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** The Official Eurovision 2014 Thread **

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By:
Henry VIII
When: 09 Mar 14 11:36
Surely if they wanted to undermine Ace they would have put her somewhere like 2nd slot, and certainly not last.

Whereas a lot of people may collate public votes only one, or a few, know the result. If there is no jury vote and one act is way ahead in the public vote the collators may have a good idea even without knowing the final result. But this wasn’t the case this time. Jury: Sanna 90; Ace 97. Televote: Sanna 122; Ace 113

So there may have been insiders but the evidence isn’t strong. I was competing to lay Ace after the jury vote so I imagine many other honest gamblers must have been.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 09 Mar 14 12:07
Just looked back, only about 6K was matched in total in the final.

2K was offered on Ace at 1.45 and 1.5, where she was a lay, as the top 2 should have both been about evens. Especially a lay for those who had her their biggest green. I personally had 500 matched at mostly 1.44.

I didn’t record the market information with all the amounts matched (the pop up which has the graph on the left). Please post it if anybody has it.
By:
the swede
When: 09 Mar 14 12:10

Mar 9, 2014 -- 10:30AM, johnnyrant wrote:


Germany gave Ace Wilder zero, George; it gave 'Undo' 10pts. Personally, delighted the Germans shared my opinion of Ace Wider's song  I'd say that was suspicious as was all the jury scores, as was the ultimate televote edging it Sanna's way. My conclusion is, SVT didn't want Ace to win as it was a potential ESC winner & it doesn't fancy hosting again so soon. The betting on here also suggested some insiders knew with Ace offered at bigger prices than she should have been after winning the jury vote & ahead of the televote reveal.


I laid ace pretty much after juryvote from evens down to 1,40. I thought great value after the polls suggested Sandra was about 3-5 % before Ace. No funny thing about this, only a excel sheet and some good feeling.

By:
Henry VIII
When: 09 Mar 14 12:14
The Swede if you are really a Swede would you have Anglicised Sanna's name? Wink
By:
the swede
When: 09 Mar 14 12:20
haha Cool
By:
johnnyrant
When: 09 Mar 14 12:29
I think Bjorkman must have been confident Ace couldn't win even from the pimp slot but gave her that to contrive a close finish. For Sanna to overtake her by just enough to win looked very suspicious. I appreciate some honest BF punters were looking to lay off at 1.5 to lock in a profit but perceived wisdom was Ace would be behind after the jury vote but her superior televote, from the pimp slot, could see her overhaul Sanna.

For her to win the televote, she should have then been about a 1.2 shot imo to win. But was available to back on here above Evens still and decent amounts. That either suggests insiders to me or some very naive punters offering inflated odds.
By:
johnnyrant
When: 09 Mar 14 12:31
Ace had all the supposed momentum going into last night's final, topping the Swedish chart & unprecedented downloads of her track on Spotify. So there was strong reason to believe, with the pimp slot, she would win the televote comfortably. Yes, there was that small window for voters after the jury vote was revealed but even so, the odds were wrong on Ace which made me suspicious.
By:
timbuctooth
When: 09 Mar 14 12:57
Don`t know how closely you were watching the market, jr, but the amount of money wanting to back Ace at short prices left me believing it was straight enough.
Or are you saying the vote itself was `manipulated`?
By:
five leaves left
When: 09 Mar 14 13:31
As the result was really close I don't think there was anything iffy in the market.
I read on esctips mention of a possible recount during the show, as it was so close. Therefore Ace would have been a no brainer lay for the Swedish speakers.
Probably some iffy jury scoring tho.
By:
johnnyrant
When: 09 Mar 14 13:37
I think the vote itself is highly suspicious, tim. Both the jury vote & the televote. Maximum suspense, & ideal winner for SVT imho.
By:
five leaves left
When: 09 Mar 14 13:42
As for the main contest. I agree Henry that the presentation of the Lithuanian song isn't great. I love the song though. I must have played a dozen or so times last night. A touch of Grace Jones about it.
I like this version
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R02D1RtY7MU
Like Andrius last year I can see plenty of people hating it though and more of a play to qualify and top 10.

Macedonia another one I liked but she's an awful and odd looking performer
By:
Corbyguy
When: 09 Mar 14 15:15
The love for Norway continues to grow, now between 5/2 and 13/5 to back while all others continue to drift outwards to over 13/1. Another predictable winner and possibly odds on fav before final night this year?
By:
five leaves left
When: 09 Mar 14 15:30
I've started laying now. It's a good song but as Henry says in the other thread, it has the feel of one of those song that can often perform below expectations at Eurovision.
The winner tends to be upbeat
By:
George Bailey
When: 09 Mar 14 15:57
Not sure Norway lends itself to repeated listens.  Looks like some quality in the German ones...how do two movie soundtrack songs end up in the ESC?
By:
five leaves left
When: 09 Mar 14 18:27
Funny you should say that about Norway GB2. I was really impressed the 1st time I heard it. Last night was only the 2nd time and I was far less impressed.
I also agree Germany look strong. Also hoping for something decent from the usual suspects like Greece, Armenia, Azer, Russia, etc
By:
George Bailey
When: 09 Mar 14 18:36
The German Dubliners could be this year's Russian Grannies Wink
By:
George Bailey
When: 09 Mar 14 18:37
.....though I prefer Lena Mk II
By:
five leaves left
When: 09 Mar 14 18:42
Yes. She's the one I'm hoping wins. There will never be another Lena though Love
By:
Corbyguy
When: 09 Mar 14 21:29
Here is the live peformance of Silent Storm just performed in Norway's third semi-final which has now won the semi to be in the grandfinal. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TYAfB1P28ec This is the hot favourite to win in Norway and Norways odds shortening to be favourite to win the actual Eurovision Contest. Odds on Norway winning now shortened again to 9/4.
By:
five leaves left
When: 09 Mar 14 21:39
Laying even more after seeing that. He's not a looker
By:
honestcl
When: 10 Mar 14 07:36
I'm not getting it.  Why all the love for Norway?
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Mar 14 10:06
Bit of a Mad World thing about it. Backers are assuming its understated nature won't get lost in the mix. Will get the "amateur" hype as I think it was his first ever public performance?  With some big players still to play their cards odds look skimpy to me.
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Mar 14 10:08
Also much more marmite than previous winners though ghat didnt stop the grannies nearly nicking it.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Mar 14 10:49
He needs to work on the performance. He seems bored.

Here's another fatty who could well win the Belgian selection:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEqjXBH9ahE

Splendid or horrific? He can certainly sing.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Mar 14 10:52
Apparently he had much of the audience in tears.
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Mar 14 11:44
Backers?
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Mar 14 12:47
?
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Mar 14 12:48
OK I get the joke Happy
By:
five leaves left
When: 10 Mar 14 13:21
The grannies were fun though Gb2. Understated and downbeat might appeal to me, as this song does, but it doesn't have a great record at Eurovision.
As you say. Very Gary Jules - Mad World
By:
five leaves left
When: 10 Mar 14 13:22
He might struggle to grab the 'Attention' of the audience
By:
five leaves left
When: 10 Mar 14 13:31
Just watched the Belgian lad. I bet Cowell has signed him alreadyWink
By:
sofiakenny
When: 10 Mar 14 13:42
the azzy bazzies have yet to show their hand...however their performer is a marvellous singer.
I'm on.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Mar 14 14:30
Yes she's a good performer but it all depends on the song. In their final her covers were mostly good but the original song was poor iirc. In fact I can't remember it, it didn't leave an impression, but they don't have to use it for ESC.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Mar 14 14:33
According to Wiki the Russians are sending these:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Tolmachevy_Twins
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Mar 14 14:34
Recent photo and song:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iiVHR40tImk
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Mar 14 14:35
.... ESC song undecided
By:
five leaves left
When: 10 Mar 14 14:41
Look sure to become forum favourites
By:
five leaves left
When: 10 Mar 14 14:46
I see they won Junior Eurovision in 2006
By:
ClayDavis
When: 10 Mar 14 15:40
No one in Europe is going to vote for the Russians - they can kiss goodbye to any points from the Ukraine
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Mar 14 15:45
Do people still fall for the media bias and need to see things in black and white? I guess the answer is obviously yes.
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