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does anyone seriously know the reason other than a billionaire in bankok wearing a red shirt and with nothing better to do ?
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haha 2.26 looks like i will be leaving this one in play
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April Fool prices
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Still be laying liverpool like usual. Confident that newcastle will win
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MR Atkinson's last 4 red cards...
Norwich V Newcastle Red for Newcastle Liverpool V City Red For City Everton V Liverpool COMICLE Red for Everton BEWARE |
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Martin Atkinson has reffed 3 Liverpool games this season and given a red to the opposition in every game
BEWARE |
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OUTRAGEOUS odds.
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maybe everton is the reason ?
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The Atkinson factor could work either way - ie this fact will be mention all day on Sky and a red to Newcastle today and an apoplectic Fergie could see Atko reffing Macclesfield v Matlock next season - price on the scouse gits all depends on whether the Far East money keeps coming - there's only currently about £30k to be traded at this price, if thats it then the price could bomb, whereas if they keep topping it up it may be around the SP
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the guy's wad has just about run out now - will he top it up ? - if not watch that price bomb
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The odds dont stack up here. Newcastle are 3.5 to win and yet Papiss Cisse and Demba Ba are both trading around 3.0 to score!
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These odds do not make any sense. How can Liverpool possibly be favourites against a side that are above them in the league and enjoy home advantage?
Is it Christmas already? |
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absolutely baffling market
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Would a couple of Newc players really be dumb enough to take big money to help throw a game? If this were an Italian top flight game of the same stature, and the heavily backed team were to win, imagine all the "corrupt League etc" quotes that would crop up on this forum. The prices are just crazy.
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Asian mafia have fixed this game
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shelvey and spearing playing
hardly a stunning line up |
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Newcastle: Krul, Simpson, Williamson, Perch, Gutierrez, Guthrie, Tiote, Cabaye, Ben Arfa, Cisse, Ba
Liverpool: Reina, Flanagan, Carragher, Skrtel, Enrique, Gerrard, Spearing, Shelvey, Bellamy, Carroll, Suarez |
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So williamson at cb, simpson or perch along side him. Who's the other defender? 3-4-3? or is tiote playing in the d line or will gutierrez play fullback
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bit worried no colochini
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gutierrez will play left back
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Mmmhmm , Goals are on the card
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I think (whether it wins or not) that Liverpool HT at 3's is a great lay.
Current away record at half-time 15 played/3 wins/8 draws/4 losses scored 6 conceded 6, 8/16/6 if you include their home record too. This is awful compared to newcastle, 11/12/7 overall and at home 6/5/4. This makes 2/1 look an awful price as Liverpools win rate was 3/15 and newcastles lose rate is 4/15. Away losses were to Bolton, City, Stoke and Tottenham, drew at half-time at home to Newcastle. Looks a solid bet to me but will probably trade it in match if Liverpool look too strong or trade out slowly when price hits 4 and upwards. |
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Liverpool are probably a little bit short, but not too far from representative of the actual probabilities of each of the 3 possible outcomes. Liverpool are a better team that have just had a bad season. Newcastle have overachieved this season and have had some really poor performances recently. Norwich (h), Wolves (h), Tottenham (a) , Villa (h), Blackburn (a) , Brighton (h) , Fulham (a) and QPR (h) were all pretty shabby imo.
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but the odds are not too far from representative of the actual probabilities of each of the 3 possible outcomes. *
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This ref has sent of three opposition players this season when refereeing Liverpool games, would you fancy Newcastle with 10 men? Not me.
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*off
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Conspiracy theory zzzorro, have they not been justified?
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Back Newcastle and a sending off then
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Zzzorro. I really do not consider that to be a significant factor. If anything, it'll work in Newcastle's favour because he's probably so nervous about his integrity being scrutinised.
I actually trust him to not all allow that statistic to affect his judgement. I don't think he'd be in that position if he was biased. |
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Rodwell sending off was a joke and rescinded on appeal....
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Whoops. I meant Brighton(a)
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Whoops. I meant Brighton(a)
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Whoops. I meant Brighton(a)
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Plain facts say a home side in good form against an away side with poor form shouldnt be that price , esp when you think adam is missing .
There is no logical reason for these odds |
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Hello. The logic is that Liverpool are a better team that have underachieved and Newcastle have overachieved.
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Hello. The logic is that Liverpool are a better team that have underachieved and Newcastle have overachieved.
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Thats the logic...but the fact is that this is the worst Liverpool team in living memory.
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alan parry and alan smith
ffs sky wotapairofcoonts |
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Rowan86 it's your opinion that Newcastle have overachieved, it is not a fact. It could be that Newcastle are a better side than Liverpool, they have bought wisely in the transfer market and have picked up quite a few bargains it seems. Liverpool have paid over the odds for many players.
And please stop pressing the post reply button over and over again...thanks. |