Nov 5, 2016 -- 5:30AM, Fatslogger wrote:

Nov  5, 2016 --  4:25AM, jucel69 wrote:can't remember a wicketless session for Aus !They had two on day one in I think it was the first Sri Lanka test after 5 early wickets.

i mean in aus

Nov 5, 2016 -- 5:31AM, Whisperingdeath wrote:

I am hoping for single figure draw price too...we'll smash it slogger!

I need it to get to 4! I will be pretty good if it gets there, let alone down to my last lay at 3.5 though. Still would only be a bit under £1.5k all green though. I've been in a very deep hole since SA lost that 4th wicket, let alone when they lost the second in the second innings. I'm still losing 3k to a collapse straight after lunch.

Nov 5, 2016 -- 5:32AM, pxb wrote:

WinViz has SAF 83% to win. Seems a bit high to me.

It doesn't know Steyn is injured, although seems slightly high even then. Market has a little over 60, which feels a little low to me but have to bear in mind that missing Steyn will keep SA cautious. Even if they get past tea only 3 or 4 down they won't try to push along too much, although of course de Kock can only bat to score once he's in (hopefully after lunch tomorrow from my point of view).

Nov 5, 2016 -- 6:19AM, jucel69 wrote:

Nov  5, 2016 --  5:15AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:JP Duminy looks a million dollars!costing me a million dollars!

Oops. Every now and again you get fixed by a player you've never rated, which is doubly galling. Does Lyon only take wickets when you don't want him to?

As I said, draw has come right in without a wicket early after the resumption. Shame I only got my last lay matched just after lunch or I'd have bought more over the interval but was just too deep already to be that risky. Market thinks this is flat and draw could be in single figures soon. Another 3-4 overs?

Nov 4, 2016 -- 3:02PM, Fatslogger wrote:

Nov  4, 2016 -- 10:10AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:Still got a horror position in the market but it has slightly improved, if the draw somehow comes into play (and I don't know how) could come out unscathed.I have massively comedy draw green and £3.6k red results.  I've had better positions. This is almost certainly my pocket talking but I can see the draw coming back under 10s, just possibly even a fair way down from there. It needs some prospect of SA batting the game dead by lasting another 4 sessions or ideally a little over. They will certainly aim to do that, as there is loads of time left to get plenty of runs ahead and no advantage in pushing the scoring rate towards a declaration, partly because of the time and partly because of Steyn's injury. It's still an utterly massive ask, of course, requiring some huge contributions from at least two batsmen and probably a few others to chip in. For the game to be drawn Aus would then have to last four or more sessions themselves but the draw will probably be under 3 by then as if SA survive forever, market will reckon Aus will also be able to without Steyn. Course far more likely we never see the draw anywhere even near 20 but we can hope.

Good Call that!

Nov 5, 2016 -- 6:40AM, Fatslogger wrote:

Nov  5, 2016 --  5:33AM, jucel69 wrote:Yeh on both accounts. Worse thing is, he always gets wickets just when I'm a few ticks from hitting a targetHe's cost me thousands. I do bet against Australia a fair bit but it's more than that, it's as you say, wickets when the draw is on the move and I'm about to go green etc. Hmm, draw stalled a bit but can't really complain. Couple more quiet overs would suit me well. Loving Elgar's work here. Grinding them down is the way in the heat, with Starc a little impaired especially.

and Siddle hasn't had much bowling recently either.

Nov 5, 2016 -- 6:39AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:

Nov  4, 2016 --  2:02PM, Fatslogger wrote:Nov  4, 2016 -- 10:10AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:Still got a horror position in the market but it has slightly improved, if the draw somehow comes into play (and I don't know how) could come out unscathed.I have massively comedy draw green and £3.6k red results.  I've had better positions. This is almost certainly my pocket talking but I can see the draw coming back under 10s, just possibly even a fair way down from there. It needs some prospect of SA batting the game dead by lasting another 4 sessions or ideally a little over. They will certainly aim to do that, as there is loads of time left to get plenty of runs ahead and no advantage in pushing the scoring rate towards a declaration, partly because of the time and partly because of Steyn's injury. It's still an utterly massive ask, of course, requiring some huge contributions from at least two batsmen and probably a few others to chip in. For the game to be drawn Aus would then have to last four or more sessions themselves but the draw will probably be under 3 by then as if SA survive forever, market will reckon Aus will also be able to without Steyn. Course far more likely we never see the draw anywhere even near 20 but we can hope.Good Call that!

Thanks. I am still over £2.5k red on results so though so not exactly brilliantly placed. Problem is that I was in a huge draw hole then made it a little deeper before SA lost their first wicket so needed this kind of thing just to get vaguely back in the market. If I'd only thought of it once the draw was at 60s I'd have been in clover!

Nov 5, 2016 -- 6:49AM, Whisperingdeath wrote:

Where is T3I need some analysis on what the prices are doing, why and where they are going. Will SA hold firm and allow the draw to come in?

With Aus being the home side, they will be expected to be able to draw the game if it goes the distance, especially with SA's 3 frontline bowlers