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The Champion Hurdle Thread

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By:
Steeplechasing
When: 30 Dec 10 14:17
CVB, come on, because you started the thread, it doesn't mean you can censor opinions expressed on it.  Gone off-topic a shade, fair enough, and maybe the subject warrants another thread, but folks are entitled to say what they think unless it's abusive.
By:
brigust1
When: 30 Dec 10 14:45
If you saw my outstanding bets Rease you would then know just how wrong you are.
I've also doubled up with Cue Card in the Supreme and Neptune and Zaidpour in the same races yesterday with JokeOral at 10s and 20s to win a nice bit.
Singles on here at 24's and 23's.
There is still time Rease, you have been told the form, the preparation and the prices what more do you want?
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 30 Dec 10 15:13
I won't be joining you Brigust but will be first on here to congratulate you if they come in (well maybe not first as I'll be there on CH day).

Festival will be made for you after opening two races if either of those combos come in for sure.
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 30 Dec 10 15:16
^ after first day, I should say.
By:
cyclops
When: 30 Dec 10 23:52
Why no response to the question about top class opponents that Istabraq beat? Anger is one thing, but I prefer to look at the facts. French Holly was a fine horse, but a top class 2 miler? And, as for Dato Star,his class performances were few and far between and certainly not in Champion Hurdles. More relevant is the fact that the mighty Theatreworld finished runner-up to Istabraq in 2 Champions. This was a horse that was only a part time hurdler, winning 6 of 33 starts in that sphere, and never rated above a career best RP figure of 155. The merit of the form of those races is highly dubious. Yes, of course, a horse can only beat what's put in front of him, but Istabraq really did have it easy, and there was at least a suspicion that, if he didn't win easy, he wouldn't have won at all. Having witnessed the great hurdlers since 1970, he'd be well behind the best half dozen or so in my book.The record looks great, the form looks ordinary.
By:
Masterminded
When: 31 Dec 10 00:38
Istabraq is the best 2 miler I have ever watched. I can't honestly believe people are knocking him. Knocking form is very easy to do. I mean I could go through Sea The Stars' form to make him sound ordinary but in reality he was a horse of a lifetime as was Istabraq IMO.
By:
It's Me SANDER C
When: 31 Dec 10 01:54
Cv not a bad write up but not much of a conclusion! you reckon it's between kyb kim,binocular or huuricane sitting on the fence here! To me Menorah looks a bit of a stand out here, i'll give you my views on the top 4 in the betting now:

HURRICANE FLY: looked very impresive last 2 starts, beating nothing tho, solwhit is no good i'd rate him bout 150 at best. Injury problems too, happy to let him run at this stage at likely short price fav.

BINOCULAR ; poor runs so far, we know he will be saved for the big day! This years race looks far stronger than last years and at 4/1 looks shocking price. Not straight forward to train and no value at all.

PEDDLERS CROSS : reckon he's bout a season behind, could be anything but may lack the experience. Would like to see him race over 2m once more to see if he has the pace at the top level.Looks the danger to me, could be top class, very promising!!!!

CONCLUSION ; As you all know i'm a huge MENORAH fan, he looks a huge price at 4/1 for this. I am scared of Ped Cross and will have to save on this beast, really could be the next Ista!! But for this year my money is down at 8/1 and 6/1 already and i am still backing MENORAH!
Get the first day off to a flyer and steam in at 4/1 MENORAH good luck x
By:
brigust1
When: 31 Dec 10 07:20
Sorry to rain on your parade Sanders but Menora doesn't beat Dunguib. In fact it is only the Menora form that worries me. He was given a blinding ride by Johnson to win the Supreme and his other form is highly questionable. Apart from that obvious error the rest of your write up I agree with.
Only 10 weeks to go and the CH winner hasn't even run yet. I know I may be becoming a bit tedious but for the very reasons you listed above I reached my conclusions. Good luck to you. Roll on March 15th.
By:
cyclops
When: 31 Dec 10 08:17
masterminded: "knocking form is very easy to do?" What does that mean? Form is the entire basis of the game and its perfectly legitimate to examine it to establish whether visually impressive performances have real merit. The great hurdlers of my experience, in particular Sea Pigeon, Night Nurse and Monksfield, produced a welter of top performances against proven class performers as well as, in Sea Pigeon's case, underpinning those with extraordinary feats in handicaps. Some of the horses they beat, like Bird's Nest and Beacon Light, were top performers in their own right, with high quality cv's to bring to the table, horses that, in other eras, would clearly have been champions themselves.
Its woolly in the extreme to peddle the line of "how dare people knock great champions" when you're not prepared to produce any evidence to support your claim that Istabraq was such a horse.
Yes, I concede that this theme is off-thread, but, since mentioning Istabraq here, his supporters have produced nothing but bluster.
By:
brigust1
When: 31 Dec 10 08:35
Cyclops ffs stop living up to your namesake.
I'm not an Istabraq fan, Persian War was my hero but you are being blind.
Istabraq was only beaten 3 times in 28 hurdle races over 4 years.
And those 3 times were 1st time out, by Pridwell after he had won the CH by 12 lengths and AP still rates this his best ever ride, and by Limestone Lad when he was given, at best, an injudicious ride.
No-one knows how good he really was because he often won as he liked even in Gr1's.
So please give it a f u c k i n g rest because you are talking complete and utter b o l l ox.
By:
cyclops
When: 31 Dec 10 08:59
And who did he beat Brigust? Can no-one answer this simple question to justify their opinion of him?
By:
brigust1
When: 31 Dec 10 09:03
He beat everything they threw at him, I don't think any of your hero's, or mine for that matter, can claim that.
By:
cyclops
When: 31 Dec 10 09:06
But the names of the class horses he beat still eludes you.
By:
woodworm
When: 31 Dec 10 09:18
He beat Hors la loi, Dato Star, Moscow Flyer, Pridwell, Relkeel, Limestone Lad and numerous others. May not have come up against any Sea Pigeons or Night Nursess but you cannot deny the above list of horses were all well above average and won a lot of good races over the years.
Istabraq WAS a true champion imo!

Back to this years race I still think Binocular is the horse to beat. Hurricane Fly appears to be the main danger but running at cheltenham in a big field on better ground is a different proposition to Ireland in the mud! If Dunguib has been intensively schooled I would rate him as a live outsider at a good price.
By:
brigust1
When: 31 Dec 10 09:35
G o d you are infuriating. My hero never beat Bula but that doesn't matter. Persian War was trained unusually and Bula was the rising star and there is no way I could say, for sure, either were better than Istabraq.
In 2004 the RP had a public vote for favourite racehorses.

In 4th Istabraq  23 from 29  3 CH's should have been 4 but F&Mouth.
9th Sea Pigeon   21 from 40    1 Ch
16th Night Nurse 32 from 64  2 CH's
40th Persian War 18 from 51  3 CH's
43rd Monksfield  14 from 49   2 CH's
78th Birds Nest  19 from 62  0 CH's

Fantastic hurdlers all of them and I am not about to knock any of them for fatuous reasons. You may prefer one or other or maybe something else but the way forward is not to knock obviously outstanding horses.
By:
brigust1
When: 31 Dec 10 09:44
Actually Sea Pigeon won twice.

If I were placing these in order in a CH between these all at their best it would be as follows:

Sea Pigeon
Istabraq
Monksfield
Persian War
Bula
Night Nurse

Sure to upset somebody but that is only my opnion.
By:
cyclops
When: 31 Dec 10 09:44
I think you've made my point for me, woodworm.

Beating Limestone Lad over 2 miles (and being beaten by him over 2 and a half) does nothing to make him a great. Relkeel was tailed off the only time they met. Pridwell was a quirky two and a half miler who only ever won once in his career over the minimum trip (thought still beat Istabraq at Aintree). Moscow Flyer was never considered a Champion hurdle aspirant and, indeed the only times they met, Moscow Flyer fell two out having just taken the lead the first time, while Istabraq fell at the last the other time when "looking beaten" (RP). I've covered Dato Star above, while Hors La Loi I suppose at least has credentials but was struggling to cut any ice at all in his races when a surprising second in the Champion.
By:
cyclops
When: 31 Dec 10 09:53
brigust, again you take refuge in the spurious. "Favourite" does not equate to "best". And a  poll of favourite horses is bound to be skewed towards the more recent, as many voters would not be old enough to have witnessed horses of a previous era. Of course, you are entitled to your opinion, as I am to mine, but you seem unable to answer my point that Istabraq ran in the poorest hurdling era by far and had so little to beat that hyperbolic assessments of his ability do not stand the test of the form book.
By:
woodworm
When: 31 Dec 10 10:16
Reading this thread has made me go and look up Istabraqs record to remind me just what a wonderful horse he was. I remember his champion hurdle victories as was there for each one and remember how he just put the race to bed between the last two flights. His jumping was slick and his ability to find an extra gear at the end of his race was awsome.

Re-reading the form book has reminded me just how good he was. His first CH was and 18 runner affair won in a fast time by a record equalling 12 lengths.
His second CH was a bit slower but won comfortably by 3.5 lengths.
His 3rd CH was won in a course record time, the horse in second won the next CH to be contested.

In 2001 the CH was abandoned dt the foot and mouth outbreak. There is every chance he would have won a 4th CH. The horse most likely to take the race if he hadn't was none other than Moscow Flyer. If you read J Harrisons book they were gutted to have lost this fixture as they thought he could have won. To say Moscow Flyer was never considered a ch aspirant is wrong.

I don't agree with your assessment of his ability and you probably wont agree with mine. I personally think the facts speak for themselves!
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 31 Dec 10 11:13
big question is - would Istabraq have had the beating of Dunguib? Blush
By:
brigust1
When: 31 Dec 10 11:44
Hi Rease. Hope you have a good Cheltenham and cheer on the Dun. If he doesn't live up to my expectations I hope your's does.
Only time will tell about past champions but Dunguib is still in the picture. The only problem is that if Dunguib wins the CH cyclops will be claiming it's a bad one, never mind eh.
It is sad though when a short sighted reviewer blames the horse for beating eveything they put in front of him, and ducked nothing for 4 years. I'm not saying the opposition was great but he was rated in the high 170's whereas Sea Pigeon was rated only 175 when he murdered Monksfield,rated 180, by 7 lengths in the CH.
If Sea Pigeon had the chance to beat better horses he would cetainly have been rated the best hurdler, Cyclops, so rest in comfort that your theory has not been completely crushed simply because he never beat better horses, and not because he couldn't. Lucky man.
By:
cyclops
When: 31 Dec 10 12:32
brigust, if you feel the quality of opposition is irrelevant, you presumably feted Detroit City when he won 8 in a row, and maybe our friend Dunguib when he did the same. 
Woodworm, you put up a top class opponent at last in Moscow Flyer. Your memory may be better than mine concerning his Champion hurdle aspirations but the fact remains that he was beating Istabraq when the latter fell the second time they met, and may well have done so when he himself fell the only other time.
By:
buddeliea
When: 31 Dec 10 12:42
What a complete waste of time!!

How on earth are we supposed to know how good Istabraq was compared to horses he never raced against??

All we know is HIS record and the way HE ran in HIS races,the fact he never had the likes of Night Nurse etc to race against does not mean he was better or worse than any other C Hurdler.His record is there for all to see,and is of a very high class,lets leave it at that shall we.And leave this thread to what it was meant for-this seasons race.
If anyone cannot,i suggest you start a thread along the lines of Istabraq was average,that should warm the cockles on a few cold nights!!
By:
cyclops
When: 31 Dec 10 12:48
But isn't that the fun of it, bud?
I argue my case, you argue yours and we either get persuaded or agree to differ.
If its pointless to compare horses from different eras, as people do about all sports,
the forum would certainly be the poorer.
By:
buddeliea
When: 31 Dec 10 12:54
Yes mate it can be fun,but it belongs on a different thread,and can then be debated by those who wish to.
I keep looking on here to discuss this seasons race and find a debate that cannot be proved either way.
Like i said make a thread about Istabraq or forget it,and leave this well thought out thread to those that appreciate it the way it was meant.
By:
CVByrne
When: 31 Dec 10 15:56
What a f**king joke this forum is.
By:
gutfeeling
When: 31 Dec 10 16:23
do not feed the trolls...
By:
cyclops
When: 31 Dec 10 16:42
I shall remember to stick to the topic in future. Apologies to those I have annoyed with my diversion.
By:
bosra shame
When: 31 Dec 10 19:45
Hurrah back on topic. Menorah is a cert !!!!!
By:
aka
When: 31 Dec 10 20:21
Many a wandering path leads who knows where....

Istabraq broke the course record time and achieved a TS of 171. Binocular posted a pretty fast time in the latest renewal and achieved a TS of 163.

Brings us around to one of the key issues I think we really need to get sorted for the race next March: How good was Binocular's win in the race last time?

On the clock, pretty good, but not quite outstanding enough perhaps to think he could be in a class of his own within the division. Likely we are not talking about a horse that will be as dominant in the CH as Istabraq was in his time, or are we?

Binocular won easily last March, so could he have pulled out more if needed? Possibly, though we only have limited evidence to judge how much Binocular might be able to find had, for example, KK got close enough to lay down a really serious challenge going over the last hurdle. Not entirely clear yet what Binocular might, or might not, be capable of achieving if locked into a long, driving finish with other horses that have the class and will to battle hard up the hill.

Kicking for home off a fast pace at Cheltenham, Binocular looked formidable. Did the calibre of the opposition flatter him on that occasion, or are we looking at a horse that is capable of travelling and hurdling so well on decent ground that the race just can't take enough out of him to draw the sting from his impressive finishing speed?

Binocular, imo, both outran them and out speeded them last time. That is a potent mix. KK is a pretty good horse on what he showed last season. Yet his limitations, arguably, were fairly exposed by Binocular in the CH. What now needs to be weighed up is whether the likes of Menorah, HF and PC are significantly better horses than KK. Or, if they are not significantly better than KK, whether perhaps their racing styles or tactical approach might give them a better chance against an in-form Binocular than was the case with KK in the 2009 renewal.

HF could be every bit as brilliant as Binocular, and maybe even better. He has captured the imagination as potentially a very classy horse. But who knows how well he will travel off such a strong pace on a track stiffer than those he has faced so far.

PC looks a resolute galloper. He is unlikely to be outrun as such; out speeded, over the hurdles and at key tactical points in the race, possibly that might prove his Achilles heel. Menorah may get there as economically as any of them, but would he have the finishing speed to cope with the way Binocular skipped away up the hill last March? 

Binocular looked in such fantastic form in the 2010 renewal, you could almost speculate it would not have troubled him had the race been run 2 or 3 seconds faster. Had that been the case, then on the clock it would have put his performance right up there with the very best CH winners in recent times, including Istabraq with his best CH TS rating of 171 and the TS rating of 172 that Brave Inca (somewhat surprisingly) posted in the 2006 renewal.

On that basis, I keep coming back to the conclusion that I would be loathe to oppose Binocular, though I may want to dutch him with one other horse given the quality of the likely opposition and the possibility Binocular really does need the ground as dry as it was last time to produce that kind of superior form.
By:
brigust1
When: 31 Dec 10 21:17
Good write up AKA, if you think it only lies between the ones you mentioned why not back them all and win a little?
Did you know that this time last year Dunguib was favourite even though he was never an intended runner?
This year is different.
By:
brigust1
When: 01 Jan 11 13:06
Oscar Whisky franks Dunguib form, go, go, go.
By:
buddeliea
When: 01 Jan 11 13:26
Yep,Supreme looking pretty good.
Well pleased with oscar,bet he aint 80 anymore!!
By:
Far From Trouble
When: 01 Jan 11 13:28
Got some shrapnel on Oscar at 95s so happy enough Happy

Beat some useful race fit yardsticks but a fair bit to prove yet if he's to come close in the CH
By:
buddeliea
When: 01 Jan 11 13:33
FFT,just checked, you beat my price by 9 pts!!

Agree,has more to do mate,but no doubt he is improving,and is a lively outsider for sure.
By:
buddeliea
When: 01 Jan 11 13:54
CV,bet you glad you gave Ow a couple of lines,would have been funny if your excellent thread had not mentioned the winner!!
By:
CVByrne
When: 01 Jan 11 17:32
I had forgotten him mate, but you reminded me about him. Nice performance today.
By:
buddeliea
When: 01 Jan 11 17:36
yeh it was,another intriguing addition to a real fascinating race this year.
By:
bosra shame
When: 02 Jan 11 10:57
Form frank for Menorah, if one was needed[;)]
By:
R Carver
When: 02 Jan 11 11:29
AKA - What now needs to be weighed up is whether the likes of Menorah, HF and PC are significantly better horses than KK. Or, if they are not significantly better than KK, whether perhaps their racing styles or tactical approach might give them a better chance against an in-form Binocular than was the case with KK in the 2009 renewal.

I agree entirely that this is the question - KK represents a good yardstick. He'd have been a really excellent winner of the CH  but Binocular (IMO) outclassed him. Will the new comers prove capable of rising above KK's level, given their different tactical styls, or might the ground blunt Binocular? I think the latter could certainly happen (though Binocular wont mind a bit of cut, and deeper ground rarely arrives now) but at this stage I am not sure about the former.
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