Forums

Cheltenham Festival

There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
These 326 comments are related to the topic:
Josses Hill

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
Page 8 of 9  •  Previous | 1 | ... | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 326
By:
buddeliea
When: 06 Feb 15 21:47
Course you don't give up on him now,you are right chief,he needs his optimum,and then you make decisions like that depending how that goes.
By:
buddeliea
When: 06 Feb 15 21:49
Sonko, a spring horse is what Jonjo trains mate.
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 06 Feb 15 21:55
as i thought Cool
By:
wellchief
When: 06 Feb 15 22:00
Lord Windermere, Holywell, Albertas Run, Champagne Fever, Jezki etc - could Josses Hill be in there?  Only one way to find out.
By:
timtin
When: 07 Feb 15 03:04
What I saw was a miscoordination between jockey and horse at most fences which almost caused a fall at halfway. In these conditions you can't expect the horse to give his true running and did well to stay on so close at the finish so hopefully next time we'll see him in a better light having accumulated enough experience. I wouldn't give up on him but I also wouldn't back him at anything lower than 25s.
By:
buddeliea
When: 07 Feb 15 07:07
Take it you are referring to when he took off too early? He did bl00dy well to get the other side though!! Some leap that was. Never looked like falling in the whole race,jumps a tad too big at times though.

What price without the fav Tim?
By:
buddeliea
When: 07 Feb 15 07:12
Chief,that's a fair point about spring horse,yes it's possible mate,and as you say only one way to find out.

He will be better on decent ground with a fast pace,I'm convinced of that,think we will see a different horse then.
By:
sc1883
When: 07 Feb 15 08:31
Got to laugh at the "know it alls" on this thread who seem to know more about horses than BG and NJH lol!! I personally would prefer to listen to BG myself who still seems to have faith in him. I dont think anybody is now suggesting Josses will beat UDS but this years arkle behind him looks awfully weak. It wont take much to take 2nd and then there is the small chance the fav could tip up. Why go back over hurdles and finish 6th or 7th at best in a champion hurdle? Now a great EW price imo.
By:
sintonian
When: 07 Feb 15 09:07
Amazing you could still lay off ante-post stakes on JH after his Doncaster win at 11's on here. Forget his hurdles form, he is no better than a handicapper over fences at the moment.
By:
alleged22
When: 07 Feb 15 09:17
it looks that way sint
By:
gutfeeling
When: 07 Feb 15 09:44
Use your eyes and don't listen to trainers or jockeys, They have a vested interest.
Anyone who thinks a horse with such bad technique will have it all resolved by a faster pace is kidding themselves.
By:
wellchief
When: 07 Feb 15 10:15
I don't think anyone is bigging Josses Hill up as an Arkle winner, but behind UDS it is wide open.

I think the market has it about right now - Un De Sceaux is miles clear, and Vibrato Valtat and Clarcam are both ahead of Josses Hill - I couldn't argue with any of that.

Add to the fact that if Gilgamboa, Vautour and Ptit Zig were switched to the Arkle, then I'd have Josses as 7th in the pecking order.  Truth is though that the last three will not run, which leaves Josses fourth.

His technique can only improve from this point imo.  Based on his hurdles form, his optimum conditions were going a good clip, on good ground with the sun on his back.  At the moment he hasn't had them yet, so whereas now he is fourth in my order, with those conditions, he can only improve - they won't make him go backwards.

If he doesn't improve for them, with the lack of depth in the Arkle, he has place claims no doubt, and then if they want to consider hurdles again, there are good prizes at Aintree and Punchestown.

I think using the Oscar Whisky falling and sadly RIP is unfair on his connections, and Oscar Whisky's.  I'd like to think that if they ever thought either horse was in danger of losing their life, they'd pull the plug on jumping fences.  Both horses owe(d) connections nothing, and their welfare would be top of their priority imo.  I don't know that for sure, I can only guess, but that's what I'd like to think anyway.
By:
wellchief
When: 07 Feb 15 10:18
Also, going back to a left handed track will help him from yesterday.

He was going to the left all the time, and even when they turned the corner across the polytrack passed the stands, where there are no fences, he struggled to get round going right.  He ran out wide to the left and lost a lot of momentum there and Barry had to wrestle him to get round the corner - if I remember correctly, it was the next fence when he put in the really long one.
By:
brandyontherocks
When: 07 Feb 15 10:26
Before the Tingle Creek, Budd, you used your eyes and your own opinion and thought it was a crazy idea to run Oscar in a Grade 1 two miler. You said Henderson had made a real mess of his career.
Now though you tell us we should trust his opinion and Josses Hill will be fine in The Arkle. Even though what he has shown on the track is far removed from a Grade 1 chaser.

He still jumped far too big at some, and others he seems to land on his rear legs. He is not a natural. I don't believe he is frightened as he runs with such enthusiasm but he is not a natural fencer.

He may improve with time but I can't see him fulfilling his promise myself.

It is a huge leap of faith to think he can improve with a faster pace. He was still being out jumped yesterday over the last couple by the Tizzard horse. Not being able to win yesterday receiving that weight regardless of not having his optimum conditions was very disappointing.
By:
buddeliea
When: 07 Feb 15 10:42
Big difference my friend,i did not agree with Oscar running in the Tingle Creek...and yeh I do think they made a mess of his career.......but I DO agree that JH will be better with a fast pace on decent ground,and that's my eyes telling me that in his races his jumping has been fine when the pace increased.The fact that his connections are saying that as well just gives me confidence he will run well in the Arkle and I still have a bet on the day.

Simply don't agree re yesterdays race,as I have said probably too many times now,it was as far from an Arkle you could get for a prep race.Was all about experience and fitness.
By:
timtin
When: 07 Feb 15 10:50
@buddeliea watching it live I was sure he was going to fall at that one, but once he didn't I was sure he wasn't going to win because his confidence was gone. I think we may see a better jumper next time no doubt as such huge mistakes only help horses to jump better(take UDS fall how good it did for him) but I don't think he has the fluency & the same class over them(as he did over hurdles) to win an arkle... Without fav I wouldn't take anything shorter than 8/1
By:
buddeliea
When: 07 Feb 15 10:58
Ok mate,fair enough.

For those that are comparing Oscar Whisky with JH.......Really??

One a seasoned campaigner who is totally exposed as to what hes good and not so good at and the other a novice chaser with 3 runs under his belt,2 of which at a distance not his optimum??

Nope, not for me.
By:
tomdeane
When: 07 Feb 15 12:10
The flip side of that though Bud is that OW was a seasoned campaigner, so his falling was still a surprise even though most people thought he had little chance of laying up in a fat-run Tingle Creek, given that he didn't ever appear to like jumping fences much.

Josses hill looks like a horse that is all at sea over fences, and he makes different mistakes throughout his races. He will be going quicker and against better horses in the Arkle, so while those conditions saw him at his best over hurdles, they are far more likely to see him come down than 2m4f in softer stuff round Kempton. BG keeps saying that it'll suit because they'll go quicker and he'll have no chance to think about his options re fencing - he has never looked clever at his fences, so my heart will be in my mouth if he's wrong at any of those fences when they're going a clip in the Arkle.
By:
duffy
When: 08 Feb 15 03:49
This thread is like the twilight zone or something like it....it just doesn't seem real....I'm surprised that there is any positive comments about him, now we're seeing...sun on his back and faster pace suiting him.....it seems that as bad as he gets, the more positive some get....although on reflection, there may be something in the sun on his back comment, because it does look likely that at some point in the race, geraghty will be removed enabling plenty of sun to get onto his backCrazy
By:
buddeliea
When: 08 Feb 15 09:50
Maybe some of us like to give a horse every chance before slating him.
By:
alleged22
When: 08 Feb 15 12:50
how many chances though budd?
By:
buddeliea
When: 08 Feb 15 13:05
Well that depends on how you look at Novice Chasers I guess.

Personally I watch a novice and then have a think about what ive seen,and what I think would be his ideal sort of race and how he might improve,if he has to.
JH certainly has to improve, and watching him when the pace quickens I think that's where the improvement will come,plus better ground.
By:
Graeme83
When: 24 Feb 15 21:51
BG still thinks this horse can do it. It will be Cheltenhams chariots of fire if he does. I say josses, what that on your hooves, rockets ?
By:
wellchief
When: 14 Mar 15 10:37
Fully justified his place in the race, and a much improved performance.  Was never going to live with UDS, but I was made up to see him stay on well to place.
By:
sintonian
When: 15 Mar 15 15:08
Wonder if they'll run at Aintree
By:
timtin
When: 12 Feb 16 15:52
What a round of jumping, at the last 3 fences i was like wow, woow, wooow. Any ideas where he'll be entered? Hopefully CC as he deserves the chance
By:
duffy
When: 12 Feb 16 16:05
Don't see it myself, his best jump was the last that's true, but for a large part he was jumping way too big and was sort of going too vertical if you know what I mean and not gaining momentum aT his fences, he was also pretty much untroubled and going slower to help his jumping, festival pace and much tougher competition I'd worry will bring it all back again, that fall was horrific, he just didn't seem to see it there. He's class though but if he were mine I'd be happier over hurdles.Scared
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 12 Feb 16 16:09
to my untrained eye, his jumping got better as the race went on but I did n't think he was great on the first circuit, a bit hesitant and gave a few of the fences too much air - whether that's down to confidence or that he needs to get warmed up I don't know - in fairness, it could also have been because they were n't going fast enough, which is what connections have said in the past.

The way he finished out the race suggested to me they could even consider stepping him up in trip.
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 12 Feb 16 16:12
did n't see yours before I posted mine duffy - but I saw it  similarly - it's just a case of whether you believe a faster pace would help or hinder his jumping, I would n't fancy him for Champion Chase certainly.
By:
timtin
When: 12 Feb 16 16:15
yes not very economical but spectacular hence the wows Happy perhaps a fast pace might force him making another mistake but if he were mine I'd take the chance in the CC as he's classy enough and accidents happen over hurdles as well so no point being afraid..
By:
duffy
When: 12 Feb 16 16:20
I wonder what his stable lad/lass would like to see him run inScared
By:
timtin
When: 12 Feb 16 16:29
probably would keep him as pet Grin, but accidents happen at home too and fatal ones as well.. no reason to be afraid he jumped them so high that its more likely to lose the race than fell due to his jumping. I'm more afraid of horses that take lots of risks over fences than ones that don't want to touch a twig.
By:
duffy
When: 12 Feb 16 16:33
True, I'd just worry that today early on the jockey allowed him to get over them as the horse wanted too, at the festival the jockey will be having to be a bit busier on him and not be so accommodating, he doesn't seem to see a stride quick enough at a faster pace.
By:
tomdeane
When: 12 Feb 16 16:43
He's a lovely horse and really divides opinion. I think I'd lean more towards the Ryanair in the hope that the extra distance would give him a chance to warm to the jumping task, but I can see the argument for the Champion Chase as it may be that going quicker stops him thinking too much about the fences. I suppose the other tempter in relation to the Ryanair is that it looks very winnable and a horse of his class could easily do it if everything clicked on the day.
By:
buddeliea
When: 12 Feb 16 18:39
He still jumps big, but hes not gonna fall jumping like that.
I actually thought that was a fair round today,but I do think now he needs a trip, maybe even up to 3m.
Love to see him trained that way next season.
This season? Either Ryanair or something like the Aintree Bowl perhaps?
By:
DECALEC
When: 12 Feb 16 20:22
If UDS was ridden as was over hdls I would give JOSSES a chance in CC but as UDS is usually restrained in front this won't  Help,I don't think they can go fast enough for JOSSES,if there was a NEWMILL type in there that would be up his street,even the ARKLE last year UDS was waited in Front and thought JOSSES done alright in the circumstances
By:
timtin
When: 12 Feb 16 20:31
right @Decalec, a strongly run CC would suit Josses. If they'll give him the chance and UDS is taken on by ST from the start and then SS will taken him on from the top of the hill, its possible to see JH get involved in the home straight and who knows. Just deserves a shot in a championship event especially on todays run.
By:
buddeliea
When: 12 Feb 16 20:59
I just don't think he will be quick enough at the fences for 2 miles.
He was going away again at the end today, he's such a big horse as well,I just think he's a stayer more than a speed horse.
By:
Hussard
When: 14 Feb 16 12:11
The horse seemed to have learned from the horrendous fall and was making sure he did not do it again once he got more confident his jumping was very polished and maybe that fall has actually woken his ideas up.

In terms of value there is little to be had so 16-1 NRNB without UDS in the CC is value in my eyes. He could jumping well finish second and getting fourth in a small field is far from difficult. Non runner money back. I feel that is a solid bet after he jumped far better especially as the race progressed.
By:
buddeliea
When: 14 Feb 16 12:39
Ryanair according to trainer,and would make perfect sense the way he ran over similar distance yesterday.
Page 8 of 9  •  Previous | 1 | ... | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
‹ back to topics
www.betfair.com