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PaddyPower 2014

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By:
willie the milk
When: 10 Nov 14 19:56
I agree IS, Team Pipe will surely have him ready for a meeting he has made his own over the years and, no disrespect to the delectable Emma, but I'm sure Pipe can find the improvement needed. I also like the fact that this is his only 5 day declared runner in a race the team have won an increadible 9 times over the years.
By:
harchibald
When: 10 Nov 14 21:19
I've played NRNB with Paddy Power 20/1 about Kapga De Cerisy.
Ground likely to suit.
146 a good mark for this, Sandown performance and jumping was 90% perfect (one mistake). Has a King George entry.
Stable, trainer and owner missed an opportunity with Katenko last year. Laid out for this race this year.
Could be very well in, 2nd season chaser, French bred.
By:
bluebirdfan
When: 11 Nov 14 07:26
Anyone backing the top novice Colour Squadron?
By:
sageform
When: 11 Nov 14 07:44
Colour Squadron has had so many chances and for me he just does not relish the Cheltenham hill. Maybe with another year behind him he will get home, but I am still very keen on stable mate Persian Snow who is now guaranteed a run from a nice weight of 10-9.
By:
colupaul
When: 11 Nov 14 12:42
Not sure if this has already been mentioned on this thread but Betfair Sportsbook going 5 places on this race... the only book to be doing so looking at Oddschecker...
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 11 Nov 14 13:29
I am pretty sure b 365 will do so from Saturday morning, as they often do on these big handicaps. Sly bet may do too. fwiw
By:
bonnie
When: 11 Nov 14 14:14
ericht is nicely treated imo. ran a shocker when well fancied at the festival, but is handicapped accordingly and has had a prep for the race.

small win bet on here and ew in a shop
By:
sc1883
When: 11 Nov 14 16:53
Had a good look over the 5 day decs and really dissapointed, doesnt really look to have much strength in depth. Still think there is improvement in Ericht but would need the rain to stay away. On his best form Cantlow would be a good eachway price at 20/1
By:
Big_Issue
When: 11 Nov 14 17:26
No mention for Oscar Whiskey?

Still 11lb below Hurdle rating of 167, with a decent record at Cheltenham (inc Champion Hurdle and World Hurdle as well as 2 Relkeel Hurdles) plus a novice chase Grade 1 win and and a grade 2 novice chase win over Taquin De Seul, must have a chance surely?
By:
judorick
When: 11 Nov 14 17:43
not gonna run ^
By:
BJG
When: 11 Nov 14 18:09
OW and RE highly unlikely to run acc to Heno in the Rp today
By:
Hibore
When: 11 Nov 14 18:16
Is Johnson likely to ride Colour Squadron in place of AP ? Race will be run to suit and 16's is a great price to lay in running.
By:
brandyontherocks
When: 11 Nov 14 18:24
Johns Spirit top weight then?
By:
FELTFAIR
When: 11 Nov 14 18:58
Will Geraghty ride Ericht and Johnson Persian Snow?
By:
Big_Issue
When: 11 Nov 14 19:02
not gonna run ^

Guess that's why nobody fancies it Blush

Shame as would seem to fit most of the required stats for the race.

What's your shortlist Rick?
By:
bonnie
When: 11 Nov 14 19:08
i'm guessing BG will ride ericht, ran a very "encouraging" race behind johns spirit last time out !!
By:
slash.
When: 11 Nov 14 19:19
Is  uxiandre  still set to run any news , race looks very poor to me with so many pulling out an could get worse if conditions carry on lashing down in chelt
By:
BJG
When: 11 Nov 14 19:27
Uxizandre more likely to run in the Shloer on Sun
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 11 Nov 14 19:31
Uxizandre has an entry in the Shloer chase on Sunday.

No idea what the plan is, just highlighting the alternative entry...
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 11 Nov 14 19:32
^ did n't see yours first BJG.
By:
slash.
When: 11 Nov 14 19:34
Cheers lads the race is really cutting up then can see john spirit winning back to back
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 11 Nov 14 19:39
Uxizandre has never ran over 2m has he? Seems a slightly odd decision to me as he doesn't scream 2 miler, does he?
By:
slash.
When: 11 Nov 14 19:44
He's quite a free travelling horse so bringing him back in trip wouldn't be a problem as won over further just hope he still runs in this as I backed him an double Ross ante post and the one bet is in the bin already the joys of ante post gambling lol
By:
dunlaying
When: 11 Nov 14 19:45
Cantlow looks well treated and a case can be made for Shangani,who holds an entry for Friday.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 11 Nov 14 19:47
Yeah I've backed him too slash Sad
By:
slash.
When: 11 Nov 14 19:49
J p always runs a few in these handicaps so fingers crossed was hoping oscar don't run an Barry g will ride Crazy
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 11 Nov 14 19:54
Think the additional entry is quite damning myself mate. Must be put off by top weight?
By:
slash.
When: 11 Nov 14 20:00
Yea I agree mate hope they look at it now an think they got good chance of winning race  with all these good things dropping out despite the weight
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 11 Nov 14 20:11
it's tricky and uncertainty over the ground come Saturday does n't help....

My first thought is I find it difficult to understand why Colour Squadron is between 2 and 6 points shorter than John's Spirit with virtually all the firms.

Market emphasis predicated around last year's renewal and John's Spirit's win over CD in October but John's Spirit could n't follow up in December Gold Cup last year off 148 and is up to 156 now.Colour Squadron recieved 2lbs from John's Spirit in both the December race and the Byrne Group Plate and beat him comfortably both times, he gets 4lbs here.

The snag is that both the races John's Spirit won were on the Old Course whereas the ones where he was bested by Colour Squadron were both on the New Course.

I still think the prices are wrong, particularly when looking at a re-run of last year's renewal - though I accept the fact that John's Spirit has won 4 chases and Colour Squadron has n't won any will have a lot to do with it - I suppose it depends whether you see Colour Squadron as unreliable or a victim of circumstances, I'm leaning towards the latter myself.

I'm not convinced of the strength of the race John's Spirit won from Persian Snow and Ericht in October, Astracad seems regressive but, then again, Workbench ran very respectably in the Badger Ales Chase at the w/e.

Yep, it's tricky and those form lines don't cover all the field anyway...
By:
harchibald
When: 11 Nov 14 21:19
I just think that KAPGA DE CERISY jumped like Imperial Commander last time at Sandown and he trounced a decent enough field. I think he has been laid out for this. Aidan Coleman is locked up today. Venetia said he's in great form at home and should run a good race, they are apparently very hopeful. Missed his beloved Sundown to come here ... this has been the plan and same owner, trainer and jockey combo who missed out on running Katenko in this last year can strike. Has anyone got the RP Weekender for tomorrow at all yet guys ?
By:
judorick
When: 11 Nov 14 23:26
I've backed Indian Castle large ew antepost and had stake savers on Present View and Buywise

that is my short list

Kapga de Cerisy (spelling?) from Venetia was next on list but no Cheltenham experience so scrubbed
By:
Big_Issue
When: 12 Nov 14 08:25
Cheers Rick, I see this has moved to I Williams from D McCain and he seems to be able to ready them FTO no problem.

Is it a slight concern that this hasn't competed in a Graded Chase at some time?
By:
judorick
When: 12 Nov 14 09:04
not an angle I had considered so I don't know..Blush
By:
Big_Issue
When: 12 Nov 14 11:30
Me neither and don't have any back stats to prove or disprove if it's of any consequence, just wondered if it was a consideration.
By:
racingguru
When: 12 Nov 14 12:39
Harchibald - sent u a pm.
By:
judorick
When: 12 Nov 14 15:46
OW is going to run after all
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 12 Nov 14 15:57
Lets hope he does.
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 12 Nov 14 15:58
^yep, that time of year where the old Hendo 'in,out,in,out' okey cokey starts to kick in...

makes sense for the stable I s'pose - covers the bases in terms of going given that we know OW likes cut and Henderson states Ericht prefers good ground.

Would be a bit put off by the fact that they were n't sure he was ready for a race until yesterday's gallop - the rain now looks less likely to materialise in quantity according to latest forecast too.

Jockey bookings interesting too - Geraghty would struggle to do the weight on Ericht and might have been on one of McManus horses if OW did n't run...

In other news, Sire De Grugy is lame which surely makes it more likely that Uxizandre will rock up in the Shloer rather than here.

No nearer finding a bet but loving the intrigue!!
By:
dyno-layer
When: 12 Nov 14 17:18
Ummmmm...


Racecourse Report Date Race Date GoingStick


Cheltenham 12 November 14 - 16 November 
Chase and H: Good to Soft
Cross Country: Good Chase and H: 6.5
on Wednesday at 15:00


Archived Going Stick readings for Cheltenham :

25-Jan-14 Heavy (Soft in places) 6.3
By:
dyno-layer
When: 12 Nov 14 17:20
Cheltenham / Fri 14 Nov
Updated @ Wed 12 Nov
Going/Track
 
Chase and Hurdle Good to Soft. Cross Country Good. (GoingStick: Chase and hurdle 6.5 on Wednesday at 15:00)



Weather
8mm of rain in past 48 hours. Rain on Thursday evening (4 to 5mm), and a wet day Friday (10 to 12mm).
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