Politics
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
These 2073 comments are related to the topic:
When will B/f settle presidency market?
When will B/f settle presidency market?
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 2,073
|
By:
You weren’t
|
|
By:
But you are. This is a pretty obvious, and poor, troll.
|
|
By:
Sarge I , like yourself , bet Biden to win and become president
That’s all |
|
By:
You didn't read the rules then.
|
|
By:
As did everyone else who bet Biden
Or Trump |
|
By:
Do I have to explain to you again
You didn’t bet on a ‘projected president ‘ You bet in who you thought would be president Too difficult to understand? |
|
By:
Won't say too much more on this as don't want to indulge your trolling too much, but it doesn't matter what you *think* you were betting on. The rules are the rules.
|
|
By:
see previous post , and read slowly
|
|
By:
Anyone else who disagrees ...is telling little fibs
That’s not good |
|
By:
You can still read it yourself and confirm that lfc is lying.
"This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2020 presidential election. Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the settlement of this market." |
|
By:
Johnbetting only if the projected college votes are right will you get paid
They are not always right , if they are wrong and Biden doesn’t win the election Then ( if you bet Biden ) you are not going to get your money Why ? Because you lost and were wrong The market rules are dependent upon the projected votes being right Understand ? |
|
By:
We don’t know if they are right , not yet
|
|
By:
just block the to55er, there isn't any point in engaging with him.
|
|
By:
Betfair are correct
|
|
By:
Shocking isn’t it
 |
|
By:
What is the point of lfc writing words
when he doesn't understand words. |
|
By:
Look at it this way :
If the projected college votes changes from Biden , to projected college votes for Trump Then those are the projected votes that will count Sorry |
|
By:
It’s really not difficult to understand when you look at it like that now is it ?
No need to say thanks |
|
By:
Nothing to be sorry about
you are getting there. Think of the sausage rolls you can buy, with your winnings Steve Bruce will be scoffing a few tonight! He's not waiting for Biden confirmation... |
|
By:
Greggs profits will be up!
|
|
By:
 |
|
By:
Look at it this way.
If the actual electoral college votes aren't the same as the projected electoral college votes, there must have been an event which happened subsequent to the projection, to change them. So what do the market rules say? Oh look. Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the settlement of this market. So no. We are betting on the projection, as per the rules. |
|
By:
On a side note, if we were betting on who the "Next President" will be, as you claim despite what the market rules say, then Mike Pence should be about 25, not 1000.
|
|
By:
You might as well talk to the wall John.
Btw welcome to the forum. |
|
By:
Trump to leave office before
end of term is about 10 on here! Struggle to see them bypass pence if that were to happen. |
|
By:
John , that is any subsequent event to the projected college vote
Once we know the projected college vote The projected college vote can change and that will be the projected vote that counts Then it’s any subsequent event after that I know it’s subtle |
|
By:
Take a little time and think about it, you’ll get there
|
|
By:
Now I take it no one else is still confused ?
I can’t say it any simpler than that , let’s see ..... |
|
By:
If the projection can change up to and including the meeting of the electoral college then it isn't a projection, is it, it's just a result. What is the point of including the word projection? What "subsequent events" could be intended by the term, if there is no "subsequent" period of time? The "projected result" has a clear meaning in US electoral politics, and it isn't what you seem to think it is.
You're like a man looking out of his window and claiming to be a brilliant weather forecaster because he can tell you the current weather where he is. It's not a forecast if you don't declare it until the thing you're forecasting has already happened. |
|
By:
It’s not difficult , they use the word projected because they haven’t taken place yet
That’s all They are projected , its a word There’s no point reading words if you don’t understand words can |
|
By:
They will always be ‘ projected ‘ until the vote takes place
|
|
By:
If lfc told me it was raining I would seek a second opinion.
Lovely chap though. |
|
By:
I remember when I was young I used to run out in the rain and cold
without a coat |
|
By:
You know it’s wise if you wish to bet to be able to think logically and to understand what you are betting on
|
|
By:
That’s a little life lesson right there
|
|
By:
Try again LFC.
They don't say "This market will be settled based on the projected winner of the horse race" just because it hasn't happened yet, do they? If "This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2020 presidential election." just means "This market will be settled according to the candidate that wins the most Electoral College votes at the 2020 presidential election." Then why put the word projected in in the first place? Surely every betting market (apart from this one) is usually about things that haven't happened yet, otherwise it's a funny kind of betting. |
|
By:
Yes , once we know the projected electoral college votes
That can change ...as I think I’ve explained |
|
By:
Why do they use the term projected as a means to settle
Well it’s a question of time, unlike a horserace where you don’t have to wait very long You know the winner quickly So they use projected as a means of settling the bet in a reasonable timeframe But ... it still has to be correct Sometimes that takes more time |
|
By:
@lfc1971 - you seem to have misunderstood this market.
That's ok, the name "Next President" is misleading. As others have tried to tell you, you are actually betting on the winner based on the Electoral Vote total, which currently is 306 to 232 in favour of Biden. What the rules said, although Betfair have apparently back-tracked on them today, is that even if 37 Electors switch from Biden to Trump, it would make no difference to the bet being settled as a win for Biden. It also makes no difference if Trump resigns and Pence takes over as next president. You are betting on who the majority of Electoral College votes "should" be cast for and that will clearly be Biden. |
|
By:
Trump might leave so that Pence can pardon him. He technically cannot pardon himself.
|