Right enough, that was in Arizona also

Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
·
32s
Ohio Senate:

Tim Ryan (D) 49% (+11)
J.D. Vance (R) 38%

.
@MomentiveAI
/
@CenterStreetPAC
, 516 LV, 8/1-3

Also.....

Wanna b...e.....t........your........f.....o.....r....u....m......cred on it?

politicspunter • May 14, 2022 12:54 PM BST
Republicans are overwhelming favourites to win the Senate (make sure of the rules of individual bookies/exchanges!) but it could be closer than the odds suggest. I have it currently as  45-44 Republicans with these 11 to be decided...

Florida-Republican strong favourite.
Wisconsin- Republican clear favourite but could be competitive
North Carolina- Republican clear favourite but could become competitive
Ohio- Republican clear favourite but could become competitive
Arizona- Lean Democrat
New Hampshire-Lean Democrat
Pennsylvania-Toss up
Nevada-Toss up
Georgia-Toss up
Colorado- Democrat strong favourite
Illinois- Democrat strong favourite


Still an awful lot to play for.

Time for an update...

Timber, have you got any bets on the midterms?

Dobbs Decision Tilts NC Senate Race Toward Beasley

Democrat Cheri Beasley leads Republican Ted Budd 46% to 42% with 12% undecided in the open US Senate seat in NC. This survey comes six weeks after the Dobbs decision that struck down abortion rights secured under Roe v. Wade. 49% of NC votes oppose the recent Dobbs decision (41% support), benefitting Beasley in the polls. The gender gap is large in this race, with Beasley leading among women 52% to 36% and Budd leading among men 50% to 39%.
Lots of voters have not come home yet. Beasley is currently polling only 75% among African Americans voters, with 17% undecided (by contrast, only 9% of white voters are undecided). For Budd, Trump voters are more likely to be undecided in the Senate race (2.5% of Biden voters to 8.8% of Trump voters). Each campaign will be working over the next ninety days to solidify its base.
Beasley leads among Independents. About 22% of voters consider themselves Independent, with Beasley leading among them 42% to 30%. She leads by 20% with college-educated voters.

Anti-abortion hard liners are a minority. Only 18% of North Carolina voters and 14% of North Carolina women voters believe abortion should be illegal in all cases. Even among senior citizens, only 21% say abortion should be illegal at all times (37% of seniors say abortion should be legal under any circumstances). Only one-third of voters support the Dobbs decision and 35% of Republicans believe abortion should be illegal in all circumstances.
Abortion rights supporters are more strident in their position: 72% of those who disagree with the Dobbs decision say abortion should be legal in all circumstances. A slight majority of women say abortion should be legal without restriction.
Opposition to the Dobbs decision is remarkably consistent across age groups. Opposition ranges from 47% to 51% (youngest voter group).                                     
For undecided voters in the US Senate race, twice as many favor unrestricted abortion access as support a universal abortion ban (38% to 19%). This lean helps Beasley.
Among voters who believe the state has the right to some restrictions on abortion, Budd leads Beasley 62% to 26%.

Beasley is currently 3.0 and above to win North Carolina on here

A lot of money for the Democrat Beasley in North Carolina over the last 24 hours. Smarkets still have 3.0 available.

I just took the £9 at 3.3 on here.

very thin markets on Betfair

USA - Senate Races 2022 -- North Carolina

2 Runners            £95 Matched

				107.1%		85.6%
-£9.05	Republican	1.2	1.25	1.4		1.65	800	-	£67
		£413	£49	£40		£500	£2
£20.82	Democrat	2	2.5	2.8		4	7	7.2	£28
		£165	£152	£8		£18	£20	£20

Arizona Senate:

Mark Kelly (D-inc) 54% (+14)
Blake Masters (R) 40%

.
@MomentiveAI
/
@CenterStreetPAC
, 512 LV, 8/4-8

Trump is becoming like Corbyn, a massive liability to 'his' party

It's the same story in Senate race after Senate race. The Trump endorsed big lie conspiracy theorist has split the GOP vote in half. Moderate GOP supporters and independents won't vote for them. Now that the reality is setting in, poll after poll in multiple states are coming in with the same message, whether it be in Ohio, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania or in the poll three posts above from Arizona.

Pol Pot going to lose bigly AGAIN

The Democrats have actually been funding the Trump candidates in the primaries because they want to run against them.

The best thing everyone can do is to block timber/jucel69/stickywickets. He has probably been banned more times than anyone in his various guises and simply comes back, post ban, where he left off, which is being personally abusive to folks who simply wish to discuss betting on politics. He is only here to ruin threads so please block him so as not to give him the warped satisfaction of even responding to his posts.

I see all the £219 that Smarkets had available for the Democrat in North Carolina has nearly gone (£24 remaining).