RC919

Review

13.00 Dusseldorf

Vesely v Karlovic

Now my sums get this out as value on Karlovic, but the way Vesely performed yesterday, he was unreal! Karlovic however has this big serve which is firing this week and has done very well to get here.

Vesely I have at 2.06 betfair has him at 1.46, Karlovic is at 3.1 on betfair and I have him at 1.94. There is some value on Karlovic here, especially as if his serve keeps going like it has been this week he could easily keep serving the games out and really push the young Czech here to a TB which would see that price of 3.1 tumble, he only needs a hold and a threat of a break for the market to over react and that will not be as high as 3.1.

Well big Karlo gave us a fright slightly here didn't he? I thought there would be a TB in this, the young Czech will be a quality player but when he did not convert the set point I know Karlo would have the mental strength to take the first set, if it went to TB you'd always fancy the stronger server.

Karlo took the first set and the match, giving a great start to the day and some nice green.

15.30 Nice

Delbonis v Simon

Another player we traded yesterday, Simon. He was pretty good yesterday but Delbonis leads the H2H and has been good this week so this could be a really good game to trade.

I have Delbonis as the value player here, my sums get him at 1.32 betfair gives 2.48?! Huge for a player who leads the H2H which was on clay recently and he won in straight sets. Simon is priced by me at 4.10 betfair giving him 1.66.

Well this was a crazy price for Delbonis and he did not disappoint taking the first set quickly and what seemed easy, I traded out just before he took the first set. Reason for this was I had a good green, key to trading do not get greedy!

I will be back Monday/Tuesday with another installment!