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mach
11 Nov 12 23:56
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Date Joined: 18 Apr 05
| Topic/replies: 28,606 | Blogger: mach's blog
going to be a epic betting heat imo

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Replies: 378
By:
mach
When: 12 Nov 12 00:03
if we take it that Jahmene,Ella and baloney are rocking the vote
UJ now the only band, Louie's only act, with a bounce
that puts James in a awkward spot, he easily beats Rylan in a sing off, but with james B2 his price will sky rocket
I make Rylan almost certain for B2 James being there 50% of the time, now would be a good time to ditch James green before it's to late
By:
jack12321
When: 12 Nov 12 00:10
I'd say from the leak that it's Chris, Jahmene and James who are the safe ones.

Think James has comfortably enough support to keep going for now at 3rd in the vote. He's snapping up all the teeny vote and has plenty of support from the older teens/young adults too.

So between Ella, UJ and Rylan for me
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Nov 12 00:12
Why is James safe in the leak?
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 12 Nov 12 00:13
No bounce for UJ i think........

Uj and rylan b2

rylan to go....he cost me a bit today escaping elim........

that camp got more lives than a cat.
By:
alfie46
When: 12 Nov 12 00:14
How is Ella rocking the vote?
By:
donny osmond
When: 12 Nov 12 00:15
I suspect union j were last this week

Them to scrape past Ryan next week looks obvious

But hardly value


Might have a play on jahmene bottom 2 , but can't see him going
By:
mach
When: 12 Nov 12 00:18
If Ella is scoring 2nd highest on TVpolls I think she will be easily safe
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Nov 12 00:19
Why would the Star say she's not then?
By:
alfie46
When: 12 Nov 12 00:19
Prob be safe but not rocking the vote
By:
alfie46
When: 12 Nov 12 00:20
She ain't we've been doing this all week
By:
five leaves left
When: 12 Nov 12 00:23
James, Rylan or UJ, I reckon.

Nicole must lose an act soon.
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 12 Nov 12 00:25
It would be comical if the final 3 were all Nicole's actsLaughLaughLaughLaugh

The 3 judges would have nothing to doLaughLaugh
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 12 Nov 12 00:28
Perhaps they'd be honest for once though!
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 12 Nov 12 00:39
rylan and ella/james bottom 2 this week.
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 12 Nov 12 00:41
Papa that would suit me just fine!
By:
mach
When: 12 Nov 12 00:52
PP has rylan for Elimination @2.2, that makes things a lot simpler
By:
jack12321
When: 12 Nov 12 00:57
Was 2/1 first thing Shocked
By:
mach
When: 12 Nov 12 01:02
I can see TPTB trying to drop rylan and UJ in to the bottom two if they think baloney is still to strong, to save the Jahmene,James and Ella from that slot so soon
By:
jack12321
When: 12 Nov 12 17:51
Blimey VC's first attempt at a b2 combo market all wrong, was originally 6/1 for any of Ella, James or Jahmene being in the bottom 2 Shocked
By:
Dizzy42
When: 12 Nov 12 17:56
Rylan is history this week.  Quite confident of that...  Hills 5/2 for Wk 7 departure, available on Saturday, was great value.

Also on VC's 5/1 for 'any other combo' excluding Rylan / UJ / Chris (3 ways).  Assuming UJ get the bounce (which they should do with some D3 votes transferred over), there's got to be a decent chance either James or Ella will fall into B2 at this stage.
By:
Dizzy42
When: 12 Nov 12 17:57
Snap Jack. I missed the 6s and got on at 5s. Cut to 4s soon after...
By:
Dizzy42
When: 12 Nov 12 17:58

Nov 12, 2012 -- 1:02AM, mach wrote:


I can see TPTB trying to drop rylan and UJ in to the bottom two if they think baloney is still to strong, to save the Jahmene,James and Ella from that slot so soon


Why?  If one of that trio fall into B2 it simply will act to boost their vote at a crucial time...

By:
jack12321
When: 12 Nov 12 18:00
Ah that's why I couldn't get more on then Dizzy, we were attacking the market at the same time Silly I was chasing it from 5's down to 4's and now it seems they've pulled it
By:
Dizzy42
When: 12 Nov 12 19:57
Great minds think alike and all that!
By:
J.O.TOBIN.
When: 12 Nov 12 20:03
Now 5/2 well done Lads, well in their favour at least they are having a stab at it.
By:
J.O.TOBIN.
When: 12 Nov 12 20:05
On the plus side found out my daughter had got a lump on Chris wk8 or later @5/6 with Hills, I texted her the bet on Fri she didnt confirm it until 10mins ago.
By:
Helmuthian Folds
When: 12 Nov 12 20:09
I got 6/4 rylan for elimination which I think is a mega price.

Would be taking the Evens now if I hadn't got on as I still make that value!
By:
Dizzy42
When: 12 Nov 12 20:10
Brilliant.  I didn't get to that market until too late and the price had sadly gone...
By:
Dizzy42
When: 12 Nov 12 20:11
Rylan was 7/4 with Boyles last night - and I think opened at 2s with Paddys this morning.  I'd already placed my bet on Saturday, so didn't top up on this occasion...
By:
Helmuthian Folds
When: 12 Nov 12 20:12
Grrr missed the 2/1 with PP.

pointless Spoilsports even having prices IMHO, cowardly scum!
By:
Henry VIII
When: 12 Nov 12 20:19
Boyles are unbelievably cowardly. I had 29K of bets with them resulting in a loss for me of £300, before I was banned. I helped them make their books and didn't cost them anything.

Also my losing bets were more towards the end and my winning bets were disproportionately in the first couple of years of the account. You'd think I'd be an ideal punter for them. They must have just got bored of being bookies.
By:
J.O.TOBIN.
When: 12 Nov 12 20:22
Still some juice with betvic even at 5/2 dutched with a 7/4 Rylan/Union J bottom 2 equates to a bottom 2 lay of Chris at 7/4. Well done those who got decent prices.
By:
Dizzy42
When: 12 Nov 12 20:23
Crazy decision Henry.  They should have been a bit more shrewd and simply kept you on as a flagged account if they were worried about you as a long term prospect.

Many bookies like to keep players on their books to help manage the prices, even if they are restricted.  Closing accounts is completely counter-productive IMO unless you really are a serial winner.
By:
Dizzy42
When: 12 Nov 12 20:24
Now 9/4 J.O.

Think they'll pull the market again soon!
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Nov 12 20:24

Nov 12, 2012 -- 8:22PM, J.O.TOBIN. wrote:


Still some juice with betvic even at 5/2 dutched with a 7/4 Rylan/Union J bottom 2 equates to a bottom 2 lay of Chris at 7/4. Well done those who got decent prices.


I have a fancy the lumpers might take him even shorter this weekend though. Almost down to 3 last

By:
J.O.TOBIN.
When: 12 Nov 12 20:28
Still equates to circa 2/1 chris bottom 2 to lay, looks to me they've made a complete dogs dinner of it, but at least they had a go. Waiting on my new account for Cheltenham then EurovisionHappy.
Those who have had the 6/1 will be lucky to get a bet on if it wins.
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 12 Nov 12 20:28
when will the market realise chris's price is wrong?  9/4 still available on him to reach top 3.
By:
Dizzy42
When: 12 Nov 12 20:28
That's what I'm worried about J.O., think I might have gone in a bit heavy on this one!
By:
Dizzy42
When: 12 Nov 12 20:31
GTL - how can the books have Chris as a longer price to be Top 3 than UJ?!

I know they are factoring in the likelihood of him being dumped if he lands in B2, but UJ have already been in drop zone twice compared to Chris leading vote for five weeks...

Just doesn't make sense.
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