SHAPESHIFTER

Last week, Thursday was the only day of five that paid returns. Over the week, of the 23 that didn't win their races, 7 came in second (30%). I'm not trying to be a 'spin-master' on the stats to try to make a bad week look better. But I always look at my losing bets and take on board the reasons but also the result to keep things in perspective. Those following the blog have seen when I've added up the fractions of seconds between a winning and losing day. As well, I also am a strong believe that horses aren't machines and have their 'off days' and will put this in the notebook. I also questioned my selection of races and wondered if I had found quality form or 'race card filler'. And have I entered into a transition of goings and, like a football manager who at 30 minutes...

Last week ended with four winners from five selections on Thursday landing a 300% ROI. The week offered up a variety of results that lead to this but it wasn't so much the winners from previous days that lead to this as much as doing post mortems on why my selections didn't fare so well against the winners on the day. On Tuesday, I commented on my shaky confidence with all weather this year, the only winner on Monday at Kempton and Wolverhampton in the form of Lastkingofscotland. Tuesday; 2 for 2 at Wolverhampton On Thursday, following 6 losing selections on Wednesday, my post mortem reminded me of how I found each way selections. I then follow up with Funky Munky winning well at 10/1. I've accepted losses are part of the game. But rather than looking at a loss as a red blotch...

I spent part of the weekend going over November, the pluses and minuses, using the new month as the spring board to take my approach a little further. I'll bring some 'analysis' over the coming days. In the meantime, a few selections to ease into the week and the new month. -------------- [b]WEAK FAVES FOR 3-December[/b] Strike rates Wolverhampton: 17 meetings: 26 for 32 (81%) Wolverhampton 1:55 Passionada [i](result: 1st BFSP 3.75)[/i] 4:30 Bubbly Bailey [i](unplaced)[/i] [i] Early prices: Passionada 3.60, Bubbly Bailey 4.10[/i] [b]SUMMARY[/b] [i]1 for 2 on 'weak faves' after Passionada runs a solid race against a difficult draw[/i] [b]STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK[/b] Kempton 2:50 April Fool [i](result: NR)[/i] 4:20 Zaheeb [b]EW[/b] [i](2nd BFSP...