I found last week difficult as I sat reading form on jump horses that were returning after a summer of training and flat horses being given one last run before either going all weather or a winter away from the track.
I'm someone that also gets success from momentum. Even a day with mediocre results can lead to a streak in coming days if the reading and racing is at least fulfilling.
Bath summed up the week of attempting to have a 'critical eye' of hiliting fave's that I felt wouldn't make the trip. I totally misread how the two selections would run. I didn't think that early stamina would be as positive to carry through the full distance over the testing ground. Instead, once in front, both selections dictated and won easily.
The positive through the week was with the selections to back. 8 of 17 paid dividends and when reviewing the 9 that didn't, if it involved a mis-read, it was clear and noted for the future.
A 47% strike rate returned almost 8 points on 17 wagered. So the combination of selective and value returned a positive result over the five days.
WEAK FAVES FOR 15-OCTOBER
Selections based on the quality of the fields in their previous races
Strike rates:
Musselburgh: 5 meetings: 8 for 12 (67%)
Salisbury: 4 meetings: 2 for 4 (50%)
Windsor: 1 meeting: 0 for 1 (0%)
Musselburgh
1:40 Future Wonder (10th of 14)
2:40 Xilerator (8th of 12)
4:20 Oil Strike (3rd)
Early prices: Future Wonder 3.90 / Xilerator 4.80 / Oil Strike 5.50
Salisbury
2:50 George Thisby (6th of 12)
Early prices: George Thisby 4.50
Windsor
4:40 Lutine Charlie (8th of 8)
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Early Price: Lutine Charlie 3.40
SUMMARY a clean sheet on Monday, four out of five unplaced with Oil Strike the only horse to make the frame
STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK
Musselburgh
3:15 Los Nadis (6th) -1.00
(update: 3:05 / was available EW at 6.00 / 2.32)
Salisbury
5:00 Suzis A Class Act EW (unplaced) -1.00
Windsor
3:35 Cardinal EW (7th) -1.00
5:10 Duke Of Clarence (1st BFSP 3.20) +2.20
SUMMARY Only 1 for 4 horses paying dividends, Duke Of Clarence, the 6th of Richard Hughes' seven winners, winning at 2/1. 4 pts wagered at LSP would have returned a loss of -0.80
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