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WD Rob. Keep it up.
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wd Rob |
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I forgot to add, congratulations on the arrival of your daughter.
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well done
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Excellent yet again sir well done
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chewy11, thanks for the support.... but think you may have me mixed up with someone else,
I forgot to add, congratulations on the arrival of your daughter. Not guilty as charged ![]() |
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Well done robster, onwards and upwards.
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Nice one Rob
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Result bet 7
Winning Spark Won +7.8pts (+£78) Running total +10.1pts (£101) Tomorrow in North Yorkshire National day at Catterick, where plenty of the tried and tested staying brigade line up to do battle, with a few unexposed types adding a little intrigue to the contest. Having gone through the runners and riders I can't resist having a bet on Jac The Legend, trained by Brian Ellison. Jac The Legend looks a horse that has the potential to make up into a nice type in this sphere, and having already proven over the smaller obstacles that staying is very much his forte, he could really come into his own if given an extreme test. He will definitely get such a test tomorrow, but is going to well and truly have to prove his metal if he is to succeed in a race littered with horse that would give any mother-in-law a run for their money. Without knowing for sure I'd be amazed if Brian Ellison hasn't plotted him for this race for a while, looking instantly to have found the key to this horse having inherited him from the Steve Gollings yard. Being by Midnight Legend you would have expected him to flourish on better ground, but he looks like he's inherited his love of a soft surface from his dam, she being by Gunner B who seems to get winners in the mud and gets stamina into his progeny. Having won a Novice handicap chase last February on course in doing so he demonstrated ho tenacious and gutsy he was in a battle, out-battling the inform Itstimeforapint when winning that day, with binoculars needed for the third. His final start of the season was to finish runner up to Dystonias Revenge who was cashing in on a career low mark on ground that in truth may have been to lively for Jac The Legend. I always get the indication that when Brian Ellison thinks he's may have a horse on a decent sort of mark, he tends to give it a warm up race or two in a different discipline, E.G. a hurdler may have a pipe open on the level, a chaser back over hurdles. That's exactly the route he has taken with Jac The Legend prior to giving him a sighter for this race on track just over a fortnight ago over 25F, losing no caste in defeat when finishing a staying on second when trying to concede 18lb to multiple point winner Gonalston Cloud. Tomorrow Jac The Legend is nearer the bottom of the handicap, and is only having his 4th career chase start with a form line reading 1-2-2 from his previous 3 starts over fences, all in handicaps. Will Kennedy continues his association with the horse, and at 8-1 he represents enough value to get my vote of confidence. GL if you get involved. |
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PS sorry but forgot to add 1pt E.W. Jac The Legend 14.50 Catterick 8-1 generally , use a BOG firm.
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It just hasn't been Brian Ellison's day..... heart breaking for Alto Des Mottes supporters, but you just cant deny the ultra brave Lackamon really deserved it, well done winners.
Result bet 8 Jac The Legend Fell - 2pts (-£20) Running total Bet 9. 1pt E.W. Foxbridge 15.35 Warwick (Betfred Classic on Saturday) 16-1 WH 1/4odds 1-2-3 NR/No bet The Betfred Classic chase on Saturday looks as you would expect for best part of £35K a really competitive affair, but despite 15 being declared at the 48hr dec stage it has the chance to cut up even further come the day. That said I'm prepared to invest my money today, as I think the current price could be much shorter come post time, the theory being that there would be enough of a price contraction to easily beat SP even allowing for the implementation of any such rule4 deductions. The horse I'm interested in backing is Foxbridge, who I really fancied in the Midlands National at Uttoxeter, that off the back of a trio of victories at Ffos Las at the start of last year. He has been in my note book since that run, I've been waiting for him to be declared for another extreme distance race on extremely testing ground, with Warwick described currently as heavy(4.7 on the going stick) he most certainly gets (Imo) his ideal conditions. Both of his starts this season on ground described as G/soft have been positive for varying reasons, with the last of those races in particular when finishing in behind a couple of improving likable types( 1st & 2nd ), with even the 3rd home that day showing some recent nice form. I was actually surprised over such an inadequate trip on a flat speed track like Kempton he managed to hold some sort of a squeak as they turned in, only being found out quite late on as he plodded home at the one pace. It's debatable whether quite a tight idiosyncratic track such as Warwick will suit, but despite the tightness to some of the turns there are decent galloping expanses, I'm of the opinion it will be a test that will suit him. He may not have the best apparent chance on present form, but on the 3 occasions he's encountered really deep ground during his career to date, he looks really at home producing the perfect form line of 1-1-1, two of those victories in January last year. Despite his age he's not got a lot of mileage, and could be ready to step forward with his own form, that a distinct possibility given the yard are quickly among the winners again in January. GL if you get involved. |
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Running total +8.1pts (+£81). ^^^^
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Virgin 13 Jan 16 15:24
Cool wd Rob chewy11 13 Jan 16 15:43 I forgot to add, congratulations on the arrival of your daughter. congrats too, Virgin, ya dark horse! |
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Bet 10. 2pt E.W. Rich Again 16.45 Wolverhampton 7-1 generally (8-1 BF spbk) write up yo follow.....
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........Having spent quite a bit of this afternoon focusing on Saturday & Sundays cards, I did cast my eye over tomorrows offerings, with only 1 race making ny shortlist for potential betting opportunities. That race is on Wolverhampton's evening card, with James Bethell's gelding Rich Again the one that has really caught my eye in terms of a wager.
Plenty look to hold half chances, with interesting runners such as the lightly raced Musharif and Renounce are most likely to be better than their current respective marks. Mighty Zip could be another on a very winnable mark, with Oriental Relation also falling now below his last winning mark, which makes for an extremely interesting race. Rich Again is starting to also look well handicapped again, he too has fallen 7 lbs below his last winning mark, ironically that was the last time he ran over C/D, that win the culmination of a quick fire 4-timer. The third leg in the sequence of that run was a win in the renewal of tomorrow's contest, that off a mark of 75, tomorrow he tries to follow up off a 2lb lower mark of just 73. The best time to catch him maybe around this time of the year, with his last couple of winter campaigns from mid December through to the last week of January producing a form line of 1-2-1-1-1-1 in his 6F contests, marks ranging from 60-80, with his best form of his life coming within those runs on an artificial surface. It pretty much looks like James Bethell has once again targeted him at this race, and I have the feeling he served notice to his well-being Lto over an inadequate 5F on course mid December. That day P J McDonald rode his usual patient race, and despite never quite being placed to get competitive he rattled home under mainly hands and heels driving. The time was fairly good, with that contest also throwing up some subsequent winners, and the assessor even saw fit to drop him a couple of pounds for those exertions. As alluded to this is the first time connections go back to 6F on track in best part of a year, and tomorrow's race is almost guaranteed to be run to suit, with the likes of Mighty Zip sure to try and make all, with Oriental Relation and Guishan sure to keep him honest in that respect. Having done my workings I was making the tea ( equality and all that shoite), but keeping an eye on odds checker for the prices to filter through, typically I missed the 10-1 with a firm that I can get the amount I'm betting with on, but did manage to get £3.43 E.W. on with PP at that price(generous to a fault). Despite that I'm happy to have the rest on at 8-1 and settle at the same for the thread(if fortunate enough to), but even the 13-2 / 7-1 still on offer holds some value Imo. GL if you get involved. |
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Agree strongly with Rich Again's prospects tomorrow and agree that this could definitely be a target given that he hadn't raced over 5f since 30/8/2014 (20 runs ago) and he was screaming for further then.Should the possible pace battle happen a place looks the worst outcome.I am on win only and will be having a small flyer on Billyoakes who didn't look interested last time but the yard has picked up since.The draw mightn't be too big a burden if they go a clip and I feel he has more to offer on the AW.
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Can't blame you for taking a flyer on Billyoakes at the prices Fatlad, he will also have the race run to suit his late flourish, and the yard have landed some monster gambles of late with Money Team and Play Nicely(admittedly they didn't follow up, but pretty sure they were winning when it really mattered), both had the assistance of Philip Makin. It would be extremely interesting if any such money came for him throughout the day, given the fact he seems to like the surface at Wolverhampton. GL
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Monster gambles ?
The two horses mentioned , respectively :- 7/4 from Opening 2/1 5/4 from Opening 11/8 Unless of course they were at much bigger prices the night before or earlier on the day of the race ? |
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Good to see a flat race again. They have been rarely seen lately.
GL |
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Facts i do believe they were both well punted over night... Then they went in again on course...someone knew they were running bigger races than the current form suggested
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Which leaves your selection Glastonberry who looks better h'capped on turf imo and may just need this run and the horse i think has a decent chance in Yeeoow! Yeeoow runs well here with a C/D record of 12128442 from marks between 75-90, has also ran excellent races on GF ground on turf over 6fs, winning a C3 h'cap at Ascot off 90 and a close 2nd to Goldream at Newmarket from the same mark.
I think that Mr Burke may have been running him on the slower surface at Chelmsford to get the h'capper to drop him a few pounds and it seems to have worked as in 3 runs there he's dropped 5lbs. Typical a race too early! ![]() |
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stewarts rise
before timing ...unlucky gk Rob |
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Typical a race too early!
![]() Usually the case stewarts, happens more often than you think...Yeeeow ![]() |
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Good luck with Rich Again and hope you are!
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To be rich again you have to have been in the first instance
, one day, one day !! |
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Result bet 10.
Rich Again Un PL -4pts (-£40) Running total + 4.1pts (£41) Not today for Rich Again, didn't look like many excuses either. |
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Not to worry Robster, you made a good case for it, will be another day, can't win them all.
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mapletoft put the kiss of death on the poor horse.
rob there is a old friend running tomorrow who i fancy quite strongly,i wonder if you will select him(flat) |
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You have me baffled KIW, I will have a look.... is it Class 4 or above ???
And I know whet you mean by the kiss of death my said pundit, I wrote the money off when those words left his mouth ![]() |
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Is it going in the 14.10 at Chelmsford KIW ???
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Keep 'em coming, a decent racing thread for once.
I thought Silsol looks a veery good value bet tomorrow at 7/1. Black Hercules takes a lump out of the market but is very beatable. You can every go ew (1/4 1-2) for the more cautious. Look forward to reading your picks in the morning. |
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Bet 11. 2pts win Upsilon Bleu 14.05 Wetherby 9-2 generally (I'm on with B365 Ch4-1+offer), use a BOG firm. write up to follow...
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Rich Again was very flat and didn't finish the race off so probably a race to put a line through for him.
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melvin the grate rob
best of luck with tomorrows selections. |
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Good luck with Upsilon Bleu, I've followed this horse 'over a cliff' since it's last win at Wetherby over a year ago and it looks like I'll be backing it again tomorrow, I think Whispering Harry could run well too.
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Nice read Rob, all the best for tomorrow
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.....Tomorrow Upsilon Bleu runs in Wetherbys 14.05 contest, but I'm lead to believe through a friend that this was very much plan B in terms of a run, Kelso was his original target but has been abandon on account that parts of the course are waterlogged.
I'm not usually one to boast about having inside information, but I did work with a woman that is extremely friendly with Pauline Robson, having gone to points with her on numerous occasions, also lending a hand from time to time transporting a horse and tacking it up at the races, and all the other duties that goes with getting a horse to and from the races. Any how we got on talking one day about some of her favourite horses Pauline trains, she advised she absolutely loved Upsilon Bleu, who she had assisted to the course on a few occasions, going on how he was a bit of a monkey in the paddock blah..blah..blah.. I text messaged her on his seasonal debut at the end of November to see if he was fancied, jokingly asking will I get Christmas paid for. She text Pauline who advised her that she had not had him back long from Raymond's, he was 10 Kilo heavier than he normally was when he comes back in and was as fat as a bull, she said he'd definitely need a couple of runs at least, but his initial target would be some race at Kelso in January which would be a nice pot of about £20K, but more so it was because Raymond Anderson his owner loves having winners on the track. The one thing they have always stated about this horse is the deeper the ground the better he is, with the ground at Wetherby certainly that presently. However they were favouring a 21F race on a fairly demanding track, where as plan B equates to 16F on a flat track, but did win on his only try over C/D off a mark of 143, and at least has perfect underfoot conditions in his favour. Well I've been told he's fit, fancied and not badly handicapped, and were desperate for James Reverley to maitain the partnership which is the case tomorrow. Despite the stable confidence I really liked him any how, but it's always nice to be in the position to have that confirmed almost from the horse's mouth, I'm hopeful that he can run well tomorrow. GL if you get involved, especially you Holywell.... hope you get back the money you've lent those bookie chaps ![]() |
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GL Rob, had it between yours and Yorkist. So dutched
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Not at the races Swardean, beaten fair and square.
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