For a second week, Tuesday hit me in the gut.
As I watched the racing, the selections showed absolutely no life. I took on the goings at hand and made a read that had no feeling or pulse.
I left the day on the desk and will dust it off in a week or so. Luckily, they are few and far between but still can weigh heavy on your decision making if you dwell on it.
[b]UPDATE: All selections are up. Good luck if you are playing later races.
WEAK FAVES FOR 13-February[/b]
[i]none[/i]
[i]Early Price:[/i]
[b]STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK[/b]
Kempton
5:30 Spirit Of Gondree [b]EW[/b] [i](result 3rd BFSP 9.40/3.60)[/i] [b]+0.20[/b] *dead heat for 3rd / partial returns
6:30 Indian Affair [b]EW[/b] [i](1st BFSP 7.20/2.13)[/i] [b]+1.90[/b] *dead heat / in from 11/1 when...
100% with 'weak faves' selection yesterday. For the second day, I had a 20% strike rate with backs.
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[b]WEAK FAVES FOR 30-November[/b]
Doncaster
1:55 Tahiti Pearl [i](result: 2nd)[/i]
3:05 Honest John [i](1st BFSP 5.23)[/i]
[i]Early Prices: Tahiti Pearl 3.80, Honest John 4.20[/i]
[b]SUMMARY[/b] [i]1 for 2 on the day. Honest John drifted then made all in the race. There were 36 'weak fave' selections of which 28 were successful with a strike rate of 78% for November.
[/i]
[b]STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK[/b]
[i]There were no calls on Friday[/i]
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Your comments and views are always welcomed
[i][b]Weak faves is posted Monday to Friday between noon and 1PM[/b][/i]
Monday, 17-September
I enjoyed Doncaster. The racing remained top-notch right through to the final furlongs and all the speculation and results gave racers and pundits plenty to chat about.
Watching J P O'Brien reminded me of how exciting sports was as both a spectator and a participant when I was the same age. I had my share of moments from sailing, ice hockey, soccer and golf. I walked away with trophies in everything I did and was privileged to tour as an amateur golfer for three summers from eighteen to twenty.
But to see that young man with such a responsibility hold his composure both during the heat of the race and afterwards was pretty special.
With most major meets, I find betting over...
After a break, I was back at the screens for Monday landing 4 for 5 calls correctly.
Wolverhampton maintained a 100% strike rate over seven meetings. The other positive signal that I can read the track is that of the other five races I passed on, three won.
Ffos Las was one for two and despite having early success with my approach, I'm finding that form and performance translates differently at the track.
The high point of the day was the 6:00 and Chambles. I avoid reading too much media before making my selections and after posting for the day, I found that the Alan Mccabe horse had been selected by several of the newspapers, blogs and on twitter. I haven't had a chance to see the replay yet, the first day of the week finished with the Chambles eight lengths behind the eventual...
Yesterday was the the second day in a row of getting 6 for 7 selections right. The exception was Tidal Wave who won at Brighton at 2.88 BFSP. However, unlike the day before where six selections finished outside the frame, five finished in the top three.
I took on Varnish with Richard Hughes on board for the 6th time. The four recent rides had produced a win and three 2nds. As well, the previous day, the Hannon/Hughes partnership had produced two of the jockey's three wins at the track. But the read indicated to me that yesterday would not only be a challenging step up in distance but, to date, previous fields hadn't produced decent results since racing with Varnish. Racing mid-field, the combination of distance and competition proved too much and the horse tailed off in the final...
Looking over the past few weeks and the results that races have thrown up, it becomes apparent that the weather and going has made things difficult for the punter to find a winner.
Earlier this month, I had excellent success finding each way selections to the tune of a 40%+ strike rate and a return that matched.
The following ten days, I might have had a dart board to make selections.
So when studying to find the 'weak faves', I think the next few weeks will be a 'transition' for racing. Three year olds that showed little life will surprise us while older horses may find the faster pace as the ground dries out more challenging.
In other words, it is a matter of looking at all results, not just the races you played, to get a sense of where racing is progressing.
WEAK ...