10.00 Rome
Giraldo v Cilic.
Cilic leads the H2H on these but he is a hard court and these games were both on a hard court, playing straight into his hands, how will he cope with the slower clay in Rome? Giraldo can be a lose cannon but he loves the clay and can get a quick start and likes to hit the ball flat and hard.
My sums get Giraldo at 1.64 and Cilic at 2.55. Betfair does never agree with me does it? NO
Giraldo at 2.06 and Cilic at 1.96. According to my calculations Giraldo is a good value here!
16.00 Rome
Robredo v Kohlschreiber
I fully expect Robredo to do the business here, at the moment he is priced at 1.58 I have him at 1.52 so slightly higher than this, not enough value there. I will hope Kohlschreiber wins a few early games and then we can get a higher price on Robredo.
Cheers!