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27th May Tennis Trades

27 May 14 08:31
Roland Garros

10.00 Seppi v Giraldo

I have not been trading Seppi a lot recently going against him a lot, but in grand slam tournaments he is 8-4 and Giraldo is 1-4, Giraldo also pulled out of his last match with a hip flexor injury, this could play a part here. Giraldo is a clay courter who has a big serve and very athletic and the 5 set format will suit him here but he has been known the start slow like Seppi who also loves a 5 set game so I am hoping for some good entry points.

I have Seppi at 1.50 and Giraldo 2.99, betfair has Seppi at 2.56 and Giraldo at 1.63. So on those stats there is some value on Seppi, I'd like to see how they both start though.

10.00 Wozniak v Cirstea

These two have not met but in qualifying Wozniak spoke of sharp pains in her calf, which is not good and signals a nerve injury, so hopefully Cirstea can capitalize on this, she has great endurance, athletic play however she can start slow BUT I have her at value here.

I have Wozniak at 3.72 betfair has her at 2.24, Cirstea at 1.37 while betfair gives her 1.72. Some Value on Cirstea here, she can do the job especially if Wozniak is not on it fully, that calf will give her a tough time as well if the injury rears its ugly head.

12.30 Stephens v Peng

Firstly I have this game as exactly the same odds as betfair does, does not happen very often. Stephens love grand slams and is known to actually put an effort in for them, at the price of 1.92 she does not seem to bad value here, Peng is playing a lot of doubles and doing well there so maybe her heart will not be fully in it however Peng leads the H2H 2-0 both of these coming on a clay court. I will be hoping for Stephens to put the effort in this game as it is a grand slam, she could be a good game to trade here.

Yesterday's recap

Well I gave a little intro about Nishikori being off it and not being 100% and he was not in no time at all two sets dropped and good profit.

Rosol I said I wanted to see how he served well he lost his second service game and then lost the first set easily, a tactic readers of my blog know I like to lay the first set winner as a lot of times you only need the threat of a break and the price shoots up enough to give a nice profit, here he battled to a second set TB giving a nice profit.

Cilic was a non starter at those odds, I said he was value compared to what my odds had him at I know some people who follow these posts backed him and would of made a good amount of ticks on him as he won the first and second set quite easily.
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