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*** Official Eurovision 2013 Fred ***

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By:
bearcub
When: 18 May 13 15:51
Yep thats the downside Cider, buts its only for 40 mins with the cube following it. In a 3 hour 15 minutes show I'm hoping it wont dent it too much
By:
bearcub
When: 18 May 13 15:54
In 2011 when esc got an av of 9.54m Bgt started at 8pm
By:
Cider
When: 18 May 13 15:55
Probably a fair amount will just tune in for the voting. The UK isn't really a draw, and on quite early too. I suspect bgt will hurt it more than a football friendly, good luck tho.
By:
Rhino-2k8
When: 18 May 13 15:56

May 18, 2013 -- 3:54PM, bearcub wrote:


In 2011 when esc got an av of 9.54m Bgt started at 8pm


Jedward was on that year, Prior to that 5/6m i think

By:
bearcub
When: 18 May 13 15:57
cheers
By:
Helmuthian Folds
When: 18 May 13 16:01
jedward were never in BGT so that is misinformation of the highest order!
By:
Rhino-2k8
When: 18 May 13 16:05
EV you c0ck
By:
Cider
When: 18 May 13 16:07
haha the tourists are early Grin
By:
bexley
When: 18 May 13 16:33
Spectacular piece of fence sitting by Daniel this year on Sofabet

Iceland top 10 the only bet
By:
Cider
When: 18 May 13 16:35
.http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNM0ENUCO5I

OT, a cool clip Cool
By:
bexley
When: 18 May 13 16:36
No offence to them but the main chaps from Entertainment Odds, Sofabet and Esctips appear to have spent much time in each others company this year. I'm wondering if theres an element of 'group confusion' going on and too much similarity to their recommendations over the course of the week
By:
bexley
When: 18 May 13 16:42
If they all make a better ROI than me I'll give thenm a hat tip later LaughLaugh ^^
By:
popking
When: 18 May 13 16:52
To be fair to Daniel, he does often go in (very) hard on just 1 or 2 bets but I do think there is an element of group think between the 3 of them as you would expect given they have watched most of the action together.  I dunno how the accreditation system works, but maybe we should start a website and try and get one for next year lol. :)
By:
honestcl
When: 18 May 13 16:54
On the subject of viewing figures we had a record low of 5.54m in 2010 and a rather more impressive 7.8m in 2009.

Put simply, when the BBC made a real effort with ALW and Jade Ewen the results were big viewing figures and a decent result in the comp.  Nuff said.

Three acts that would clean up if entered:-

One Direction
Elton John
George Michael

Maybe the last two are unrealistic but other countries manage to land their equivalent acts, so why not.
By:
five leaves left
When: 18 May 13 16:56
There views do appear to have converged this year Bex.
I guess it's understandable.
fwiw I thought the Italian performance was great last night and Ukraine is still pants.

A couple of nice pics from twitter.

One of this years class act and one of 2010's

https://twitter.com/Anouk/status/335773608972517378/photo/1

https://twitter.com/Lenas_view/status/335770204955103232/photo/1
By:
five leaves left
When: 18 May 13 16:57
Their ffs
By:
SamH_123
When: 18 May 13 16:57
I have not followed Eurovision closely this year, I read of a new voting system this year, is it of the way jury votes and televotes are combined?
By:
five leaves left
When: 18 May 13 16:59
Juries and the public vote ranks them 1-26 this year rather than 1-10 as previously.
Then the 2 are combined.
By:
SamH_123
When: 18 May 13 17:02
ok thanks.  seems a pretty subtle change
By:
honestcl
When: 18 May 13 17:08
Do we know the voting order yet?
By:
five leaves left
When: 18 May 13 17:11
yes
1) San Marino
2) Sweden
3) Albania
4) Netherlands
5) Austria
6) United Kingdom
7) Israel
8) Serbia
9) Ukraine
10) Hungary
11) Romania
12) Moldova
13) Azerbaijan
14) Norway
15) Armenia
16) Italy
17) Finland
18) Spain
19) Belarus
20) Latvia
21) Bulgaria
22) Belgium
23) Russia
24) Malta
25) Estonia
26) Germany
27) Iceland
28) France
29) Greece
30) Ireland
31) Denmark
32) Montenegro
33) Slovenia
34) Georgia
35) F.Y.R. Macedonia
36) Cyprus
37) Croatia
38) Switzerland
39) Lithuania
By:
seebee
When: 18 May 13 17:15
Denmark starting to drift?
By:
five leaves left
When: 18 May 13 17:19
There does seem to be a slight drift.
RMB must be running out of money Wink
By:
seebee
When: 18 May 13 17:21
Just can't see Denmark winning this 55 times out of 100. Can't see it winning 10 times out of 100 ffs, but could really suffer if it does!
By:
Sekt10ned
When: 18 May 13 17:23
Finland appear to have become sixth favourite in the outright market. I've layed all of my green out of it.
By:
five leaves left
When: 18 May 13 17:24
Nor me seebee. I don't doubt it will do well in the pv, but I can see half a dozen or more beatng it in the jury vote
By:
five leaves left
When: 18 May 13 17:26
Also if they want to hide the winner early. Why are 4 of the 1st 6 countries to vote western european
By:
Corbyguy
When: 18 May 13 17:29
especially sweden in 2nd who normally give votes to norway and denmark
By:
seebee
When: 18 May 13 17:31
Yes, they've said they want to keep it as exciting as poss haven't they? So in theory, they don't want a runaway winner in votes from the off. Suggests Denmark not as good as odds would leave you to believe.
By:
sideshowbob
When: 18 May 13 17:32
im far too late to the party this year. listened to denmark, its decent. norway, less so. now on sweden. umm. utter fluff. too many songs, this is gonna take forever...
By:
Cider
When: 18 May 13 17:32
The winner should drift early if the algorithm is effective?

Casuals also must come on think wtf is something odds-on in this contest and judge Denmark as a cheap lay.
By:
five leaves left
When: 18 May 13 17:33
Russia is the one with no real friends in the 1st 6 to vote, then from 7 onwards........
By:
Sekt10ned
When: 18 May 13 17:34
sideshowbob - you'd be better off waiting for the contest now I doubt there will be many big moves ;-)
By:
Corbyguy
When: 18 May 13 17:34
the voting order is determined from the results of last nights jury votes and arranged to make it exciting in running no doubt to have a neck and neck race between 2 or more countries.
By:
five leaves left
When: 18 May 13 17:34
..also not many Western friendly countries in the final 9....and one of the few is Denmark itself
By:
popking
When: 18 May 13 17:35
Just to reiterate, interpretations of what makes for an exciting voting segment vary.  One theory is it would be exciting to have the lead keep changing, which could mean that a country starts well, tails off, rebounds, tails off again before surging again at finish.
By:
popking
When: 18 May 13 17:36
Not just from jury votes, but televotes in the semis, and historic voting patterns.  How much influence is given to the latter 2 I am not sure as in the case of Italy smashing the jury vote, the aim of the voting order appeared to be to hide this for as long as possible.
By:
Corbyguy
When: 18 May 13 17:36
so denmark could lead then be overtaken and to take the lead again to be overtaken and to take the lead etc.
By:
sideshowbob
When: 18 May 13 17:37
yeah im far too late, but im looking at maybe a top 10 lay or back. last year i had a few late backs. cant remember who but i backed someone around 4.0 for a top 10, they went odds on went it came on tv. dont think it made the top 10 though i may be wrong cos i greened out anyway.
By:
Cider
When: 18 May 13 17:37
True pk. A prospective runaway winner we'd expect to start off slowly though.
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