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19th May Trades

19 May 14 08:50
Nurnberg 10.00 Peer v Knapp

I think this will be a closer game than a lot of people think, people have Peer down as the overpriced player here. Maybe because she leads the H2H 1-0 and that was on a clay court, but Knapp put up a fight in that game and it was not straight forward.

Knapp has a huge serve for a lady and hits the ball flatly, if she can get on her game she will have the potential to see off Peer. I would be tempted to back Knapp from the start BUT and it is a big but she has not found a hot streak of form at the moment so I want to see how she gets on for a few games here, I have her priced at 1.66 betfair gives us some value there at 1.94 with Peer coming in at 2.04 on betfair and my ratings giving her a 2.51.

Strasbourg 14.00 Torro-Flor v Keys

Madison Keys the young american with some huge potential comes up against the not that much older spanish Torro-Flor. These two have never met but should be a good game, Torro-Flor is a defensive baseliner who can be incredibly consistent. The american is an attacking heavy hitter, she can be erratic but have the potential to step up here. Keys has the bigger serve which might come in handy.

I have Torro-Flor at 3.50 here and betfair gives her a 1.86. Which means there will be value in Keys, betfair 2.00 while I think she should be as low as 1.40.


Dusseldorf 17.00 Brown v Lu

For his style and what used to be his long locks I love the way brown plays the game, his big serve, the way he starts very fast, he can play on clay as well! He is erratic at times though and is coming up against Lu, who attacks the ball and is very athletic, but he is also erratic, so both of them together means cracking trading.

Brown has lost the last 4 out of 5 in his home nation of Germany, Lu losing the last 7 of 8 when facing a big server. Currently Brown is priced at 1.82 on betfair I have him a lot lower at a very low 1.36 he is a fast starter and can serve well maybe this could be cracking value. I have Lu at 3.78 betfair coming in at 2.12.
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