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SHAPESHIFTER'S WORLD

WEAK FAVES: 24-OCTOBER

25 Oct 12 13:06
A day where several races have little recent form to go on. 

I will be looking at Kempton later today and will update today's selections then.

WEAK FAVES FOR 24-OCTOBER
Selections based on the quality of the fields in their previous races

Strike rates:
Kempton: 10 meetings: 16 for 22 (73%)
Newmarket: 5 meetings: 10 for 12 (83%)

Kempton
Will update later

Early prices:

Newmarket
5:20 Shrewd (result: 1st BFSP 4.35)

Early prices: Shrewd 3.60


SUMMARY
Despite drifting, Shrewd won the race.  Post mortem on the call was too much emphasize on last two runs (bad times) rather than July win. 


STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK

Fontwell
3:25 River D'Or EW (Result: 2nd BFSP: 6.40 / 2.25) +0.10
4:30 No No Bingo (1st: BFSP 2.00) +1.00

Newmarket
3:05 Hoarding (1st BFSP: 3.20) +2.20
4:45 Hippy Hippy Shake EW (1st: BFSP 8.40 / 2.34) +4.40

Worcester
2:10 Current Event EW (unplaced) -1.00

SUMMARY
4 for 5 pay dividends with only one favourite, No No Bingo, being played. LSP of 5 points would have returned +6.70 (ROI 130%)



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