov 5, 2016 -- 9:00AM, Fatslogger wrote:

Nov 5, 2016 -- 7:52AM, jucel69 wrote:The bird on the Coral advert looks like a bit of a goer'She does a bit. I expect they instructed her to look like that. Price stubborner than I expected and need to hit 4.9 to break even on results with a big draw green left over. I'm quite happy with how this session is setting the draw up though, even if. The market hasn't noticed. It looks flat, there aren't many runs coming and silly mid on is in, which always says the bowling side is desperate.

when she says "get yer mobile out". The bloke almost jizzes his kegs

By:

sonofshinner When: 05 Nov 16 09:02

steyn injury factored in to saffas price.

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 09:02

Nov 5, 2016 -- 9:01AM, DAN1974 wrote:

What a test match. Everyone must be green surely.

No, massive red!

By:

Fatslogger When: 05 Nov 16 09:05

Finally the draw takes a dive. I'd got myself quite exposed not believing I could get more 6s. I'm still in a fair bit of bother if there's a collapse, in fact but I still think it's got some more falling to do soon.

By:

peckerdunne When: 05 Nov 16 09:08

I wonder what are the first signs of Jizzing one's legs............

By:

Fatslogger When: 05 Nov 16 09:09

Nov 5, 2016 -- 9:08AM, peckerdunne wrote:

I wonder what are the first signs of Jizzing one's legs............

The draw hitting 3.5, I think. Maybe 4s, actually.

By:

peckerdunne When: 05 Nov 16 09:11

Wish I had hung on longer to my £75 at 50s......

By:

DAN1974 When: 05 Nov 16 09:12

KP is a complete d1ck

By:

Fatslogger When: 05 Nov 16 09:14

I know I'm banging on about this but dream session for draw backers with the slight problem that the market hasn't noticed.

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 09:14

Nov 5, 2016 -- 9:08AM, peckerdunne wrote:

I wonder what are the first signs of Jizzing one's legs............

kegs not legs

By:

peckerdunne When: 05 Nov 16 09:28

00000000ppppppppssssssssssss.................

By:

Fatslogger When: 05 Nov 16 09:39

Couple of overs too soon for me: lay at 5.1 only nibbbled and 4.9 untouched. Have bought more draw at 7.6 even so.

By:

ayt When: 05 Nov 16 10:06

i ll keep my back of Aus at 9 in my bag,,think Aus ll get close in chasing of 440

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 05 Nov 16 10:09

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 10:12

I told ya WD, never write these feckers off. Never got my bet of 10s matched unfortunately

By:

tomtimtum When: 05 Nov 16 10:12

Aus going to be even money to chase these down at this rate!

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 10:12

Not sure Steyn will bat either

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 05 Nov 16 10:13

I still think this will be beyond Aus Juce. Wickets expected to fall in clumps. De Kock still there. I just hope the lead gets to 400 to give the SA spinners some protection. Anything above 400 absolutely kills the game for Aus.

By:

jucel69 When: 05 Nov 16 10:14

Duminy's shot before tea started the rot

By:

tomtimtum When: 05 Nov 16 10:14

SA tail can bat

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 05 Nov 16 10:14

I was waiting for this situation but was impetuous and made a stupid Aus lay at 8.6 just before tea, just before Duminy was out. I coulda murdered this market with Aus at 3's odd! Dumb dumb dumb!