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st nicholas abbey

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Replies: 239
By:
Storm Alert
When: 21 Jul 12 12:52
SNA is not good enough to win this.  The balance of his form suggests this he has to make up lengths with Nathaniel and Dunaden.

Nathaniel is the the bet here on a track that suits him and is a great price with a saver on Dunaden.

I can only image SNA will beat Nathaniel if somehow Buick gets to the front too early and empties the tank and O'Brien gets the pace spot on and does him with a turn of foot.  It is more likely O'Brien will exaggerate the waiting tactics and Nathaniel will get first run on him.

Despite Stoute training Sea Moon he is surely placed at best and might finish fourth so is no value at 3/1.
By:
acey deucy
When: 21 Jul 12 13:27
Every time i look at this thread King has Tipped something diffirent ffs.Laugh
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 21 Jul 12 13:28
Has SNA ever won a really top class race ?

the coronation cup should be made into a group 3 race.
By:
acey deucy
When: 21 Jul 12 13:33
I did fancy SNA but after seeing this big drift i wouldn't touch him with a Barge-Pole.
By:
mossman7
When: 21 Jul 12 16:56
oh hey guys what's that comment i left earlier...oh yeah....DANEDREAM BET OF THE YEAR Cool
By:
Storm Alert
When: 21 Jul 12 17:00
Good call moss I hope you coined it in.
By:
JamesRB
When: 21 Jul 12 17:21
not seen a drift like SNA's pre-race for as long as i can remember. went from 5 to 9.4 on here in the space of about ten minutes. do wonder what causes drifts like that as he didn't run a stinker by any means.
By:
MagnumOpus
When: 21 Jul 12 17:35
Very well done to bri,Excellent call,Hope you won a packet!
perhaps you just took my money Laugh
By:
FELTFAIR
When: 21 Jul 12 19:04
Danedream Believer.

Wallop!!
By:
bazzar
When: 21 Jul 12 19:45
DANEDREAM'S last run was a prep for this and I expect that the jockey was
ordered to win if it was easy, but if not then be easy on her as the target is the KING GEORGE, plot landed and she WILL improve from this.
By:
G1_Jockey_4
When: 21 Jul 12 20:06
that maybe true but if you look at danedreams posture whilst running you can see why she wont like running left handed.

she travelled really well right handed.
would have won further had she not had to wait for nathaniel to go a length clear of her so she had space to manouvre out.

made u for her today as i was in the arc.
By:
brigust1
When: 21 Jul 12 20:54
Thanx Mag. Nice when it comes off. I was only pointing out the obvious though. Don't they sing 'I'm a Danedream Believer not a Homecoming Queen'? The clues are there.
By:
Dr Gonzo
When: 21 Jul 12 21:03
Well done fella.
By:
kingrat
When: 21 Jul 12 21:03
wd m8
By:
kingrat
When: 21 Jul 12 21:08
as lancy howerd said ,thats whats is all about. making the right move at the wrong timeLaugh
By:
kingrat
When: 21 Jul 12 21:14
fck i need a drink
By:
ima_mazed66
When: 21 Jul 12 21:37
Schoolboy error by Joseph and in fairness even though he's not much older than a schoolboy anyway, he did the same thing on the horse when the pacemaker beat it earlier on in the season and both times he raced one horse and not all of them.

Having said that, Ryan Moore doesn't exactly come out of the race with too much credit for his ride either and he's considerably more experienced.
By:
bazzar
When: 21 Jul 12 21:44
Danedream won the group 1 at BADEN-BADEN, I have pointed this out before on this site and other sites, BADEN IS LEFT HANDED.
By:
ima_mazed66
When: 21 Jul 12 21:49
The way a track turns is largely irrelevant on the flat.
By:
caldy
When: 21 Jul 12 22:47
I dont often post but I read some of the more eloquent stuff written on here and I have to say that Brigust1 imo has more racing knowledge than 99.9% of the people on here. Well done Brigust1
By:
HipPriest
When: 21 Jul 12 22:52
Lets be fair - brigust is a good lad and a proper poster.

However you need to be careful of the form on this thread. Kingy is a total muppet cut from the same cloth as HRE and Money Tree and Acey Deucy is a potless mug and a serial grass. He has won impressively but beaten very little.

HTH
By:
caldy
When: 21 Jul 12 22:57
I also read his views on Frankel v Brigadier Gerard - very impressed by that too.
By:
kingG111111
When: 21 Jul 12 22:58

Jul 21, 2012 -- 10:52PM, HipPriest wrote:


Lets be fair - brigust is a good lad and a proper poster.However you need to be careful of the form on this thread. Kingy is a total muppet cut from the same cloth as HRE and Money Tree and Acey Deucy is a potless mug and a serial grass. He has won impressively but beaten very little.HTH


calling me a mug ? LOL

By:
HipPriest
When: 21 Jul 12 23:03
Mug indeed. You are the third biggest mug I have seen on here. A layers benevolent fund.
By:
kingG111111
When: 21 Jul 12 23:06
i have alot of mugs in my house filled up with 50's, is that what you mean ?
By:
kingrat
When: 21 Jul 12 23:09
well i tell u maz,u have to be philosophical and take yre beating,i known i made the right bet,i just want to make the right bet every time,u known what i meanWink
By:
MagnumOpus
When: 22 Jul 12 00:25
Don't they sing 'I'm a Danedream Believer not a Homecoming Queen'? The clues are there.

Laugh

Very good bri,and well done once again,Excellent selection.

ps,Do you still think SNA doesn't stay?
By:
bazzar
When: 22 Jul 12 05:16
Hype does a lot I ignore most of the hype but we will see references towards DANEDREAM now, pity because it was negative hype which helped some of us to profit from her two biggest wins.
As a pensioner from a working class background, she has done me proud, not well off as a dishonest banker, but at least my gains ARE HONEST.
By:
brigust1
When: 22 Jul 12 09:54
Mornin' guys and gals. Thanx for that.I was only pointing out the facts that were there. I didn't know anything, it's just no very often the horse with the best form starts at 10's, and they were all fully exposed.

Mornin' Mag. At risk of sounding a muppet I still think he doesn't, not on softish ground and a stiff track.   He beat what he was expected to beat and I honestly think his jockey's exagerated waiting allowed him to finish better, he did beat him up a bit. Against the same horses at Epsom I think he would nearly win, but I also think the filly would fly round Epsom. I wouldn't be anywhere near so confident there, about him that is. I seriously wish they had saved him for the Juddmonte.
By:
motley01
When: 23 Jul 12 10:29
Brigust1, how on earth can you think sna didn't stay, they stuck in
a pacemaker to a race that there was lots of pace already, SNA is a 1mile 6/2mile horse "i also
think the filly would fly around epsom" on a scale of 1 to 10, that comment
rates a 10 for total clueless stupidity, she needs an end to end gallop to
be effective, as in the KG, she won an arc ffs. Would not be able to lie up
around epsom. "SNA for the Juddmonte, you really are clueless.
By:
hello :-)
When: 23 Jul 12 10:39
I think SNA finished exactly where it should have behind two top class horses , ran a good race and wouldnt have been any closer no matter where or when it started run

im not sure what all the fuss is about im sure AOB is happy it was that close to two off the highest class horses around who were flaT OUT

sea moon was the dissapointment imo
By:
FELTFAIR
When: 23 Jul 12 15:08
Spot on Hello. Re Sea Moon he needed Harbinger type improvement after the Hardwicke which didn`t materialise and confirmed his rating as a G2 horse unless Sir Michael can find an easy G1 opportunity somwhere.
By:
ima_mazed66
When: 23 Jul 12 17:53
I'm not sure I would agree that SNA wouldn't have been any closer no matter where or when it started its run when you consider the first and second weren't stopping and ran all the way to the line, yet SNA at the 3f pole is around 6-7 lengths down on them both but only 1½L at the line. You would have to say in all probability that had the horse been kept closer then it might well have won.

You can still hold up a horse without having to be plumb last and had this been a 5 runner race and they had run in Indian file then I doubt SNA would have been ridden 6-7L off the pace and even had the 5 being nose to tail then he would only have been 5L off the lead.
By:
hello :-)
When: 23 Jul 12 18:21
As i say things could have been different but if the horse was ridden closer to the pace would it have used more energy and its run have been sustained as long , very hard to say but the fact it has been placed in one off the finest king georges in living memory , and only going down by a length and a half when it was beaten by nathanial 4l last year , you would have to say it was a good performance

As i said we all maybe take a point of view regarding the outcome off our bets and mine was SNA to place , so my memory will be of young joseph trying hard to the wire to claim a tight third
By:
FELTFAIR
When: 23 Jul 12 20:01
Dunadem was a good example of being up with the pace, he was finished at the two furlong pole. Had he been ridden as normal, dropped out and come with a late run, a la Melbourne Cup, would he have finished a lot closer. Nobody has commented on his performance but as  soon as a horse comes from behind everyone queues up to say more use of the horse should have been made. In my opinion SNA achieved his best possible placing and the ride given achieved that.
By:
acey deucy
When: 23 Jul 12 20:26
Spot on about Dunadem Feltfair,there is no way that horse ran to form,connections were far from happy with the ride that Aussie Duffer gave him.
By:
ima_mazed66
When: 23 Jul 12 21:06
Except the flaw in that argument is that Dunaden isn't really a Gr1 horse, despite winning a poor one in HK and you may just as well say that was the same reason Brown Panther was beaten, except that wasn't the case either and it was just neither are true Gr1 quality horses. 12f is probably a bit short for both of those horses too at the highest level and had they sat off the pace, they would still have been beaten for speed but just running on at the end. Dunaden ran exactly to form, like a Gr2/3 or top end handicapper running in a Gr1 and was closely tied in with Sea Moon on Hardwicke form and that one has never even won a Gr1.

The winner and 2nd are genuine Gr1 horses, which is why when they were always in the first 5 and only ever about 5-6L behind the pacemaker, they were able to be involved at the finish and despite being all out and SNA making ground on both of them, that initial start they were given was what made the difference.
By:
FELTFAIR
When: 23 Jul 12 21:09
Sorry you are wrong.
By:
HipPriest
When: 23 Jul 12 21:10
Dunaden is a slow old boat - always seems to get an 'unlucky' passage or be ridden wrongly.

Its a Cup horse - it has no business in European G1's at 12f
By:
ima_mazed66
When: 23 Jul 12 21:11
Oh and stating the obvious, Dunaden had also won a Gr1 in Australia but the reason I almost overlooked that one is that I still can't get my head around a handicap being a Gr1!

Red Cadeaux has multiple form tied in with Dunaden and I think we all know that honest as that one is, it's not really a Gr1 horse either and would be well beaten in the Arc for example.
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