Jul 26, 2020 -- 1:02PM, tomtimtum wrote:

Was supposed to rain all day yesterday and we didn't see a drop!

Up to a point but that wasn't what was forecast the day before and even a couple of days out, it was heavy showers, not set in rain.  Showers are very hard to call until they're up on the radar.

Jul 26, 2020 -- 4:23PM, SontaranStratagem wrote:

No rain tomorrow?

Looks bog awful. Showery from the afternoon onwards but set in rain from 3am (as per Met Office) so even if there are gaps between the rain, it may not be dry enough. Looks most likely to be a total wash out but to be fair to England, hard to account for that when you might get a couple of hours of play, or possibly even more. Of course, if England end up setting relatively few runs and there's play tomorrow after rain, they probably won't regret it.

Jul 26, 2020 -- 4:56PM, detraveller wrote:

I'm up 300 bucks on this game. Net loss this series.Still enough time to mess up those 300 like I've done in the first two tests.

Oh dear. I did well in the first game, which offered very nice draw trading.  I wasn't paying attention to the second test and it started with me a fair way in with England lays at 1.45 or so without me noticing.  Went okay but I only won a couple of hundred from there. 

This one has been pretty good too, although I've probably ended up with slightly too much of my green on the draw unless the rain tomorrow really does wreck the whole day.

Jul 26, 2020 -- 5:11PM, tomtimtum wrote:

Root must have told Burns to get a move on, get his ton and then they can declare

Only just over an hour of play left plus account for losing the 10m to change over. They could thrash for 20m or so hoping to get 365 or so ahead and get 7-8 overs in but I don't really think they will. Assuming they will bat to close and see what happens tomorrow they should also be batting like this, given 9 wickets in hand!

Jul 26, 2020 -- 5:33PM, Fatslogger wrote:

Jul 26, 2020 --  5:29PM, tomtimtum wrote:if they bat on till close of play, we should see a decent draw runNot sure but probably, especially if it really is biblical rain overnight and first thing. It's hard to know how much stuff is priced in sometimes.  I think the market should reckon on England not declaring and on at least 2 sessions gone tomorrow, probably all day but I am not totally confident either that these are accurate assumptions in themselves or that the market shares them!

I think the market is priced for Windies to be batting again tonight, which is why i think there'd be some move on the draw + the panic that England might bat on again on day 5 (however unlikely that is).