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This game is crazy....hope Murray take it again to easy now
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holds serve now no bother
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Come on the 6-0, we love you Cilic
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yeah darlo ...i hear what ur saying , if you ONLY back when theres value . then you have to win in the long term
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I'M OUT THE 3.5 BET ... IT'S NFL TIME
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Gibbo99
05 Sep 12 23:57 Darlo Bantam: Yeah I do understand actually. Backing at 1.18 usually entails huge stakes...hence the stress involved and risk of spunking tons of money instead of waiting for actual value bets. i.e Murray at 3.15. Plus the fact you'll have to win multiple times to cover just one loss. Not sure you have a comeback for this one - pretty sure i've covered all the relevant bases. What makes you think that 3.15 is "value" and 1.18 is not value? |
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its all about reading momentum ...3.15 is great value now
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i think best was 1,8ssss when cilic was 4-2 up in tb
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I think Murray is never a value at low odds. lol
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cilic is v unlikely to recover from the mental damage of losing a set from a double break up ...his confidence will be shattered , it might even scar his career
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chilipepper • September 5, 2012 11:56 PM BST
Seriously who else saw that grin from Murray when he was down? IT'S NOT FIXED, ffs Howdi • September 5, 2012 11:56 PM BST fecking hope so with a 55k red on cilic ![]() |
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26/1 to win second set at one point
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Backing at 1.18 in sport is ridiculous and a fast road to bank busting. Value is your only friend, not short odds 'bankers'. Backing at 1.18 is pointless unless you're using huge stakes, immediately placing your money at the mercy of human error....case in point Andy Murray.
To cover just one loss, you'll have to win 5 times. Two unlucky or bad choices and you're staring down the barrel of requiring 10 straight wins just to break even.....do the math. |
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It is NOT about reading momentum, it is about understanding probability. So many people try to predict what might happen instead of looking at the odds and determining whether they reflect the probability of it happening.
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i would have backed murray , even if he lost the breaker
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this match demands Andy to go up break and a half to lose set
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murray should dominate from now on but i will wait one more game and go green out and enjoy match
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whats everyones score prediction now?
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reading momentum is important shiraz
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if you saw my p and l's then you'd have some respect
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Bam
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sick liquidity on this
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Murray going to get destroyed
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Of course it's not fixed i mean he was in control all the time, he knows he can beat Cilic
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the bet fair price in running is based on a phenomenon called 'the wisdom of crowds'
google it , it helped my Profits big time |
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There's no money in 'betting' at any odda. There is money in trading
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If you're going to match fix, you're not going to do it in such a big tournament, use your head
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*odds
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shiraz , I don't mean to sound cocky , but i do make consistent profit ...discipline is the single most important quality a successful trader needs imho
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looks like murray wants to keep doing this the hard way.
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Murray is self destruct mode: he's talking to himself, very bad sign
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i figured Feliciano to be a giant douche and, vs top 5, to give up after missed chances and 2 sets down before this event...
Clinic may still give us five, Andy can do it |
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Er, not if you wait for matches like this. Backing Murray at 5-2 down on Cilic's serve would have only lost you a few quid if Cilic had held (approx £10 from £150 stake) due to the double break. It was in effect a free bet. As soon as Murray even smelt the break you're staring at more profit than your 1.18 bet.
My point is it's all about entry points. You can have a free bet and scoop up over 100% of your stake in minutes instead of crapping your pants for an hour while Murray fights back, just so you can break even....see the logic here? |
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FairPlay to cilic , the fact that he has held his serve twice this set , clearly demonstrates his mental strength
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In reality low odds don't make any profit imo. I don't know any successful punter who has a considerable income on the long run who's backing low odds..
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where is hardlife today?
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