SHAPESHIFTER

Last week finished by giving back the gains made earlier in the week. 

Over the years, I'm used to the 'plateau's' that betting brings.  One moment, you are making steady gains over two days.  Next week, you have spikes looking like a shark's tooth that chews away at the recent success you had.

It's just a few days left before taking a well earned break from the pixels.  The focus will be to make the most out of each event I take on, whether it be taking on the fave or finding the back in the race that will offer the better return against the risk.


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WEAK FAVES FOR 17-December

Plumpton
3:35 Little Roxy (3rd of 7)

EARLY PRICES: Little Roxy 3.20

SUMMARY The one selection on the day panned out as expected with Little Roxy finishing third despite market support saying otherwise. The strike rate for December is now 9 for 12 (75%)


STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK

PLUMPTON
1:30 Ace Fighter Pilot (result: 1st BFSP 2.35) +1.30
2:00 Brunettesonly (pulled up) -1.00
3:05 Ballyman (1st BFSP 2.07) +1.00

Wolverhampton
1:55 Elijah Pepper EW (result: 4th) -1.00
2:55 Makin' (1st BFSP 4.83) +3.70
4:25 Walter White (4th of 5) -1.00

SUMMARY With testing conditions, backing three horses below 6/4 was a bit of a risk.  But two for three won their races returning a 75% ROI at the track.  Wolverhampton had a strike rate of 1 for 3 but the winning selection was a 7/2 shot opposing the fave return, again, a decent ROI.  A LSP risk of 6 points would have returned +3.00 (50% ROI)

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