Cheltenham Festival
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*** Arkle Chase ***
*** Arkle Chase ***
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Replies: 358
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dynamite dollars misses the race due to injury.
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Kalashnikov 6/1 E/W bet to nothing now.
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Do urself a favour and put nothing on it
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Gutted. DD wasn't my biggest winner in the race but he was a horse I liked/followed and imo was the most likely winner.
The biggest danger to Le Richebourg is now out of the way; he's my biggest winner (although somewhat fortuitously, having backed him early in the season to win 'any race' at a big price thinking he'd most likely run in the JLT, it doesn't often work out like that!). |
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Dynamite Dollars has raced 5 times this season, winning 4 novice chases including a Grade One and two Grade Twos.
Given it's described as a training setback as opposed to something which occurred during a race - at least connections won't be ruing putting all their eggs in the Cheltenham basket. |
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If the ground is good the biggest danger to Le Richebourg is Lalor, I believe' Kalashnikov will possibly go the JLT otherwise he'd be run-off his feet over 16f on good ground. If the ground is super soft Lalor will be an absentee, and probably saved for Aintree.
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The ground will be soft maybe good/soft soft in places. Cheltenham have already been under fire for horse welfare.
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If so, Le Richebourg and Kalashnikov at the business end given a clear round of jumping; soft will inconvenience Lalor, I believe.
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Must be the Arkle for Glen Forsa I'd have thought now
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yeah that was impressive
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and if he jumps and travels like that then he is going to have a fair few shovelling coal before the last turn the arkle
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Rarely bet decent £ in the Arkle but grabbed the 14/1 straight after it passed the post. It is possible that both a 152 and a 139 rated horse have not run to form but the latter was beaten a fence! Like most decent Arkle horses he stays further. Also like the aggressive tactics which are bound to be employed.
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Plenty of money for Glen Forsa over last 48 hrs. I was blown away with his performance at Sandown and went down to see him after the race. What a beast of a horse.
I can see him leading all the way if Knocknanuss goes to the JLT or waits for Aintree. If he runs I think you’ll struggle to get 3/1 on the day. |
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Cilaos Emery , schooled at Navan and has ligament damage and will not be travelling to Cheltenham
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Cilaos Emery , schooled at Navan and has ligament damage and will not be travelling to Cheltenham
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Glen forsa at chepstow was novicey over the three miles looked tired coming to the second last and alomst blew it. How he beat kalasnikov over 16f recently is a bit of a stunner. Between those two races he has won over 20f..... Signs are good
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Think the chepstow cou
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Think the chepstow track was soft\heavy on the day , but couldn't get out on it, good performance didn't see Mick there , was he at sandown ?
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Can anyone envisage Kalashnikov capturing this regardless of ground? If good or better I believe he'd be run off his feet; on soft he was comprehensively beaten by Glen Forsa, and would have no chance of avenging his defeat over the same distance, all things being equal; his achilles heel is his ability to jump consistently well to match his adversaries in the race. Yet connections are still favouring this over the longer trip JLT despite the drubbing in his latest race.
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Are they related to u
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Is Cilaos Emery definitely out? I read about this on Sporting Life earlier but it said they wouldn’t know for a few days.
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According to Willie was pulled muscle at 1st but then found ligaments damaged so out
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Certainly the price on betfair suggests that. Had seen the original report about pulled muscle but not seen anything since then where did you see that?
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RP report of open day yesterday maybe still on site
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Sorry late reply at work here
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No worries. Sounds right given the price. Disappointing as I thought he’d go close. Also as a race it’s started to fall apart a bit with both him and Dynamite Dollars out and Kalashnikov and Defi potentially going for the JLT
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They have virtually committed Glen Forsa to this race.
Crazy to think winning a two horse race on soft ground on a totally different track (plenty of quick fences) and with the second favourite running well below his best somehow makes him a two miler. The JLT is there for the taking but in all likelihood he gets beat in the Arkle and never runs over the trip again. Surely nobody sees him as a potential Champion Chase winner? |
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Cant have Glen Forsa at all, they should run in JLT, front two in market for me, shame about Cilaos, thought had great chance
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This is looking a really poor renewal now. Le Richebourg is the form pick over fences, but this tends to go to a horse that was a good novice hurdler. I'm not ruling him on that, but it concerns me a little that he was allowed to go off at 33/1 in the County off 145 last year and was well beaten. Connections can't have thought that much of him then. I don't like Lalor's preparation. Glen Forsa looked good against Kalashnikov, but that one didn't jump at all there and I'm not convinced this is the right race. I feel like I need to find one at a big price to play each way.
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Ground the biggest issue for Le Richebourg. If you haven't watched last year's County Hurdle have a look because if I remember correctly he tanked into the race, made a mistake and then didn't get home on the ground. Much better than that placing indicated. A lot will depend on how much they doctor the track on the first day. Hopefully, we are talking the good side of good to soft.
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Spot on diff, deffo needs the word good in the going
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Have we lost Le Richebourg? He's not the in the betting; Lalor is fav.
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Joseph confirmed Le Richebourg suffered a season-ending injury after work.
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This race really has fell apart now. Can't ever remember such a poor Arkle.
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Nothing to write about; the main protagonists are ground dependent too. The Champion Chase next year will be up-for-grabs if Altior retires, goes King George and/or Gold Cup.
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Defi may run in this now?
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Ah yes Budd. Hadn't considered that. I'd fancy him for this.
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Indeed, Defi is more likely, and been backed too with Kalashnikov going the other way perhaps as it's easier to win; if good ground (unlikely given Clerk of Course) Defi and Kalashnikov will be eaten for breakfast, I believe.
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I don't think McManus has anything else for the JLT, so would they want to reroute when that race doesn't look any harder and he's been campaigned towards it? I must admit I thought the Arkle would be better for him after the Dipper, but he seemed to get the trip fine when ridden with more restraint next time out. Have Frank Berry or Alan King made any quotes regarding Defi since the news?
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The 2m pace could be 1/2 a stride too quick for Defi on good/good to soft going; soft could play into his hands as Lalor could be absent, and Kalashnikov unlikely to be effective over the same trip and condition similar to those he was annihilated by Glen Forsa last time.
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