Roland Garros - Tennis Trading
10.00 - Bertens v Petkovic
Petkovic is usually the player here I would say yes back her, she starts well is physically very fit and has the attacking game to do her job, however she is not very well, she in her own words 'has made good friends with the toilet this weekend.' Bertens has huge potential and can really attack her opponent if she gets a good start.
I have Bertens at 2.51 and Petkovic at 1.66, betfair gives these two odds pretty close Bertens 2.62 and Petkovic at 1.6. This game could not go on value though, you really need to see how Petkovic is holding up after the weekend she had a grueling match, if she is looking poor then I will be looking to back Bertens early on.
13.00 Jankovic - Errani
Errani beat Jankovic recently in Rome on clay, although that clay is very strange, the H2H stands at 2-1 to Jankovic. Shes got the game to really take it here to Errani she can really return a serve, I have here as the value player here my only worry is she has been know to start slow at times.
Jankovic comes in at 1.27 and Errani 4.77 for me, betfair gives them 1.92 and Errani gets a 2.08. Jankovic on that is a value player here, she has the tools to see off Errani, I want to make sure she is starting right before getting in.
15.00 Verdasco v Murray
Murray has an incredible record against left handed players, he also kills Verdasco on the H2H 9-2, the only difference they have not met on clay, which Verdasco is natural on, he does tend to go missing in big Grand Slams though.
The odds I have for these then are 1.36 Verdasco, 3.81 on Murray, betfair has Verdasco 2.48 and Murray 1.67. Murray had a tough game yesterday and gets a longer rest. I will not be entering this one on value, I want to see Verdasco push Murray early on then if he does he will show a good entry point, I will then get in as long as it is over my value price and I will not be in long, this will be a chase of taking the ticks while they are there.
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