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Why Rebecca will win

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Replies: 227
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 10 Dec 10 15:15
probably the latter AY.

any possibility that matt's vote last week was heavily sympathy-influenced, and for the final people will vote according to performances on the night?  we'll see.

have him as my best result now, but that may well change by 7-30 tomorrow night!
By:
squares
When: 10 Dec 10 15:15
Not at all from my pov OTHH.  People who weren't watching the show at that time were asking who he was and what happened with him.

I'd compare him more to OD regards the likely fanbase but if reports and polls are anywhere near correct, it appears that Eoghan was getting the sort of vote OD could only dream about - and if they haven't been getting the votes up to now . . .
By:
TheMadness
When: 10 Dec 10 15:15
Cowell didn't want Leon to win. But there wasn't much he could do about it
By:
Denman The Destroyer
When: 10 Dec 10 15:15
onthehushhush,may i ask where you are getting all this info from?
By:
stroodle
When: 10 Dec 10 15:21
Can someone tell me if Matt has been Fav from the 1st live show, and what price he was when fav first
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 10 Dec 10 15:25
stroodle

He's pretty much been favourite from day 1.  I backed him at 9/2 and think from memory it was just before/after the first live show.  He's pretty much shortened in price ever since then.
By:
squares
When: 10 Dec 10 15:26
Matt shortened to about 7/2 after the FTEISYF performance at bootcamp, shown at the end of a programme one weekend iirc.  He drifted towards  9/2ish on the day of the first live show.
By:
stroodle
When: 10 Dec 10 15:27
Thanks Lou so he has been fav from day one about 4/1 cheers
By:
onthehushhush
When: 10 Dec 10 15:29
Denman - a fair question but not one I'm going to answer. Info is posted in good faith on a "take it or leave it" basis.
By:
Guybrush Threepwood
When: 10 Dec 10 15:30
After the 1st live show  Grimshaw went pole position, 5.0
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 10 Dec 10 15:31
stroodle

Yes that's about right.  He must have been 9/2 as that's what I'm on at and my bet says it was the 10th October.  So on the 10th october he was definately 9/2.
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 10 Dec 10 15:32
ah yes that's true GT - i remember getting a decent lay in at around 9/2.
By:
squares
When: 10 Dec 10 15:34
After early audition show, he was around 14/1 / 16/1, 20/1 in one or two places.  In the week before FTEISYF was shown (when it was quite likely he had progressed to live shows from the rumours around) he was about 8/1, 10/1 in a couple of places.
By:
chepster
When: 10 Dec 10 15:36
OTHH   09 Dec 10 21:28

my info is that OD have been "doing a Lloyd", ie hovering around the 10-12% level, unable to make decent gains even when singing last. Cowell has resigned himself to them not winning.

The only surviving act other than Matt to have won a week is..... Cher!


.http://www.metro.co.uk/tv/850077-matt-cardle-and-rebecca-ferguson-neck-and-neck-for-x-factor-victory

Last paragraph of this article disputes what othh saysConfused
By:
stroodle
When: 10 Dec 10 15:36
Squares you remember him at 7/2 before the first live show cheers
By:
Guybrush Threepwood
When: 10 Dec 10 15:39
Rebecca will turn on the turbo boast tomorrow night to win the race. Cardle's voice is slowly creaking and croaking to loserville.
By:
squares
When: 10 Dec 10 15:40
Yes, and I can also remember the incredibly short prices the firms were able to lay Cher back then and literally salivate over it.

Grrrrrrrrr

Grin
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 10 Dec 10 15:41
chepster, i notice you've gone 8/11 - so presumably you don't give the metro info much credence?
By:
attitude adjuster
When: 10 Dec 10 15:44
chep..are you staring down the barrel again,mate?
By:
stroodle
When: 10 Dec 10 15:47
Last question lads do any of you vote in these polls
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 10 Dec 10 15:49
Not me in the polls or the show.
By:
Mikeeey
When: 10 Dec 10 15:51
Rebecca and One Direction have both been in the top two of the results since the beginning of the live shows,' our mole told us.

I find that hard to believe
By:
Mikeeey
When: 10 Dec 10 15:54
forget that last post...I've just read it again and thought it meant every week which it obviously didn't
By:
onthehushhush
When: 10 Dec 10 15:55
i find it *very* hard to believe.
By:
Guybrush Threepwood
When: 10 Dec 10 15:55
The truth is hard to take sometimes.
By:
onthehushhush
When: 10 Dec 10 16:03
the problem with moles is that they burrow to hard-to-reach places - but then can't see anything when they get there. I understand OD haven't been in the top two at all.
By:
five leaves left
When: 10 Dec 10 16:03
I'd agree with othh that Matt should be shorter, but I've not totally given up on Rebecca yet.

I made it 1.5 Matt, Rebecca 4, 1D 11 and Cher 50, in another thread awhile back and I'll stick with that.

I agree with GTL that some of Matt's lead this week will be down to a sympathy vote, as we saw most noteably with Vickers.
Also as most of us seem to agree, Rebecca has the plum duet and the potential to create a 'moment'
It probably still wouldn't be enough, but you never know.

I'm happy to go into the final with them virtually level green and pile on Matt in-running if Rebecca doesn't impress
By:
five leaves left
When: 10 Dec 10 16:07
lol music to my ears othh.

One thing is sure from all of this, is that RMB claiming we're all rampers on here is utter bull.
Since othh has posted info 1D have actually shortened and Matt's price has hardly moved.
If his info can't move the market, nothing anyone else writes on here can Laugh
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 10 Dec 10 16:09
LOL very true fll!!
By:
five leaves left
When: 10 Dec 10 16:11
Ramping is futile.

No one cares what we think Laugh
By:
attitude adjuster
When: 10 Dec 10 16:11
the market still gets pushed around quite easily

someone took rebecca down from 4.8 to 4.2 yesterday in the space of 5 mins..after she's spent 2 days at 5.0-5.2.

someone also had a go at pushing matt up to evens..flashing up some big lumps....hopefully he'll be back.
By:
stroodle
When: 10 Dec 10 16:12
I would disagree I think Rebecca should be shorter, these polls could be influenced by punters. Rebecca I feel has a wider fan base appeal in my opinion, she looks it better nick at this stage of the competition, so Im still pretty confident Rebecca will surprise a few.
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 10 Dec 10 16:14
aa

Yep ................ and don't they feel foolish now (not that ONE of them will admit it though)
By:
five leaves left
When: 10 Dec 10 16:23
ONE of whom Lou?

It's fairly obvious that the vast majority of money in the market doesn't read the forum, let alone post on it.

Thank God for that I say. It means othh can come on here and share such great info with us and we're able to adjust our books accordingly(if we wish to) and therefore hopefully make more of a profit.
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 10 Dec 10 16:34
fll, what's he on about now?  stick to the FACTS and you won't go far wrong by any chance?
By:
five leaves left
When: 10 Dec 10 16:41
Just the usual taking digs at the decent people on this forum for no good reason.
By:
bunnyman
When: 10 Dec 10 17:18
figgy, it felt like admitting defeat blocking Lou, but it was the best thing I did.  Despite making hundreds of posts he hasn't said one insightful or useful thing, he just spreads negativity.  Don't let the guy sap your energy, just block him.
By:
Mikeeey
When: 10 Dec 10 17:28
I blocked him a few days back - I've got absolutely no interest in what he says
By:
Jack Bauer '24'
When: 10 Dec 10 17:31
Matt was still as big as 8/1 after his bootcamp performance with one firm and 6/1 with at least one other.
By:
melv
When: 10 Dec 10 17:51
PS: Don't start slagging off cheese!

O have been told off for calling Rebbecca marmite. This is becasue the conspet only entails loving it or hating it.

So am am trying a new concept "Cheese" Some love it, some can take it or leave it and some can't stand it.Silly[smiley:crazy][:p]Confused
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