SHAPESHIFTER

While my ability to find 'weak faves' has gone the way of the weather (1 for 5 for January (20% strike rate)), my selections to back have been turning a steady profit to the mid-way point of January.

Stats to 17-January
8 days of selections

OVERALL
SELECTIONS: 60
WINS: 19
STRIKE RATE: 32%
EW'S PLACING: 10
LSP PROFIT: 22.25
ROI: 37%

All the profit has come from the all weather:


ALL-WEATHER
SELECTIONS: 40
WINS: 16
STRIKE RATE: 40%
EW'S PLACING: 6
LSP PROFIT: 23.50
ROI: 59%

This means from the races over obstacles, I've produced a "break-even" performance consisting of 3 wins from 20 (15%) while 4 each-way selections placed and paid dividends.  I had only one faller which was Cool Touch who was leading at the time but extremely tired.

Overall, 13 of the 60 (22%) came in 2nd.  5 of those were over obstacles showing the fine line between profit and loss.

The biggest price winner so far this month was on 10-January with Funky Munky drifting out to 10/1 before the off.

10-January was also my best day of the month when 5 selections produced +15.00 while I managed to keep my worst to just -3.60 (1 winner from 9 on 9-January).

Behind the scenes, I continue to learn from my losses and improving on my check list for 'rules of engagement'. And despite stinging myself by backing Syrian last night at evens, I'm spending my time looking at races where the fave's are going off at 5/2 or better when looking for backs.

Hopefully it will continue through the balance of the month and into the year.


This blog is published Monday to Friday around noon each day.  For evening racing, it is updated around 4PM



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