Multiple new markets up now on here for Makerfield.

.... Not sure he will need it when his only danger  has trouble string a sentence together.

Yes Glasgow is correct. The professional politician against the layman and presentation counts for a lot. The Reform guy is nervous under the tv lights as he is inexperienced. Burnham a shoe in imo and I think he's more left wing than Ryan Giggs which fills me with dread.

Think of a market that would say 1,000 words about Politics in the 2020's.


It's got to be this one surely. Betfair put it up today.

UK - By-Elections -- Makerfield - Conservative v Binface Most Votes

2 Runners            £0 Matched

			189.9%		9.5%
Conservative	-	-	1.01		11	250	-	£0
			£10		£5	£3
Count Binface	-	1.02	1.1		250	-	-	£0
		£50	£50		£2

A good time to enter the meerkat.

"I'd rather have a career politician over a sexist plumber" and the surrounding two minutes of him floundering over his own sexist posts - "allegedly" - and the face of every single woman in the audience who looked like they wanted to spit on him feels a bit like the final nail.



Where does Nige keep finding these people?

ha yes so from what you outlined they had coincidental cameras that just happened to be focused in on random angry vipers in the audience at the right time.
yes, I guess you are actually genuinely new to these techniques, how cute :)

Let's get this right. You don't think that there is any production bias at the bbc, or question time specifically.

Is that what you are claiming?

burnham is now green for me in the next pm market and I'm using that green to oppose him in the by election. I made him green in the pm market by laying multiple people who I don't think could ever be pm. there is some jeopardy, as I suppose theoretically the likes of mahmood and streeting could be the next pm. but for me, that is highly unlikely.

Not seen it, no intention of viewing any of it. 'blaming the audience' doesn't make sense. I'm telling you it would have been set up by the producers to 'other' the reform candidate. From the post show commentary on here, it didn't disappoint.

I'm telling you that if the market has reacted to the show and moved reform out, the market is wrong. Most of the country hates the Labour government, I'll be astonished if that was adequately reflected on the show.

As I alluded to, it was the same in the lead up to the Brexit vote, when QT was still relevant (unlike now). And we know what happened there, especially in Makerfield as it happens.

49%

Actually 3

Some curious data in there, especially the profile of the alleged restore potential voters.

Out of 4 wards, reform are winning two of them.

Curiously enough also, the two wards with the highest sample are the ones that show labour ahead.

If you prompt for answer and prompt restore before refuk
you will get a different answer to prompting refuk before restore.

This appears to be an unprompted question, simply asking who they
will vote for.

Postal votes already in,....

I found it embarrassing 

Jake Austin Lib Dems.  Just finished his A-Levels.  First time in front of a camera never mind a live audience.
Michael Winstanley Conservative  Potters round his garden rearranging his new Garden Gnomes Fred, Fiddles and Pratchett
Sarah Wakefield Greens.  She spends £10 a month helping dolphins and loves the fact they swim very fast.  She looks like she's on ecstasy and away with the fairies, but all she's doing is thinking about how lovely dolphins are.
Robert Kenyon Reform.  Plays darts for the Eight Bells' second team and has mastered the art of counting down from 501, which he thinks along with his one GCSE in woodwork means he is well qualified to be an MP.
Fiona Bruce Presenter.  Wishes she was doing Antiques Roadshow

Nobody seemed to be bothered about Hannah the fake plumber being a MP. What were her qualifications to be a MP ?

It's ironic actually that you think what people want is a slithery career politician that has never done any real work in their entire life, over a genuine working class person. Or that northerners are bothered about a few fruity social media posts.

Could be pretty interesting this one.

Sarah Wakefield and Robert Kenyon are clearly incompetent.  It's not rocket science.

To be fair to The Greens they don't really want to get votes.  Reform do.  I get they are after low intellect voters and they think by offering a low intellect candidate that will resonate with their core support, but actually as you and I know from RTV, if the candidate is too low intellect, your average voter is turned off.  Reform have handed this by election to Labour on a plate.