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When will B/f settle presidency market?
When will B/f settle presidency market?
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Replies: 2,073
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From 1978 !
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https://twitter.com/rickhasen/status/1328382691847200768
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They sneak the prices up when we sleep
Has been consistent for weeks. |
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millions matched every day--it would be a stupid decision to close what is still their busiest market.
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Almost 700 million now
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If it properly kicks off it'll be the first ever billion pound market
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Shows how SICK society has become!
Never rub another mans rhubarb" |
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What is happening now?
The market has done another U-Turn and people backing Trump again? I know that markets predict the future, so what breaking news are we going to hear? There certainly is no new news at this moment, which would cause the market to move in this direction? |
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it might take trump to stand on the white house lawn waving a white flag before betfair payout
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Maybe people are starting to wise up that the media might just be lying to them....
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No they keep backing trump
They will never realise |
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https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/20/us/politics/2020-election-certification-tracker.html
The above link is the up to date list of states which have CERTIFIED. On that list are the following: Michigan Nevada Pennsylvania Georgia Once a state is certified to Biden, what is the scenario that a state is then awarded to Trump? |
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I would have thought it would only be in the event of 'faithless electors', from which we're immune anyway.
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they would have said that and not "subsequent event such as faithless electors"
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I would think if supreme court
ruled and then electors were changed, then betfair may settle on those lines. Then the fun would begin having teased us in on thought we were betting on projected electors... |
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Is it possible that one state result could be changed in Trumps favour? Highly unlikely. Is it possible that three or more state results could change to make Trump President? Surely zilch.zilch.
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It seems incredibly unlikely. The 1.08 on here hard to explain.
In terms of states certifying elections, my understanding is that is procedural. It can still be changed before the EC votes. |
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Trump surely should be amongst the 1000
runners |
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You do have to ask yourself, who thinks 12/1, 14/1 or the like is good value, based on the set of circumstances required, along with the RULES of the market for Mr Trump to remain President Trump.
I think a 1,000 might be undershooting it. But hey, if people want to match Joe getting over 75m votes, when he's already got 80m votes, then it proves how irrational markets are. |
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i bet betfair team are staying awake at night wondering what the **** there going to do with this market. was 103 start of the week now drift to 1.08. i assume would back trump when he was out at 25 they lay off now at 14. thats all it is really. even xi china president has congratuled biden on winning so wht the actual **** is the hold up. 1.3 billion in bets
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I'm just about all in and I don't feel very worried about it
but I sure am getting fed up waiting. I keep stoking my bank for other markets and it all ends up here because it's like taking candy from babies. There is the occasional moment when I remind myself that Hitler did it, maybe Trump can. But in the US? |
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It almost seems immoral to take their money
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I withdrew my stake money a week ago.
A it will make more elsewhere than sitting here for effectively nothing B All the known's are known which only leaves the unknown which you will find out too late, such as 1.03 becomes 1.08 C how long is a piece of string, i prefer a good nights sleep. |
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The market has become a huge money Laundering machine.
Somebody is washing 100's of millions of ££££'s |
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I would think that is very possible,it's well known the Don has in the past, Mr K
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directly linked to boxing as well as gear
M T K |
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My guess is that Betfair is waiting for Sleepy Joe's certified EV count to reach 270. That wouldn't stop Trump or someone else from winning the presidency, but it would surely make Betfair immune from legal challenge under their "projected votes" rule. I don't think it has been unreasonable to delay settlement to see how Trump's legal challenges get on though: what kind of PR disaster would it have been for them if there had been massive fraud in some key states and he did retain the crown fair-and-square?
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I guess there’s a question around Betfair’s technical competence to evaluate legal challenges (although not hard to see were b0llocks) but thinking like that was already making it too complicated for themselves. I think they lost their nerve a bit in the close states and having done so and overthought them, they then went past a couple of easy opportunities to follow their own rules and settle on projections or later, on certification.
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I'm sure the lost nerve point is right - on the popular vote how can Trump overturn a deficit of 6m votes to win, or Jorgensen not get 3rd having more than quadruple the votes of the 4th? I'm hoping for settlement in the next week as certification continues... and a differently-worded market for 2024.
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it's all over bar the shouting. Because they have not settled they will have to wait for certified results which could be before the 14th in any case
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Betfair have not settled on states that have already been certified.
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Trump 2020
Suck it up. You will lose your life savings backing go slow jo One things for sure betfair will stick to a basic who will be the next president market in future |
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no he's a trumptard, who doesn't actually realise that if trump staged his coup. plenty of people actually would lose their life savings in the consequent turmoil.
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How bizarre
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he's also only made 14 posts in 20 years, I wonder whose second account he is?
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*15 years
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Someone from the North East I guess. I am fairly sure it isn't yhtl
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more likely someone from disneyland
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